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Why Longer Fixed Rate Mortgages Make Sense

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Published in Mortgages on 3 July 2008

If you’re remortgaging now, which deal should you go for next and for how long?

These days almost six out of ten borrowers choose fixed rate mortgages*. Seemingly, fix rates are becoming increasingly popular, but are they the best choice? Or would you be a fool to fix?

The fixed versus tracker debate has rumbled on for as long as I can remember. Not so very long ago, I backed tracker mortgages. Find out why here. But I think times have already changed.

Back then trackers seemed more attractive than fixed rates. Why? Because it looked like the Bank of England base rate was going to fall. So, borrowers with tracker mortgages linked to the base rate would benefit from any base rate cuts.

When you take out a tracker, the lender sets a margin between the base rate and the tracker interest rate you pay. So, for example, your tracker rate might be 1 per cent higher than the base rate (BBR +1%), which means you would pay interest at 6% today with the base rate at 5%.

Trackers are great when the base rate is falling. A quarter point cut to 4.75% would reduce your tracker interest rate to 5.75%, causing your monthly repayments to drop.

But the outlook for the base rate looks a little different now. We all know inflation is escalating. You probably feel the effects of rising inflation every day: higher food prices, higher fuel prices and so on. 

If the Bank of England raises the base rate to stem inflation, borrowers with a tracker mortgage will find their rates increase too. Some pundits reckon the base rate could be up to 5.75% by the end of the year, which means that 6% tracker rate would step-up to 6.75%. Yikes!

Even though trackers don’t fare well when the base rate is rising, they are -- generally-speaking -- priced more cheaply than fixed rates. Take a look at the table below:

Fixed Versus Tracker

Fixed Rates

Average Rate

Tracker Rates

Average Rate

2 year fixed

6.71%

2 year tracker

6.53%

3 year fixed

6.80%

3 year tracker

6.57%

5 year fixed

6.71%

5 year tracker

6.47%

Source: Defaqto. June 2008.

As you can see the difference between the two is not as pronounced as you might expect, with trackers now less than 0.25% cheaper than fixed rates.  There would only need to one quarter point (0.25%) increase in the base rate for a borrower who took out the average fixed rate now to be on a better deal than the average tracker.

So there’s an easy argument for fixed rates today, but there’s a bit more to it than that.

What about long-term fixed rates?

If you’re remortgaging soon, it’s worth considering a new long-term fixed rate deal. At one time the longer the fix, the higher the rate. But these days, the difference has become marginal. The most competitive five and ten-year fixed rates available today are actually the same at 5.99%. While, the best-buy two year fix is just 0.24% lower at 5.75%.

Given that there’s barely a difference in rates for long and short-term fixed deals, I think there’s a real incentive to fix your rate for longer.

There's three major reasons why now might be a good time to go for a long-term fix. Firstly, mortgage fees are rising so fast that remortgaging is becoming a costly exercise. By going for a longer-term fix -- and therefore remortgaging less frequently -- you could keep these costs down.

According to Defaqto, the average product fee for a two year fix is £823. On top of that, you may need to pay valuation and legal fees. So remortgaging every two years could become far more expensive than taking a long-term fixed rate instead.

Worse still, it’s becoming more common for lenders to demand fees up front -- rather than adding the cost to your mortgage. So you may need more ready cash when you remortgage.

Secondly, a longer fixed rate should allow you to weather the credit crunch if it proves to be a long-term crisis. By fixing for ten years you should easily ride it out. This means payment shock -- when you can only remortgage to a more costly deal -- won’t be a concern for you in the short-term.

And thirdly -- and perhaps most importantly -- fixed rates provide peace of mind. You’ll always know how much your mortgage will cost during the fixed rate period. While your rate is fixed, there’s no need to worry about interest rate hikes which you can’t afford.

The downside of fixed rates

I can’t deny there’s a downside to fixed rates too. Although most are portable -- you can take the mortgage with you when you move house -- being stuck with the same lender for the next ten years might not appeal.

Worse still, if you need to get out early for any reason -- within the fixed-rate period and sometimes beyond -- there could be heavy early repayment charges (ERCs).  Bradford & Bingley may have the answer with a ten year fix which only charges ERCs for the first five years. This is an unusual feature, but the deal is expensive at 6.99%.

But perhaps the greatest concern is that you could end up paying over the odds for your fixed rate if variable rate mortgages become cheaper. If the base rate falls -- instead of rising as expected -- borrowers with trackers will be laughing. But I think that could be a risk worth taking because mortgage rates don’t look like they’re going to drop any time soon.

Remember, rates are still rising for new fixed and tracker deals as the cost of funding mortgages increases for lenders. So my advice is this: if you see a great mortgage, grab it as quickly as you can because it won’t be around for long.    

*According to the latest data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders (CML).

More: HSBC ‘Rescue’ Mortgage Is Now A Rip-Off | This Mortgage Deal Will Tempt You

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Comments

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Dhahran2001 04 Jul 2008, 8:12am

Perhaps it would help to understand why the mortgage market is where it is?

A long time ago mortgages were almost all variable rate and the term was irrelevant.
Then lenders decided that they could win more business by selectively undercutting their competitors and subsidizing new business at the expense of their existing customers. TMF saw it as 'savy' to remortgage frequently - short term benefit for some in exchange for long term pain for all.

Lenders still have an incentive to maximise business but in this declining market their best strategy must now be to keep existing borrowers. High rearrangement charges are just one example of how this can be done.

My guess is that the drift in the mortgage market will be towards variable rate - because this minimises risk for the lender - and my opinion is that this will be best for all of us. But in a free market there will be nothing to stop a lender trying the undercut/cross-subsidy trick at some point in the future.

kph100 04 Jul 2008, 8:20am

To be honest, when moving house last year we ummed and ahhd about going for the 25 year fixed rate.
At 6.3% i am pleased we did, as i have no worries about increasing rates, and no extra cost of having to pay arrangement fees.

jfuller105 04 Jul 2008, 9:11am

The problems recently experienced by people whos fixed rate deals had come to and end and were forced to find a new deal makes me feel extra smug and Foolish for choosing a tracker at the time that so many experts were advocating fixed rates. With the Bank of England in charge of rates (as opposed to the days of the 15% rate) we can be more confident that any moves will be gradual and moderate than around the time of the last crash. Don't put yourself in the position of being forced to remortgage at some specific time in the future whether you like it or not!

delinear 04 Jul 2008, 9:34am

I wonder what the chances actually are that we'll see a big hike in the base rate. It's true that this is generally an economist's tool to control rampant inflation, and that we're experiencing increasing inflation at the moment. Bear in mind, though, that the inflation we're seeing at the moment is largely being driven by rises in essential goods such as food and fuel, rather than a surge in spending on luxury goods.

The upshot is, will an increase in base rate really curb inflation right now? People will still need to buy food and fuel, all the base rate increase would achieve is hitting them from yet another financial angle. Whoever took that decision could find themselves in a very uncomfortable position in the near future...

Having said all that (and disclaimer, here - I've not bought yet but am looking to do so once the market stabilises) I would still go with fixed rate for the last reason cited: when you take out a mortgage you should plan your budget pretty meticulously to know what you can and can't afford every month, and a fixed rate is the only way to guarantee you can meet that budget.

Trackers are great for those who like a gamble and I'm sure lots of people will now say how much they've saved with a tracker, but I'd happily pay a little more for security and peace of mind.

daydrea 04 Jul 2008, 9:43am

there isnt a right or a wrong.

No one can truly predict the future and everyone is different. Just do what you consider right at that moment in time then forget about it, especially if you are tied in to term.

What will happen with the economy? Will we have a change of government? What will happen with inflation?

Only God knows.......if he ever writes an article about what is the best mortgage to have, let me know, you will have my attention.

merv212 04 Jul 2008, 10:39am

The simple proposition is why take interest rate risk on the financing of a long-term asset! Even the experts don't know the direction of interest rates so why try and speculate on interest rates?
My mortgage is my highest monthly expenditure so i chose to take out a 10 yr fix at 4.83% in Sep 2005.

Fazzersix 04 Jul 2008, 11:23am

Ok I'm going to put a spanner in the works and take out a flexible mortgage !

AlexInCornwall 04 Jul 2008, 6:39pm

Jane, I know the mortgage market moves fast and you wrote the article in the dim and distant past known as yesterday, but who is still offering 5.99% for 5 and 10 year fixes? I don't see them listed on the Fool's mortgage pages.

gordonbanks42 04 Jul 2008, 9:18pm

There seems to be some confusion (dhahran 2001) between discounted fixed-rate mortgages (which are short-term deals and not the subject of this article) and long-term fixed rate deals at or about the proper market rate for long-term money (which are, I thnk, what the article is about).
The latter is not an instrument of short-termist competition between banks and does not cost them money as a loss-leader. Hence those deals are not subsidised by other borrowers. The banks hand off the interest rate risk using derivatives when they get the funding set up - usually before they ever lend it to anyone.
If you look at how home purchase finance works in most European countries you will find that the vast majority of finance is based on long-term fixed rate deals and their housing markets are by and large far more sensible than ours, if somewhat dull. Suggests that we have something to learn about financing house purchases or what? The exceptions are usually where there is an influx of "hot" foreign money for speculative development (eg Spain).
I cannot understand why TMF writers ever thought that it was smart to try to surf the short-term mortgage market rather than go for long-term fixes. The former requires skills in market timing, whereas TMF ideology is by and large to avoid having to try to time the market in anything, at all, ever (I hope Cliff D is reading this). The extreme distress now being suffered by those whose discounts are coming to an end with no prospect of comparable replacements is a direct reflection of the reinvestment risk arising from the short-termist rate-tart approach. It's just as daft as the financing stunt (they called it a Strategy, of course) that the ex-managers of the Northern Rock tried to pull, and for all the same reasons - mis-match of asset and liability terms. Eventually the tart gets caught with undies around ankles... Fine (perhaps) if you're an institution with a massive capital base, but almost certainly not fine for the man on the Clapham omnibus.

In June last year I took out a 10 year fix at 5.69% and I am grinning very broadly (if somewhat selfishly) as I write because I know that I am only ever fighting an affordability battle on one front - maximising my income, rather than two - maxmising my income and managing mortgage costs. The fact that mortgage rates are now above what I am fixed at is just a small bonus - it wasn't why I did it. If mortgage rates fall back to 5% ish in 2 or 3 years' time I won't be too sad because I know that interest rate rises alone cannot force me out of my home for a very long time.

sstudent 07 Jul 2008, 10:24am

To be honest it is down to peronal preference & what the individual feels is right for them. I favour fixed rates for the simple perspective of knowing exactly what I am paying month in month out. Yes, of course the market & rates go up & down & we can get all headless chicken & chase them.

Or you can just get it fixed & effectively forget about it. The up & downs of late have only confirmed my view that fixed rates are the way to go.

TMFJoker 11 Jul 2008, 1:36pm

When I moved to England from America I was surprised that you can call a mortgage that is not fixed for the *entire* term "fixed-rate".

Across The Pond a "fixed rate" mortgage is fixed for the whole term (usually 30 years) and never chances, ever.

A mortgage with a fixed rate for X years that reverts to a variable rate after that is called an "adjustable rate" mortgage.

Personally, I would only ever fix for the entire term (so a 30 year fix on a 30 year mortgage). If rates go down significantly I can refinance, if they go up I'm protected indefinitely.

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