Up 43% in a week, should I now be buying Canadian Overseas Petroleum stock?

Following some exciting developments, the Canadian Overseas Petroleum share price is up massively – is this stock now a glaring buy?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

With the oil price soaring globally, oil stocks are becoming increasingly popular. Formed in 2004, Canadian Overseas Petroleum (LSE: COPL) is a Canadian company concerned with the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas. Headquartered in Calgary, the company has operations in the state of Wyoming and Sub-Saharan Africa. Recent buying of this stock is intriguing – let’s take a closer look.  

Recent discoveries and increased production

With a market capitalisation of £60.5m, Canadian Overseas Petroleum stock is one of the smaller oil and gas companies currently on the market. Since 11 January 2022, the share price is up 43%. What is the reason for such stunning growth? In an announcement from 22 November 2021, the company stated that production from its Barron Flats Shannon Unit in Wyoming was 35% ahead of expectations. This resulted in a 14% increase in the share price at that time, but was not responsible for the recent gains.

Furthermore, in the Q3 update for the three months to 30 September 2021, the company announced the discovery of light oil at its Barron Flats Deep Unit, also located in Wyoming. The official results of the discovery are still private, but the company is currently working on a development strategy and hope to update the market in the near future.

In the same announcement, Canadian Overseas Petroleum stated its business was suffering from tighter supplies of natural gas liquids (NGLs). These are necessary for the development of oil exploration. Throughout 2021, NGLs were in short supply across North America. With this shortage in mind, it is possible that the company’s ability to explore will be impacted. Yet, the management is satisfied that the company has sufficient NGLs to make it through the winter into 2022.

On the other hand, the company has made consistent losses for the calendar years 2016 to 2020. While this is not unusual for a small oil exploration company, it is worth noting so that I can better understand the wider financial position.

Why the massive increase in share price?

On 10 January 2022, the company made a significant discovery of light oil, again in Wyoming. This discovery is estimated to be 1.5bn to 1.9bn barrels of oil. This discovery has excited the market and directly resulted in the 43% weekly increase in the share price. The CEO, Arthur Millholland, stated that the amount of oil found is “many multiples greater than our original expectation”. Indeed, some extraction and production of oil from this discovery has begun. In the lowest field zone, the company is already producing around 100 to 120 barrels of oil per day. The discoveries are exciting news and will be compounded by the high oil price.

Canadian Overseas Petroleum has made a number of encouraging discoveries of light oil in recent times. While this stock is still small, I think the rewards far outweigh the risks. I will be adding this stock to my portfolio as a speculative buy.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Andrew Woods has no position in Canadian Overseas Petroleum. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. Views expressed on the companies mentioned in this article are those of the writer and therefore may differ from the official recommendations we make in our subscription services such as Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro. Here at The Motley Fool we believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Is it game over for the Diageo share price?

The Diageo share price is showing as much spirit as an alcohol-free cocktail. Harvey Jones is wondering whether he should…

Read more »

Young Caucasian girl showing and pointing up with fingers number three against yellow background
Investing Articles

3 key reasons why AstraZeneca’s share price looks a steal to me right now

AstraZeneca’s share price has fallen a long way from its record-breaking level last year, which indicates that I may be…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how investors could aim for a £6,531 annual passive income from £11,000 of Aviva shares

As a stock’s yield rises when its price falls, I'm not bothered by Aviva shares’ apparent inability to break the…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 million reasons why earning a second income is more important than ever

With AI posing a threat to UK jobs, our writer considers ways to earn a second income by investing in…

Read more »

Petrochemical engineer working at night with digital tablet inside oil and gas refinery plant
Investing Articles

With an 8% yield, is the second-largest FTSE 250 stock worth considering?

Our writer considers the value of the second-largest stock on the FTSE 250 with a £4bn market cap and a…

Read more »

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

10%+ dividend yields! 3 top dividend shares to consider in 2025!

Investing in these high-yield UK dividend shares could deliver a huge passive income for years to come. Royston Wild explains…

Read more »

Bearded man writing on notepad in front of computer
Investing Articles

Greggs’ share price tanked last week. So I bought more!

Could Greggs be one of the FTSE 250's best bargains following its share price slump? Royston Wild thinks so, as…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£10,000 invested in Games Workshop shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Despite inflation, higher interest rates, and a cost of living crisis, Games Workshop shares have gone from strength to strength…

Read more »