Beautiful Game, Lousy Investment

Published in Investing Strategy on 24 November 2009

A new football fund has just been launched. Are you game?

Football is a beautiful game, at least it was until Thierry Henry got his hands on it, but it has generally been a lousy investment.
Yet it still attracts billions from investors seeking the glamour and glory, and now ordinary investors can get a slice of the action for as little as $25,000. 

The London Nominees Football Fund, distributed by Business Glass Group, is targeting offshore and South East Asian investors looking for an alternative to traditional equity-based asset classes: English football.

Football Focus

The fund will invest in clubs, players, franchises, merchandising and other football activities, in a bid to tap into the global popularity of English football. It points out that football is now played and followed in 202 countries, with the European football market earning more than 12 billion euros in 2006. Clubs also enjoy a brand loyalty that is second to none.

Fascinatingly, the Football Fund is also looking to identify English Championship clubs with the facilities and the fan base to cash in by getting promotion to the Premiership. It points out that they can expect a £43 million windfall from TV rights and other incomes if it succeeds.

The fund has hired three grizzled old pros to help guide their choice, Peter Reid, Jim Smith and Neil Sillett, and claims to have three teams in its sights. After buying the team, it says it will build the management structure and player base to achieve promotion.

It may not be that easy of course.

High hopes and own goals

Buying a Championship team with designs on the Premiership is hardly the easy path to riches. Here I have to declare an interest.

I'm a Wolves fan. If my portfolio had been as successful as my team over the last 20 years, I'd be a bankrupt Wolves fan.

In May, 1990 multimillionaire Sir Jack Hayward bought the mighty Wolves for £2.1 million. Over the next 17 years, he invested up to £60 million in the ground and players in a bid to restore the club to the Premiership. They managed just one season at the highest level, and were instantly relegated.

In May 2007, Hayward sold the club to businessman Steve Morgan for a nominal £10 fee, plus the promise of £30m investment in the club. That was a marvellous act of footie philanthropy (thanks, Sir Jack!), but it was lousy investing.

The glory game

A lot of money has poured into football, but I've never seen too many people take money out of it, except for the overpaid players and Rupert Murdoch. People who buy football clubs have generally done it for love (or fame, or glory, or something to do on a Saturday) not money.

I can see the thrill of owning a Premiership club if you are, say, a Russian billionaire who can afford to pack his first team and reserves with the world's best footballers, or you are using your business wealth to buy your boyhood team.

But viewing it strictly as an investment opportunity, you really are taking on an excessive amount of risk.

And it is a form of risk the management has little control over. A star forward's fragile metatarsal, a missed penalty or a controversial last minute handball could rob you of your returns in a moment.

He shoots, he scores

The Football Fund isn't pinning all its hopes on a Championship club, it also aims to score financially (geddit?) by identifying young overseas players with the talent to crack the UK or European market, using its grassroots networks across Africa and Latin America. It will also seek exclusive rights to popular Premiership franchises in Asia, and organise profitable football tournaments and events.

I'm most impressed by the plans to tap in the huge popularity of the Premier League in Asia, although I wonder whether this market is already sewn up by the big four clubs themselves.

Aiming high

The fund is domiciled in Bermuda but run out of Hong Kong and Thailand. Minimum investment is $25,000 and the maximum is $1m. 

It is targeting a 7% return in the first year, 9% in the second year, and 10-12% in the third year. If it gets lucky with a Championship club -- and remember they haven't bought one yet -- it claims returns could rise to 40% in a single year.

A long shot

London Nominees aren't the first to give football funds a go. In 1997, Singer & Friedlander launched its own Football Fund, looking to cash in on the football boom of the late 1990s. It also called in an old pro, hiring TV pundit Alan Hansen as an adviser, but it was quickly kicked into touch. The fund turned £1,000 into £761 in four years, and was replaced by the S&F Global, Media and Leisure fund in May 2001.

Anybody who invests in this latest risky venture will be hoping they also won't take be heading for an early bath. Because one thing is certain, this isn't a defensive investment.

Editor's note -- the company that runs this fund has just told us that it is currently broadening its investment objectives and is planning a relaunch on 1 February 2010.

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Comments

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BarrenFluffit 25 Nov 2009 , 11:09am

Football clubs have a fundamental problem of profitability and tend to be run to achieve non financial aims. this approach is supported by FA rules. If a supermarket was run on the same basis it too would be a terrible investment.

Strategically it seems very hard for owners to stop the players hoovering up any additional income; even in the US professional sports teams have tremendous financial strife.

cybernian 25 Nov 2009 , 6:16pm

I think his is the first time in 10 years I have wanted to add a comment to a Fool posting, but even the very notion of a football fund would motivate me to do it.

Foolish Friends....

NO!

I invested the minimum 1000 pounds in the Singer and Friendlander fund back in 1997 and got an important lesson, the hard way.

Anyone with spare cash even thinking of doing something different to sticking it in the bank and beginning in the world of investment, read on.....

I didn't really understand the concept of the Motley Fool at the time, but had just invested some spare money in a mutual fund. This had done quite well, so I trusted The Wise people that managed funds. In fact I still respect the people that managed that fund, because as luck had it, my first excursion into managed funderland was managed by Anthony Bolton, guess where.

When the Football Fund came along I thought that was a great opportunity -

1 It was obvious, even to an imbecile like me, that there was huge money in and around football
2 Professional people - experts, no less - were going to latch on to a share of it on my behalf
3 They would be investing in things (like certain football clubs) that most people can't normally buy shares of
4 I got a year's free entries to Football Pools competition
5 By investing through a particular broker, I got a discounted price, so I got even more shares (1020) than I would have by investing directly with the fund manager

Now I have no clue about football and no score draws, so needless to say I didn't win the pools, but I was confident that professional money management would give me a return on the investment. In the end I didn't even get a return OF my investment.

Now, I walked into it with my eyes open.

I accepted that shares can go down as well as up. Of course, in the long run they usually go up, and having a diverse enough bunch of them should prevent a wipe out.

I walked out of it with my eyes opened a bit wider.

It amazed me that professional money managing people couldn't make money out of football when millions of pounds were changing hands to play it, broadcast it, watch it, sell T Shirts, wear T Shirts.

It amazed me even further when I was presented with an annual management charge for the fund even when it was losing money hand over fist.

I got an annual report posted to me explaining how the season went, and the outlook for next year, but eventually they wrote to me to tell me what was left was all to be transferred to a UK Growth Fund.

This fund actually returns a dividend of about 3%. Actually money coming back to me that I can re-invest. Yippeee! There was a lesson in this too - if a fund drops from £1000 to £400, how much does it need to grow by to recover your money? How long will that take?

I love maths, so I know that a 60% drop in value doesn't need 60% of rise to recover, it needs 150% on top of the remaining amount - that's 250% of the remaining amount. And at 3% a year that won't take a full 50 years, because compounding means it is only 31 years.

In other words it might take 6 times longer to recover the money than it did to lose it. I might get my investment back to square one by 2034 or so. Never mind that pesky inflation stuff.

I am not having a dig at the Football Fund alone, I suspect these experiences could apply to many managed funds.

So a useful lesson. I'm not being entirely sarcastic here either. I learnt that some shares can go down even when the rest of the FTSE is going through the roof, managers aren't necessarily right all the time, and their charges mean you can lose money on a managed fund even when the fund doesn't lose money, and when it does lose money, you will lose even more.

There is another lesson too, though. Some times you have got to take the plunge and try things. If you try things you might fail, but if you fail, try to fail quick and learn from your mistakes. If you don't try, you can't really succeed either.

Cybernian

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