The Ultimate Strategy For The Individual Investor

Published in Investing Strategy on 7 July 2009

The odds are stacked against you. But, if you follow these 3 simple strategies, you too can beat the City whizz-kids.

Institutional or individual investor, we're all here because we're playing a game -- and the game is called "find the 50-pence pound."

But you should know that this game is fixed -- and not in a good kind of way. Institutional players are going to steal the shirt off your back unless you take the time to understand how and why.

The Market Behind The Curtain

The market is a great thing, but it's not around to help you make money. In fact, the market primarily benefits two sets of financial institutions: the brokerage houses that are the conduits to the market itself, and the large-scale asset managers. And until very recently, you didn't even have the ability to get in on the market by yourself. Individuals could only participate with the assistance of expensive intermediaries.

Today, many of the barriers to individual investing have disappeared -- but not because financial institutions felt bad leaving you out of the action. No, no. The reality is that these crafty businesses realised they could make an absolute fortune bringing you into the game.

See, the vast majority of individual investors will not beat the market over the course of their investing career, thanks to the combination of three fundamental realities:

1. Institutions own the arcade, making them the effective gatekeepers of all trades. Every time you buy or sell, the institutions get to collect their toll.

2. Institutions control the money. With around 70% of the market's assets in the hands of investment firms, they have the ability to move (or create) markets whenever they wish.

3. Institutions are very well-armed. They have more intellectual, financial, and computational firepower than you could ever dream of. Whatever information or insight you're able to generate on your own is likely to be old news to them.

These market truisms help set the stage for widespread individual investor underperformance. But the fact is, institutions don't care whether you win or lose. They just want you playing the game as often as possible.

So what do you do if you want to actually win?

Rule No. 1: Don't Play Their Game

The messages we get from most financial institutions are all pretty much the same. Most involve a smattering of strategies that include constant trading, significant portfolio turnover, and an eye that is fixed on the daily news cycle. Never mind that study after study proves these principles are useless, and will cost you about 5% annually in charges for as long as you keep them up.

So why do those financial experts keep promoting them? Simple. Financial institutions and their brethren profit from them. They earn commission or advertising revenue, and they get the added benefit of competing against individuals who will operate in a very predictable fashion. Both work heavily to their advantage.

To level the playing field, then, consider doing the following:

1. Don't attempt to time the market.

2. Don't trade frequently without a very good reason.

3. Don't buy into the "insight" of the financial media.

Bottom line: The stocks you buy are not lottery tickets meant to be scratched and then thrown away. They represent fractional ownership of a real, live business. So focus on fundamental analysis gleaned directly from audited financial statements, buy shares that are selling for less than their intrinsic value, and plan to hold your investment until your thesis has manifested.

But if you're smart, you want more than just a level playing field.

Rule No. 2: Know Thine Enemy

Ask any fighter: The single best way to defeat an opponent is to identify his weaknesses, and then exploit the hell out of them.

Institutional asset managers have two massive weaknesses that you should punish at every opportunity:

1. Most institutional investors are obligated to focus on the short term.

2. All institutional investors are handicapped by their own size.

Institutions live and die by their performance. Good performance attracts new capital, which leads to more money in their pocket. And, as you might guess, poor performance does much the opposite. This reality means that most institutional investors can't afford to suffer even the briefest periods of poor performance.

These short-term pressures force many institutions to simply avoid buying shares like BP (LSE: BP), Reckitt Benckiser Group (LSE: RB), and Shire (LSE: SHP), even if they know they're excellent long-term holdings (which they are).

Here's how you can flip this weakness around on them: Ride out the inevitable volatility of the stock market by buying and holding great companies for the long term. This also avoids the costs of unnecessary trading, which bring down your overall returns as well.

The larger and perhaps more crippling weakness of institutional investors is their sheer size. When you're investing billions of pounds, it's just not worth your time to go after small-companies such as Immunodiagnostic Systems (LSE: IDH), ITE Group (LSE: ITE), and Spice (LSE: SPI). The big guys would if they could, but their own wealth holds them back.

Again, here's where you can capitalise. Take advantage of the exponential growth that happens early in the development of superstar companies, especially when the big boys can't or won't. Remember, a £100 million company can reward you just as well as a £5 billion one.

Rule No. 3: Change The Rules

In other words, if you want to beat the market -- and the City -- you need to do two things:

1. Bypass the short-term irrationality of the market by purchasing shares the City has discounted for near-term issues and then hold them for the long term.

2. Focus especially on those companies that are generally too small for institutions to play with, because you'll generate superior returns in this category.

You'd be astonished how quickly the City will turn its back on fantastic businesses like IG Group (LSE: IGG) when the waters get even a little bit choppy -- because they have to. So go on, play the game with the big boys. But play it in ways they don't want you to.

Our Motley Fool Champion Shares investment currently has buy recommendations on 10 small-company stocks that stand ready to help you do exactly that. Click here to take a free look at all of our recommendations.

More on the economy and the markets:

> A version of this article was originally published on Fool.com. It has been updated by Bruce Jackson, who does not have an interest in any of the companies mentioned in this article.

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Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

Milsonman 07 Jul 2009 , 4:31pm

".........fantastic businesses like IG Group (LSE: IGG).........and do I see an IG add in the top right hand corner."

Only joking a good article and I agree with the core sentiments.

Can I add a Rule 4: Buy shares where there is a share dividend reinvestment option. I think some learned academics at LBS or other recently proved that that was critical to a winning strategy over the longer term.

Questing09 08 Jul 2009 , 7:12am

Excellent, this is one of the best articles I've read on Fool.
In similar vein there is an interesting comment on Galmarley.com on the dangers of stop-loss facilities - how these are promoted as valuable defences but in fact can create "smaller and unnecessary losses which can be even more damaging in the long term", as they will be activated by market professionals moving their prices just to create a little action and create those kinds of opportunities which benefit them, not you.
Incidentally, has a proper study been done on the impact of automatic stop-losses on the market? It's bad enough when human sentiment (ie panic reactions) combine to send markets down, but when you have stop-loss facilities automatically selling off at a certain price, and thereby setting off another chain at a lower price, and so on, it's amazing that the whole system doesn't collapse.

appamama 08 Jul 2009 , 12:29pm

Good article. All the same, we must not overlook the utility of market players. The good big institutions help small investors earn decent returns without having to study markets. Media houses disseminate information. If nothing else, they tell the smart investor which way the wind is blowing.

keirfamily 08 Jul 2009 , 4:58pm

A very helpful (and reassuring) article. I'd possibly add Rule 5 - detect, resent and minimise attempts by the Wise to take a %ge of your money, whether in 'performance' or annual fees, initial discounts, brokers fees, IFA trail fees, and especially tax.

Oh, and if you want exposure to a section of the market, use ETFs from a (relatively) safe counter party with the minimum TER.

"Investing is like golf - you win by making the fewest mistakes".

LordEssex 12 Jul 2009 , 9:04am

Unfortunately research like this paper
http://faculty.haas.berkeley.edu/odean/papers/Courage/courage.html
shows that private investors are even worse at stock picking than institutions.
DIY investing loses you 2% a year against the market.

JerryLow 13 Jul 2009 , 9:11pm

Sometimes considered boring by people: dividend investing.

Find a good, high dividend yielding stock, but it and just do nothing. A lof of online stock brokers don't even charge you any costs besides the buying/selling costs.

Here's an overview of the highest dividend yielding FTSE stocks:

http://www.TopYields.nl/Top_dividend_yields_of_FTSE100.php

steveopti 15 Jul 2009 , 11:19am

A cool and humorous article on investing! For an individual investor, one must understand the fundamentals of the company strongly.
www.check2cash.co.uk

michaelbarr 15 Jul 2009 , 3:48pm

This is very common amongst investors who continue to believe they have the ability to somehow outperform the markets, even when they continue to fail with their stock selections.
The odds are against you. There is a great body of academic work and good books written confirming that what you are doing is not likely to give a good long-term outcome. A major factor is the cost of trading, and the risk of missing market returns, judged against a simple market index.

Many investors would be better investing some of their time by looking up some of the works of Kahneman and Tversky etc. There are references to their work on Wikipedia. Papers, summary reviews and other evidence can be found on the EBIS website www.ebisgroup.co.uk and going to the evidence
pages.

lexus111 15 Jul 2009 , 10:19pm

This is without doubt the best article on investing I have ever read on this site or any other website. An absolute must for investors.

It has changed my outlook completely and has already made me a better and more knowledgable stock market participant.

Thanks Nick.

datacast 20 Jul 2009 , 9:55am

Good article - Motley Fool using a different angle to promote good investment practices.

One I would recommend you repeat in a couple monthss.

TMFNarti 29 Mar 2011 , 8:06pm

test 201103291506

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