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Are We Heading For A Global Pensions Collapse?

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By Serena Cowdy | 27 March 2008

If you're worrying about how to fund your retirement, you're certainly not alone.

Many Britons entering old age are being faced with poor returns on their personal pension investments, and inadequate State contributions.

But government balls-ups apart, there are global reasons for the UK pensions meltdown.

I'm going to have a look at two of these - and why pensioners all over the world are suffering as a result.

Short term: Slumping stock markets

The global credit crunch has hit some pension funds - in the UK and elsewhere - particularly hard.

According to research by Morgan Stanley, falling stock markets and interest rates have wiped billions of pounds off the value of UK company pension schemes in recent months.

The investment bank estimates that falls in the FTSE 100 (Footsie) share index since the start of the year have increased Britain's collective company pensions deficit by over 150%.

Many of the UK's largest pension funds have deliberately reduced their exposure to equities in the past few years. But others are still very exposed to the credit crunch - and resulting market turmoil.

In fact, Morgan Stanley recently put together a list of the most ‘at risk' companies. Household names include British Airways, Northern Foods and BT.

So in plain English, many people's company pensions are still largely dependent on the stock markets. And with the Footsie rearing and plunging like a bucking bronco, these schemes seem to be in for a rough ride.

Long term: The world is aging

UK pensions are being hit by a global, demographic phenomenon known as population aging.

In other words, the average age of the British population is rising. Population aging is happening all over the world, but is particularly advanced in richer, more developed nations.

According to the United Nations, the average age of people in such countries has shot up - from 29 in 1950 to 37 in 2000 - and is forecast to rise still further - to over 45 by 2050.

This is bad news for State and company pension schemes all over the world.

In the UK, for example, many employers offering salary-related schemes have closed them to new entrants.

And companies continuing with such schemes are finding themselves under financial strain, partly because of the growing number of retired employees involved.

Several governments have already moved to counter the problems caused by their aging populations - and have faced industrial action and even civil unrest as a result.

In 2003, the French government triggered national strikes when it insisted people work longer to qualify for benefits.

And just last month - in the face of mass public strikes and protests - the Greek parliament passed a controversial pension reform bill which eliminates most early retirement schemes, merges pension funds and caps auxiliary pensions.

You think you've got it bad...

Many of us are worried about being short-changed in our old age. But spare a thought for those in an even bigger mess.

Last year, the Japanese government was forced to admit that the details of 50 million pension fiIes had been lost. That's right - lost. 

And the mammoth blunder - a combination of missing records, bureaucratic confusion and wrongly-entered details - hasn't been sorted out yet.

For those people employed in Japan before 1997, government officials are still trying to work out who holds which pensions.

And experts are predicting the true owners of nearly ten million pension accounts might never be identified. Scary, huh?

So what we can all do?

It isn't all doom and gloom. There are still several things you can do to boost the amount you have to live on in your old age.

Fool writers have covered them in depth elsewhere - but here's a quick reminder of the main points:

•         When you retire, make sure you claim everything you're entitled to from the State.

This could mean the Basic State Pension, Pension Credits and the State Second Pension, plus a wide range of other, age-related benefits.

•         But don't just rely on the State pension pot. Listen to this Fool podcast to find out why you should start saving for your retirement in your twenties.

•         If you do have a personal pension, think about how to invest it. If you don't want to rely on the stock market, there are several other, less risky asset classes to consider.

•         And when it comes to your retirement, do your research and shop around to find the best annuity for you.

•         Finally, there are other ways of saving for your retirement. Property and ISAs are two of the most popular alternatives.

The main thing, it seems, is don't rely solely on the government - or the stock market - to provide for your old age.

Instead, do as much research as possible, understand the risks and benefits involved, and start saving early to shield yourself from any future pensions meltdown!

More: Pensions For Beginners: The Complete Guide

Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool.

At 12:09 on March 27 2008, onlyroz said:

My employer offers a "money purchase" pension scheme - so that they invest for me an amount equivalent to 5% of my salary each month. I'm also investing £100 a month into an ISA that tracks the AllShare - with the intention of upping this amount once my kids start school and I don't have to pay the exhorbitant nursery fees any more.

At 12:35 on March 27 2008, bungalowgill said:

If I have the choice of putting a small amount away for my retirement,I think an ISA is just a viable an option as a stakeholder pension. I know I don't get tax relief on my contributions, but i can access my money in an emergency and I don't have to accept a rubbish annuity for 75% of my fund, have I missed the point?

At 13:30 on March 27 2008, ruisliprabbitt said:

"have I missed the point?"

No, I don't think you have. Or else we both have!

Pensions are currently "cheaper" than ISAs - with all the tax breaks, even after paying tax on income drawn out in retirement.

But with ISAs you can retire when you want to (not 50 or 55), take amounts at a rate that you decide, and you get to keep your capital etc etc.

In a few year's time I'll be 50 when I hope to leave London and go back to the midlands where I come from and take a 4 day a week job. ISAs help, a pension only scenario would hinder this plan.

A high percentage of my assets are in Isas rather than pensions (exc. some final salary entitlements).

I think you got it right, anyone else have views on this?

RR

At 13:41 on March 27 2008, tux222 said:

One drawback with an ISA affects entrepreneurial types. Should one end up bankrupt, an ISA will probably go to one's creditors. A pension won't.

The other drawback is if you are currently paying tax at higher rate but expect to retire on basic rate. In that case you benefit from higher rate tax relief on savings paid into a pension, and it's taxed only at basic rate when you draw the pension.

At 13:50 on March 27 2008, Rob192 said:

"I think you got it right, anyone else have views on this?"

I do a bit of both. I use my full cash and stocks and share ISA allowances each year but also pay into my SIPP to mop up any higher rate tax relief. This gives me a balanced approach as well, the cash element being risk free and a variety of other investments spreads the risk very nicely.

At 18:30 on March 27 2008, sstudent said:

It's so easy to get sucked into the doom & gloom that is going around. For myself I am investing in the stock market via trackers in an ISA & pension so it follows the highs & lows of the market.

Since I don't plan to retire for another 19 years or so I am not that bothered about what is going on.

Historically, the markets have been volitile & even if you look at the events of two world wars & the crash of the 19020's they hardly register on a graph over a century.

So let's just ride the storm & not focus on short term gains. :)

At 23:46 on March 27 2008, Tagster100 said:

I agree with 'sstudent', above. It's easy to get distracted from your long-term goals by short-term market volatility. Constant noise in the Sunday papers and reviews of this month's top-performing funds, and so on don't help.

I think the best thing to do is get the basics right: an asset allocation that matches your investment horizon, low-cost trackers, and hold them for the long-term. Then sit back and relax.

At 08:57 on March 28 2008, hungary said:

43 now, no pension at all. Bought house abroad outright with a view to retire there (cheap living costs), got little bit in cash ISA and a tax-free savings plan with a friendly society that will pay out in my mid-sixties.Hope to earn more money in the next few years to put into Stakeholder (taking advantage of taxbreak and not long until I can draw from it anyway) and rest will be invested in trackers and ISA. Not even sure whether I will qualify for state pension as looked after my children for decades and then my earnings were too low for NI.Hope my children will get rich and support me!!!

At 10:17 on March 28 2008, oldbustard said:

One point to bear in mind is that you can take 25% of your complete 'pension pot' as tax-free cash on retirement. That means, for example, that if you have £150k worth of pension in a company scheme and £50k in AVC's, you can take the whole £50k tax-free. It's worth doing the sums in the last few years of working life, especially if you pay higher rate tax. As ever, pension regs are complicated and everyone's personal circumstances are different, but there are some quite simple and legal tax breaks available without having to take costly financial advice.

At 23:33 on April 07 2008, BOULTBY said:

Plan to live in Ireland on my retirement I have worked all my life in England paid my taxes and hope to still get my state pension and works pension in Ireland. Am I correct they will put it in my irish bank account when I open one or do I keep my english account open for this purpose can anybody advise me.

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