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A Qualiport definition
Last Friday, we started in earnest our hunt for the 6 best companies in the world. A couple of posts on the Qualiport message board questioned the definition of "best." I agree that it is somewhat difficult to put your finger on, as my "best" may be someone else's worst. So today I'm going to attempt to put some sort of definition on the meaning of "best."
-- The company will usually be in the top three of its industry.
Note the world "usually." The best companies just keep on getting better. As they get better, they get bigger. Biggest doesn't always mean a company is the best, but being the best will often mean being the biggest. There is a subtle but important difference.
-- The company will usually operate in a growing industry.
We don't want to be looking at companies operating in the coal mining industry, no matter how good they may be. Likewise, we don't want to be looking at supermarket retailers, which, when judged on sales per store, will usually only grow by the rate of inflation plus a factor for the small annual population increase. Admittedly, supermarkets can gain market share from competitors, but this is a market in which companies largely compete on price alone. That is not a long-term sustainable competitive advantage. Which brings me to...
-- The company will have a sustainable long-term competitive advantage.
Something as simple as a brand name can give a company a competitive advantage. When you think jeans, you probably think Levi. When you think soft drink, you probably think Coca-Cola. These are huge brand names, but their strength has not happened by accident. Years and years of brand promotion, and millions spent on advertising and sponsorship, have made these brands as big as they are today.
A company like Microsoft probably has the ultimate competitive advantage -- they operate an effective monopoly. How that monopoly was built up is not at issue here. We're happy to leave that one to the US courts.
For many years British Telecommunications (BT.A) had a monopoly over telephone land lines. That has eroded over the years as the government has forced BT to open its market to competitors. Still, today BT still have a huge chunk of the domestic market.
A company's size can give it competitive advantage. If a smaller competitor starts looking like it may be coming up with a revolutionary new product, the large company has the resources to thwart its aims. An example I like to give is Psion's (PSI) hand held computers. They are acknowledged to be technically the best product on the market, yet giants like Philips and 3Com are outselling them. This is mainly due to the larger companies' distribution clout and advertising spending. Psion just can't compete because it is a relatively small company with relatively small cash resources.
-- The company will have some pricing power.
This goes hand in hand with most of the other criteria listed above. It almost goes without saying that a company selling an essential superior product with a strong brand will be able to pretty much set its own price. Microsoft again springs to mind.
If you add the above four "best" qualities to the established Qualiport criteria, they will hopefully lead us to look at some quite impressive companies.
Last Friday I threw up some companies from the Technology and Communications sectors. They included companies like Microsoft, Dell Computer, Intel, Cisco, Vodafone (VOD), Orange (ORA), Nokia and British Telecommunications. Do any or all of them pass the "best" company criteria?
Unfortunately for us, the perfect company doesn't exist. All of us could pick holes in the above companies, even though some of them are arguably in the top echelon of companies in the world. That's what makes the task of picking the 6 best companies in the world all the more difficult. We are going to have to make a subjective decision to narrow down the field, and there is a very good chance that we will leave out the wrong company. But that's what makes stock selection so challenging and so much fun.
On Friday, we will start looking at what may be the "best" companies from the Pharmaceutical, Information Technology and Internet sectors. If you've got any suggestions or comments, please feel free to share them on the Qualiport message board.
Portfolio Update
Last week we received the Rentokil Initial interim dividend. It was for the princely sum of £16.75, and we gleefully added that to our cash balances. We are now sitting on £3,975.57 cash. We intend to invest that in the market over the next few weeks, but we will be patient if the prices of the shares we choose are not quite right. If we select 6 great companies for our Qualiwatch, the chances are that over the next 6 months, we will have an opportunity to pick up shares in 2 of those companies at attractive valuations. If not, we shall patiently wait. Perhaps another great company may pass by our radar which may be able to be purchased at an attractive valuation.
We are not staying out of the market as a whole because we think it is overvalued. In fact, we never look at the macro stock market situation, because we are not buying the market. We are always looking to buy individual companies and to outperform the main share index.
The Qualiport numbers, as usual, are updated with this report each Wednesday and Friday evening. I have said on quite a few previous occasions that the value per share accounting gives a somewhat misleading indication as to whether the Qualiport is beating the market. I much prefer to use the following table, which I periodically put up on the site. I then give you, the reader, the opportunity to decide for yourself whether you think the Qualiport is beating the market. I haven't yet added our two recent purchases, Independent Insurance and PizzaExpress, as we've only owned them for such a short period of time. For what it's worth, however, both are so far beating the market.
Buy Now Up/(Down)
Rentokil Initial FTSE 5020 5477 9%
Purchased 19/12/97 Shares 255 376 48%
EMAP FTSE 5922 5477 -8%
Purchased 17/04/98 Shares 1185 1085 -8%
Marks & Spencer FTSE 5969 5477 -8%
Purchased 11/05/98 Shares 554 445 -20%
Unilever FTSE 6116 5477 -13%
Purchased 17/07/98 Shares 672 627 -7%
See you on Friday.
Bruce Jackson (TMF Googly)
Qualiport Numbers
11/11/98 Close
Company Change Bid
EMA 0.00 10.85
IIG -0.01 2.74
MKS 0.12 4.45
PIZ 0.00 7.98
RTO 0.09 3.76
ULVR 0.05 6.27
Qualiport Stocks
Last Rec'd Total # Company In At Current Change
19/12/97 783 RTO 2.55 3.76 47.5%
27/10/98 755 IIG 2.58 2.74 6.2%
04/11/98 245 PIZ 7.93 7.98 0.7%
17/07/98 298 ULVR 6.72 6.27 (6.7%)
17/04/98 169 EMA 11.85 10.85 (8.4%)
11/05/98 368 MKS 5.54 4.45 (19.6%)
Last Rec'd Total # Company In At Value Change
19/12/97 783 RTO 2046.53 2944.08 897.55
27/10/98 755 IIG 1972.64 2068.70 96.06
04/11/98 245 PIZ 1966.34 1955.10 (11.23)
17/07/98 298 ULVR 2052.54 1868.46 (184.08)
17/04/98 169 EMA 2052.57 1833.65 (218.92)
11/05/98 368 MKS 2054.11 1637.60 (416.51)
Cash: £3,975.57
Current Total : £16,283.16
Total Invested: £16,184.62
Profit/(Loss) : £ 98.54
Value Per Share
Day Month Year History
Qualiport 0.99% 3.18% 35.57% 38.62%
FTSE 100 0.82% 0.71% 6.65% 9.10%
FTSE All Share 0.66% 0.90% 4.83% 7.03%
For an explanation of Value Per Share accounting, please click here.