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Big Director Shareholdings Don't Matter

By Maynard Paton (TMFMayn)
August 4, 2003

'Buy into companies where the directors have a big stake' is a common piece of stock market advice. The theory is simple: with plenty of their own money tied up in the company, the management won't do any thing stupid and the 'owner's perspective' will benefit shareholders over the long term.

Sadly, reality paints a different picture. Big director shareholdings do not make a difference to investment performance. Indeed, data from the last five years suggests the smaller the boardroom holding, the better.

Percentage game

The table below shows the 30 FTSE 350 shares with the highest percentage boardroom ownership as at 31 July 1998, plus their subsequent five-year share price performances.

(Note: dividends and spreads are ignored. Where companies were acquired, the performance is measured to the share's final trading day):

                     Top 30              

Company              Director        Five-year
                     holdings     share performance    
                        (%)             (%)

Galen                  64.6            72.9
Business Post          64.6           (38.9) 
Pentland*              56.8            52.1
JJB Sports             51.6            (7.1)
Computacenter          46.6           (45.5)
N Brown                45.8           (23.4)
MyTravel               39.5           (91.2)
Wilson Bowden          38.8            76.8
Alliance Unichem       36.6           (17.4)
Redrow                 35.3           144.1
Brake Brothers*        30.4           (11.4)
Chelsfield             29.2            14.1
Stagecoach             25.9           (67.1)
Man                    23.4           247.3
Perpetual*             23.2            (3.4)
JD Wetherspoon         20.2           (10.5)
Amvescap               19.8           (31.3)
TBI                    15.6           (47.3)
Manchester United      14.1            (2.7)
Johnston Press         13.5           127.3
Shire Pharma           12.6            (2.1)
Sage                   11.7            13.3
Admiral*               11.7             8.0
Yule Catto             11.4            23.6
De Vere                10.4           (10.7)
Travis Perkins         10.4           169.3
TT Electronics          9.0           (48.9)
Independent Insurance   8.8          (100.0)
Ashtead                 8.8           (93.5)
Cox Insurance           7.7           (81.5)

Average                                 7.2

(*Acquired)

The next table lists the 30 FTSE 250 shares with the lowest boardroom percentage holding as at 31 July 1998:

                      Bottom 30             

Company             Director         Five-year
                    holdings      share performance    
                      (%)              (%)

Orange*              0.0112           228.6
Natwest*             0.0111            29.4
Royal Bank of Scot   0.0111            90.6
WH Smith             0.0110           (24.9)
Thistle Hotels*      0.0109           (40.1)
British Energy       0.0104           (99.3)
Billiton             0.0103           193.7
BP                   0.0094             3.1
Abbey National       0.0086           (51.5)
Signet               0.0080           152.8
Balfour Beatty       0.0075            48.4
Centrica             0.0064            85.7
RSA                  0.0063           (77.3)
Cable & Wireless     0.0062           (84.5)
Railtrack*           0.0056           (83.1)
National Power*      0.0053            (9.9)
Kelda                0.0051           (13.6)
Alliance & Leicester 0.0050             3.9
HSBC                 0.0044            53.8
Sun Life*            0.0044           (13.4)
BT                   0.0044           (68.1)
Shell                0.0043            (1.7)
Telewest             0.0043           (99.0)
Norwich Union*       0.0041             8.1
J Sainsbury          0.0040           (50.5)
Unilever             0.0037           (15.5)
BG                   0.0021           157.4
Halifax*             0.0020            10.6
Woolwich*            0.0015            11.3
BSkyB                0.0001            61.2

Average                                13.5

(*Acquired)

Had you doggedly held on to the top 30, you'd be 7.2% better off. But had you held on to the bottom 30, you'd have witnessed a 13.5% gain.

Big money

The next table lists the 30 FTSE 350 shares with the largest monetary boardroom stakes as at 31 July 1998, plus their subsequent five-year share price performances.

(Again, dividends and spreads are ignored. Where companies were acquired, the performance is measured to the share's final trading day):

                      Top 30              

Company             Director        Five-year
                    holdings      share performance    
                      (£k)             (%)

Amvescap             900,306          (31.3)
MyTravel             806,195          (92.2)
Stagecoach           804,454          (67.1)
Alliance Unichem     614,880          (17.4)
Computacenter        597,878          (45.5)
Galen                343,026           72.9
Perpetual*           272,832           (3.4)
Business Post        260,984          (38.9)
Hays                 251,284          (55.4)
N Brown              238,618          (23.4)
Sage                 222,651           13.3
JJB Sports           220,332           (7.1)
Man                  216,216          247.3
Wilson Bowden        205,640           76.8
Pentland*            193,120           52.1
Chelsfield           191,552           14.1
William Morrison     148,176           38.0
Schroders            145,447          (43.7)
De Vere              137,800          (10.7)
Carlton              129,983          (66.6)
Brake Brothers*      124,944          (11.4)
Redrow               106,606          144.1
Admiral*             106,470            8.1
JD Wetherspoon        99,586          (10.5)
SmithKline Beecham*   92,097           19.3
Shire Pharma          84,672           (2.1)
TBI                   79,404          (47.3)
Misys                 72,720          (52.5)
CMG*                  72,053          (86.2)
Kwik-Fit*             66,675          (13.4)

Average                                (0.4)

(*Acquired)

And now the bottom 30 shares, ranked on the monetary value of the directors' holdings:

                     Top 30              

Company             Director         Five-year
                    holdings      share performance    
                      (£k)             (%)

House of Fraser        235            (37.1)
Rexam                  232             70.7
SMG                    232            (55.1)
Medeva*                231            111.4
Highland Distilleries* 222             68.3
Arjo Wiggins*          212             53.2
Sun Life*              207            (13.4)
Arcadia*               201             12.2
Meyer*                 191             71.5
Vickers*               187             34.9
Hillsdown*             184             (6.4)
Hammerson              183             33.1
Eurotunnel             156            (27.4)
Thorn*                 147              2.2
WH Smith               147            (24.9)
Thistle Hotels*        146            (40.1)
Booker*                127            (22.5)
English China Clays*   123             33.6
Marley*                123             42.9
Wimpey                 122            233.6
Selfridges             115             80.7
Kelda                  100            (13.6)
De La Rue               97            (11.1)
Woolwich*               77             11.3
Telewest                68            (98.9)
Hepworth*               63             61.1
Signet                  54            152.8
MEPC*                   43              9.3
Balfour Beatty          40             48.4
BSkyB                    9             61.2

Average                                28.8

(*Acquired)

The top 30 average came to -0.4% while the bottom 30 produced a very generous 28.8%. Yet more encouragement for low director holdings.

Tweaking

Just like prisoners of war, statistics can tell you anything with a little tweaking. So here's how the average five-year performances stand up if the top and bottom 10 and top and bottom 20 shares were used:                             

               Percentage holdings   Monetary holdings
                 Five-year return    Five-year return
                       (%)                 (%)                    

Top 10                12.2               (30.1)
Bottom 10              1.4                 6.1

Top 20                16.9                 0.6
Bottom 20             (3.8)               27.4

Top 30                 7.2                (0.4)
Bottom 30             13.5                28.8

Going on these results, it's clear a substantial boardroom holding has no real bearing on the five-year performance of the share.

On a monetary basis, all the evidence points to the smaller holdings out-performing the larger ones. Just ask the directors of Stagecoach (LSE: SGC), Computacenter (LSE: CCC), Hays (LSE: HAS) and MyTravel (LSE: MT), who collectively have managed to lose £1b since 1998.

In terms of percentage holdings though, the results aren't so clear-cut. The shares with the biggest management percentage holdings have generally done well, but it's hardly been a disaster for those shares with the smallest director interests.

In fact, there is one particular point that seriously puts into question the belief that significant boardroom shareholdings are a primary indicator of long-term investment success. Whichever of the 'least favourable' samples you'd have taken five years ago -- the bottom 10, 20 or 30 percentage or monetary holdings -- you'd have still handsomely beaten the market's subsequent 30% slump.

The author owns shares in Johnston Press.