The Easiest Way To Become A Millionaire

Published in Investing Strategy on 16 March 2010

You can get lucky and pick a huge winner, or you can use this time-tested investing strategy.

There are some people who have made good money finding shares like Domino's Pizza (LSE: DOM) or Cairn Energy (LSE: CNE) when they were tiny companies, then staying with them until their market cap is well over £1 billion.

But finding such future stock market stars isn't easy. The odds are very much against you, as most small caps never make it to the big league. 

We'd like to share with you a simple, easy strategy for becoming wealthy -- and then give you share ideas based on it. Although it's simple, it takes discipline to adhere to the rules. But if you follow this advice, you'll be well on your way to a million-pound portfolio.

Keep it simple

One of the biggest mistakes investors make is complicating the process. Academics have proven that more information doesn't necessarily lead to better decisions -- but it does lead to overconfidence. Even worse, the more time and effort you put into researching, analysing, and deciding whether to buy a share, the more likely you are to buy it -- even if it's a horrible company after all.

Overconfidence and overcommitment are counterproductive in investing -- and it's why keeping your investment criteria simple and easy can help you avoid falling into these traps.

What sort of criteria are we suggesting? Just two steps:

1. Find strong, long-term dividend-paying companies

Dividends are the surest gains you can find in any market environment. Even though the 10-year trailing return of the FTSE 100 is negative, when you factor in dividends, the returns can look quite different.

It's best to look for companies with a long history of paying out dividends, and a long history of not cutting dividends. That would mean avoiding companies like British Airways (LSE: BAY) and Lloyds Banking Group (LSE: LLOY), for example.

You should find companies with predictable, sufficient free cash flow, so you can be reasonably sure these dividends will continue to be paid.

And now for the hard part...

2. Hold forever

The strongest of dividend-paying companies raise their dividend over time. So when you hold one for long enough, you eventually reach a point where you are making more money annually in dividends than you initially invested in the company.

This is hastened when you reinvest your dividends back into the company, with each dividend purchasing even more shares of the company, meaning even more payout at the next interim or final dividend.

So long as the business continues to perform, and the company continues to maintain or raise its payouts, the simplest and most lucrative approach is to remain an owner and collect your dividends.

Implementing this strategy

The FTSE 100 has many steady dividend-paying companies. For example…

CompanyHistoric
Yield
10-year
growth
rate
GlaxoSmithKline (LSE: GSK)4.9%5.1%
Br Am Tobacco (LSE: BATS)4.5%14.3%
Centrica (LSE: CNA)4.3%17.7%
Tesco (LSE: TSCO)2.7%11.9%

We've seen more than a fair share of dividend blowups over the past year, but if you look for a company with enduring demand, and sufficient free cash flow -- you are following the easiest way to become a millionaire.

More on the economy and the markets:

> Time is running out if you want to use your tax-free ISA allowance for 2009/10. Protect your investments from the clutches of the taxman with a Motley Fool Self Select ISA.

> A version of this article, written by Adam J. Wiederman, was originally published on Fool.com. It was first published on fool.co.uk on 28 October 2009. It has been updated again by Bruce Jackson.

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Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

lotontech 16 Mar 2010 , 10:48am

I think novice investors should think carefully about this article before taking its conclusions too literally.

You said:

"It's best to look for companies with a long history of paying out dividends, and a long history of not cutting dividends. That would mean avoiding companies like British Airways (LSE: BAY) and Lloyds Banking Group (LSE: LLOY), for example."

I might be wrong about this, but didn't Lloyds Banking Group and other banks have a long history of paying (and not cutting) dividends up until 2007? Pity the poor investors who bought in at that time on this advice, and held 'forever'.

You said:

"So when you hold one for long enough, you eventually reach a point where you are making more money annually in dividends than you initially invested in the company."

You mention Tesco, which by my reckoning would need to become a 37-bagger (price target 16162p) in order for your future annual dividends to equal to today's purchase price of 435p at the historic yield of 2.7%.

Your point may be true of the formerly tiny companies like Dominos and Cairn that you mention at the start, but surely you don't expect Tesco to become a 37-bagger?

(Mental arithmetic is not my strong point, so I may well have got some of these figures wrong, but I think my general point is sound)

Ballusbagus 16 Mar 2010 , 12:13pm

True indeed about the perils of just going for the dividend spewers.
This article is the kind of rhetoric that produces herd mentality. Better would be to learn to judge businesses on their business fundemantels like Warren Buffet does.

Lotontech, the author meant you'd finally get dividends accumulating to as much as you'd invested... Agh me mates arrived in the pub, gotta go

Basia02 16 Mar 2010 , 12:30pm

Yes the last poster, lotontech, makes a good point. Until a few years ago Lloyds were always the example used as a longterm dividend payer. This seems to contradict the point of the article.

FoxyWeasel 16 Mar 2010 , 12:57pm

Sound advice but missing the tools. Thankfully, you journalists are finally taking note of academic evidence. But, I wonder why you still keep on recommending people buy individual shares which is fraught with emotion and leads to disaster. The US market is far more educated than we are here so there is better access to the shares, via a fund, which have provided the best long-term returns. Small company value. Vanguard launched their core index tracking funds at the beginning of last year and in time they will introduce small and value company indexes. The problem is it takes decades to educate the public, and journalists! So, go and buy "Smarter Investing" by Tim Hale and start educating the public. Its your duty. Your readers will have a much more peaceful life and thank you for it.

sdi2 16 Mar 2010 , 1:23pm

Its interesting to see the buy and hold strategy being talked about again.
This was the Fools main strategy up till 2007 and then it faded into obscurity, until now.
And yes, Lloyds was a prime buy and hold candidate. I bought it and I held it.
However, time is on my side and its not a loss until I sell.

scurlogue 16 Mar 2010 , 1:51pm


I was with a popular , some would say Friendly, Provident society which claimed that it followed the very same golden rules. It lost about 2% over 10 years. In real terms (if the same money had gone a building society) the figure would be closer to 50%. However, if Lloyds did pay a nominal dividend it is reasonable to suggest that the share price could very well be 50% higher as the down side has been covered by the government and an unduly, (apperently un-audited), pessimistic set of loss provisions.
What have I missed?

WealthyInvestor 16 Mar 2010 , 2:28pm

'The past is no prediction of the future' as someone once said, and where dividends are concerned, how true that is.

Basia02 makes the point about Lloyds, and Warren Buffet said himself not so long ago that he would not wish to have too much of his personal wealth tied up in tobacco companies, despite historically having invested in them and despite the current dividend attraction.

British American Tobacco is on your list for the ten years time growth rate, yet what attitude will society have in regard to smoking a decade from now and what legislative framework may surpress earnings for that sector over the next decade? Who knows.....

As for 'hold forever', that seems to be one of the most widely mis-understood investing concepts around. Warren Buffet himself is well known for his comment that 'my favourite holding period is forever' yet he doesn't generally do this in practice at all (aside from the well known investments like Coca Cola and so on), and by any investment benchmark, the man is at the vanguard of brilliance.

The key point is the principle behind the phrase, which is a sound one. Buy AS IF you were going to hold forever, not take it literally. It is useful to the investor as a means of behaviour modification to maximise potential return, not literally to be applied which could lead to significant losses even when at the time of investing you were completely correct to do so.

FoxyWeasel, the main counter-point to your argument is that many fund managers produce average returns, but I totally agree with you that for most investors, they are the safest way to secure above average returns compared to what that person may have achieved by themselves, but I am talking about amateur investors here. For the investor who would like to think that they know what they are doing, nobody would franchise out their investment decision making to fund managers anymore than you would pay someone else to raise your child. (How many people have I just offended there?!). Oh yes, and there is another good reason. Investing yourself, can be FUN!

Have a great day people.

uncut1 16 Mar 2010 , 4:00pm

I was an experienced investor or at least I thought so.

Reinvested my dividends took shares as my annual bonus invested in what I knew.

Unfortunately I worked for a bank and what I knew was banking so many of my investements were in banking and finanacial stocks.

In 2007 my portfolio dropped 14 % a blip I thought,and carried on reinvesting dividends. In 2008 my portfolio dropped 56%.

Investing can be fun but that is the sort of fun I can do without.
These days my funds are with Neil Woodford .

rober00 16 Mar 2010 , 5:15pm

I heartly endorse FoxyWeasels recommendation for "Smarter Investing" the data Tim Hale shows is second to none in my opinion.

Investing in high yield stocks (often leveraged by the companies concerned) is one of the elements of my investment strategy and has led to both successes and failures, although overall I am winning.

Long term investing for dividends is like pound cost averaging, in my opinion, some time it works sometimes it doesn't.

I work on the basis that if I am right 6 out of 10 times I am comfortable. It is inevitable that long term dividend payers will from time to time go bust whatever size they are. Hence the need for diversification in the portfolio. If your portfolio is not large enough to support proper diversification, then clearly funds would seem to be the answer, though in my opinion Investment Trusts rather than the grossly expensive OEICS and Unit Trusts. Why overpay generally underperforming and overhyped managers, take the rewards yourself!!!

Dozey1 16 Mar 2010 , 10:09pm

Investing in funds is like dribbling water (your savings/capital) into a leaky bucket without knowing the size of the hole (charges). Even a small hole will make a considerable difference to your future. I've seen unit trusts that churn 100% of their portfolio in a year; others whose holdings include other unit trusts from the same stable. Don't go there is my advice.

bouleversee 17 Mar 2010 , 8:08pm

Everyone in my family is losing money with Neil Woodford. His trust didn't do any better than our individual shares in the crash and has been slower to recover. I have had several complete wipe outs with funds, including investment trusts, and never made any money with them so these days I plough my own furrow and if I lose I have only myself to blame.

RobinnBanks 18 Mar 2010 , 1:16am

My pension is with Neil Woodford: it's still down 15% since 2007;
but it's up 25% since last March, while the FTSE is up over 60%.
No doubt it will recover, but missing the banks has cost us money.

Kev1986 18 Mar 2010 , 1:09pm

If the reason we invest is for compound interest, why don't we keep our money in the bank? A yield like Tesco at 2.7% is not appealing to me. In order to become a millionaire as the article suggests you need to be successful at picking stocks which you believe will grow, over a long period (10yrs+). If it pays a good dividend then that’s a bonus. No one with average amount to invest will become a millionaire at 2.7.% yield.

54Nick 23 Mar 2010 , 10:53am

I think both sides of the argument is the best way to invest.
1) To have solid reliable stocks that pay a dividend , and 2) a couple of researched good growth opportunity stocks that normaly smaller companies in AIM sector. Its finding the right risk balance in your portfolio here is the key.!!

billyboy121 02 Aug 2010 , 1:59pm

uncut1 said 'I was an experienced investor or at least I thought so.

Unfortunately I worked for a bank and what I knew was banking so many of my investements were in banking and finanacial stocks.'

No disrespect intended but it sounds as though you missed out on a cardinal rule - diversification. Having all of your eggs in one basket (sector) is pretty rash, qed, especially if you work in that sector also (so may be open to possibility of redundancy as well as a drop in shares prices).

I also invested in a few banks for what turned out to be the wrong reasons and got my fingers burned, but those losses were limited to that part of the portfolio. Like 54Nick says, finding the right risk balance in your portfolio is important, including your level of exposure to each sector and asset class

RFow 03 Dec 2010 , 7:25pm

The easiest way to become a millionaire is to start off as a billionaire and buy a vineyard...

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