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The Credit Crunch One Year On

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Published in Your Money on 27 August 2008

For the last year there’s been no getting away from the credit crunch. But what has it meant for you?

If I had a pound for every time I'd heard the phrase 'credit crunch' I'd never need to work again. I can't think of a day that's gone by in the last year without at least one mention of those infamous words. 

Cast your minds back to August 9 2007, which saw both the European Central Bank and the Federal Reserve in the US open up emergency cash to prop up their banking systems. On 12 September, the crisis at Northern Rock seriously -- and I mean seriously -- shook confidence in the UK as the lender went cap in hand to the Bank of England.

Even before August 2007, there were rumblings of trouble ahead. A growing number of banks issued profit warnings throughout the year, as the impact of exposure to the crisis-ridden US sub-prime mortgage market became clear. 

Before the credit crunch came along and wreaked financial havoc, the UK economy was looking pretty strong. Inflation and unemployment were low, while growth was high. But since then everything has changed as the economy began to falter.

Inflation has since smashed through the government’s 2% target. The CPI -- the Consumer Prices Index -- is currently 4.4%, while the RPI -- the Retail Prices Index -- has reached 5%. What's more, for many of us those figures seem too low and don't reflect reality. On top of that, unemployment is rising, house prices are falling and some economists say we teeter on the brink of recession.

But what does all this mean for you?

Borrowers

The credit crunch has taken its toll on every corner of personal finance, but arguably, the worse affected are those of us who need to borrow.

As banks found it increasingly difficult to fund new loans through the money markets, individual borrowers saw the stream of easy credit disappear.

Indeed, interest rates and fees for mortgages have risen throughout the last twelve months, while lenders are demanding ever greater deposits. 

Northern Rock once provided 125% mortgages as standard, but the market for higher-risk home loans has since dried up entirely. According to Fool partner, Moneyfacts, there are now just two lenders left who still offer 100% mortgages. 

These days, to qualify for the most competitive deals, borrowers are now expected to stump up a huge 25% deposit. For many first-time buyers the prospect of owning their own home has become nothing more than a castle in the air.

But there is some positive news on the horizon. Moneyfacts say a number of mortgage rates have now returned to where they were in August 2007. In fact, the average two-year fixed rate deal is now 6.59% compared with 6.56% a year ago. But again, the best rates are reserved for those with the largest deposits or equity stakes in their homes and mortgage fees remain high.

When lending criteria is as strict as it is today, it makes sense for prospective first-time buyers and remortgagers to speak to an independent mortgage broker before choosing a new mortgage deal. You could try The Motley Fool Mortgage Service where we can recommend the best loan for you, whether it's available through brokers only or direct from the lender. 

Unsecured borrowing has become more costly too. At the beginning of 2007, personal loans with interest rates under 6% APR were relatively easy to come by. But today the market-leader, Moneyback Bank, is now charging 7.6% (for £5,000 borrowed over 60 months), with many other lenders gradually increasing APRs throughout the year.

It’s a similar picture for the credit card market. All but the most creditworthy borrowers have found the best 0% balance transfer credit card deals -- such as Capital One -- are beyond their reach. 

You may have better luck going for a credit card that is still a best buy but doesn’t necessarily top the tables. The Virgin Money Credit Card is a good choice for those of you with a reasonably decent credit rating but, at the same time, you don’t have to be the perfect borrower.

Savers

Lending criteria has been pretty tough for borrowers, but there has been better news for savers. Many banks have found wholesale funding a challenge, so they have turned to depositors for cash instead. This has meant -- despite the credit crunch -- savings rates have held up pretty well over the last year.

In fact, there are a host of easy access accounts which pay well over 6% AER. If you’re looking for somewhere to stash your cash, the current best buy accounts include Kaupthing Edge Savings at 6.55%, Birmingham Midshires e-Saver at 6.52% and Bradford & Bingley Internet Saver at 6.51%.

If you’re looking to lock your money away over the longer-term try the Hi Save Fixed Rate bond from ICICI and earn 7.20%, with no strings.

Pensioners

If you’re looking to convert your pension fund into an income using an annuity, now could be a good time to take the plunge. One of the few winners out of the credit crunch has been level annuities. (Level annuities provide the same amount of pension income every year for the rest of your life.)

Although annuity rates have been historically low in recent years -- roughly half what they were in the early 90s -- the credit crunch has brought a remarkable change of fortune. Why? Because the crunch has driven down the value of corporate bonds (or company debt) which -- in turn -- has forced bond yields up. Since annuity companies invest heavily in corporate bonds, annuities have been boosted after more than a decade of falling rates.  

There’s no doubt the credit crunch has had severe repercussions, and it’s almost impossible to predict how long the financial turmoil will last. In the meantime, we'll try to help beat it.

More: Who Is To Blame For The Debt Crisis? | Credit Crunch Winners | Five Credit Crunch Crackers

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Comments

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alldrittg 28 Aug 2008, 7:13am

The Credit Crunch - Who caused the problem ? Easy, greedy bankers with help from city traders, all people trying to make big money without producing anything.
So who loses ? Mainly the financial sector, and once again people trying to make money without producing anything.
The very existence of money has created banking, the city dealers and to a large extent taxation. In reality money is nothing more than numbers on paper that allow us to exchange property.
The problem is that these non-productive workers in banking, and the city (insurance are not far behind) have been allowed to use money to manipulate business and make themselves vastly wealthy without contributing anything to business as they produce nothing. It is time for business to go back to funding itself instead of borrowing and having to pass the cost of that borrowing on to the customers.
One other thought - if you have a house with or without a mortgage and it is the place you live and intend to remain for a few years then house prices are pretty much irrelevant. A house is a place to live and once again people trying to make money without producing anything have distorted the market and forced prices up with stupidity like "Buy to Let". A house price re-adjustment is well overdue and it needs to be a large one to get back to the real terms situation of say 20 or 30 years ago. Let's get back to buying houses to live in and bankers only lending sensible amounts for that purpose.

DaveLambert100 28 Aug 2008, 8:32am

Sometimes I find it had to believe that people get paid for writing this stuff.
With the UK economy perhaps already in recession and inflation once again rearing its ugly head, plus the liklihood of the value of sterling plummetting further against other currencies (?) is it really sensible to be recommending to pensioners that they go into level annuities which are largely based on investments in UK securities such as bonds? I think you would have to take a long hard look at that.

pdcovers 28 Aug 2008, 8:40am

The crunch was caused by a combination of
a) silly people who wanted to borrow more and more more money both to buy a house and to invest and to spend, and
b) greedy lenders who wanted to lend more and more just because there was money in it for them.

Tudders 28 Aug 2008, 8:44am

Re buying level annuites.

Surely not the smartest advice ever. With inflation sitting around 5%, and the average annuitant living over 25 into retirement, the real value of their income will in effect be halved after about 20 years. Should inflation creep higher, well, it's not hard to imagine the effect is it. Don't expect your gas and council tax bills to half over the same period...

teaboy100 28 Aug 2008, 9:45am

alldritg - you sound slightly bitter. I suggest you try living without using any 'bank facilities' from now on, and see how well you get on. If you have one, where would your salary go? Where would you save any money? You'll have to cancel all those direct debits and standing orders. Return any outstanding mortgage and loans. How would you pay for goods? You can't use notes and coins as they are created by the Bank of England, so what do you have to barter with?

davidwdd 28 Aug 2008, 9:47am

In this financial turmoil and governments printing excess money, the oldest form of currency is the safest "GOLD"

chasbmw 28 Aug 2008, 9:49am

The price of houses is not irrelevant if you are a FTB. The cost of funding that 'extra'£100K mortgage is enormouse over a typical 25 year term, even more if you go down the interest only route. Pity those who have gone down that route over the last few years as they will be shackled by debt for some time to come.

Chas

TMFJaneB 28 Aug 2008, 2:12pm

DaveLambert100 and Tudders

Regarding your comments on level annuities - I am not recommending that everyone who is about to retire should go for a level annuity. I am simply saying that rates for level annuties have increased as a result of the credit crunch, therefore it would make sense for anyone who wants a level income to do it sooner rather than later.

I'm sorry if the paragraph came across as a recommendation.

The level versus index-linked annuity is a very complex decision. Certainly index-linked annuities protect income in retirement from erosion by inflation. But, on the downside, the initial income from an index-linked annuity is significantly lower than you would receive from an equivalent level annuity.

I have written on this topic recently. If you're interested take a look at my article 'Give Your Pension An £11,000 Boost'.

Thanks

Jane Baker

UpHillAllTheWay 28 Aug 2008, 9:04pm

Jane, thanks for the link to ICICI's "Hi Save Fixed Rate bond". I just used it with the intention of opening an account - it's an impressive interest rate - but my word, what a lot of information they want!

I clicked the "Open an account" button, and it gave me a pretty standard form to fill in - name, address, etc, then at the bottom, "How long have you lived at the adress" with drop-down boxes for years and months. I filled in 7 months, and - Pow! - another form to fill in about where I lived before. I was a bit taken aback that they should be so cautious about taking people's money, but hey-ho, I filled that in too - then there is a small section that asks among other things, if I am employed, self employed, etc. When I clicked "Empoyed" - Wap! - another form to fill in all about my employer - length of employment, company address, post code, telephone number, etc. Well, I don't write to them, so I didn't know the address, and as I use a quick-dial, I didn't know the phone number, so I had to research these details (just by looking them up in an on-line phone book). When I eventually hit the Submit button, it said "Sorry - your session has been timed out. For your protection, the Back button has been disabled" - so there is no other option than to fill in the whole form again, as all the data had been deleted.

Then I got to wondering why they wanted all this information. If I was going to take out a loan with them, I could understand the caution, but to send them money, what possible motive can they have? I have just filled in a form for Birmingham Midshires, for exactly the same purpose, and all they want is Name, Address and contact details. The small print says that they will run a check with the credit agencies to check that I am who I say I am, but that's all. Which proves that ICICI don't need this info because of any legal requirement.

The problem is that we live in an age when a computer is bought on eBay with thousands of people's bank details on the hard disk, and laptops and CD's go missing with all sorts of personal data on them. People have their bank accounts wiped out because they told too much about themselves on Facebook. It seems to me that the only way to keep your details safe is not to let them stray too far.

I know I'll lose a couple of hundred pounds through it, but I think I'll go with Bradford & Bingly instead!

BiggyBear 31 Aug 2008, 5:01pm

As with UpHillAllTheWay I have also had problems with ICICI bank. I tried to open a savings account and as well as the multiple forms to fill in, they asked for quite unnecessary information. I was also asked for certified copies of both my passport and a utility bill. I got these certified by a local solicitor (at a cost to me) only for them to be not accepted by ICICI. Apparently ICICI want more that just the name and signiature of the certifying person, but also their full address and date of birth. I supplied this in a covering letter, but it had to be written on the certified document. I complained about this to them and the only response I got from them was to quote FSA rules.

After a lot of emailing and ICICI still not budging, despite me finding and quoting to them what the FSA require, I gave up. In the end I opened an account with the Newcastle Building Society where eveything happened online (even certifying my passport and driving licence).

It's all very well for Motley Fool to give this bank a rating in their best buy lists, but what needs to be taken into account is the hassle in actually opening an account. I don't think it's worth it for a few extra £s in interest.

Tula100 01 Sep 2008, 9:39pm

I had exactly the same problem with ICICI bank and declined to continue with the application and went to Newcastle Building Society instead.
ICICI should be able to establish your identity from your main linked current account.

claymate 02 Sep 2008, 9:43am

Quick note on grammar, "criteria" are more than one, so your text should read "lending criteria are" and "lending criteria have".

Cheers, Chris.

Phil135 03 Sep 2008, 6:04pm

Just a quick one about alldrittg first comment. You seem to be very quick to point the blame at individuals perhaps without proper reasoning. I used to be a city trader and made no extra money out of all this recent activity. Traders make money out of markets going up AND down so it doesn't really make any odds to them what is going on in the economy or the market as long as there is movement of some kind. On your point of these people not producing anything, if it weren't for bankers and traders nobody else would be able to produce anything. This is because there would be no business loans, no mortgages, no pensions, no stock market, do I need to continue. What these people produce is the financial tools that enable everybody else to produce!

I agree that the banks have a certain degree of responsibility for inappropriate lending practices but the final staw must surely lie with every last one of us. I mean who is it that over the last decade has indulged themselves in blowing thousands on credit cards, 125% mortgages so we can not only get a house but a new BMW as well and gone out binge drinking what little of our savings we had left. We are all greedy, selfish, ignorant little human beings and that makes us all guilty.

Its now time to pay the price!

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