3 Things To Loathe About Aviva Plc

Published in Company Comment on 8 March 2013

Do these three things make Aviva plc (LON:AV) a poor investment?

There are things to love and loathe about most companies. Today, I'm going to tell you about three things to loathe about FTSE 100 insurance group Aviva (LSE: AV) (NYSE: AV.US).

I'll also be asking whether these negative factors make Aviva a poor investment today.

Silly name

I've never liked companies with daft, meaningless names. 'Aviva' is one of the worst I can think of. It sounds like something a team on TV's 'The Apprentice' would dream up.

The alpha male: "Hey, guys, we should call ourselves 'Viva' -- it says, like, you know, we're winners, long live us."

The dippy, arty one: "We could put an 'A' at the front and make it into a palindrome."

The alpha male: "Neat. Any other ideas? No? Aviva it is then."

The re-branding of a company formed by mergers of Norwich Union, Commercial Union and General Accident was launched with a £9m advertising campaign -- probably the most expensive ever in the UK insurance industry.

Increasing turnover

No, not a compliment on Aviva's revenue, which has been falling for the past five years, but a rebuke for the rapidly revolving door in the company's boardroom over the same period.

Current chief executive Mark Wilson is the third CEO in five years, his predecessors having stepped down after, in the first case, a failed takeover approach for Prudential, and, in the second, a shareholder revolt over executive pay. There have been innumerable other executive and non-executive departures and arrivals over the period.

Disappearing dividends

Aviva announced this week that it was cutting its final dividend by 44% and anticipates cutting its next interim by the same order. The 'rebasing' is to ensure that "the current and future dividend is sustainable".

Aviva also cut its dividend in 2009 (by 27%) to "a sustainable level from which it can grow" … and in 2002 (by 39%) to a level from which it could pursue "a progressive policy of growing dividends".

The implied payout for Aviva shareholders of 14.63p in the next 12 months compares with a 38p dividend in 2001.

A poor investment?

Do the negative factors I've highlighted make Aviva a poor investment today? In my book: yes.

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> G A Chester does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this article.

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Comments

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craigant 08 Mar 2013 , 1:04pm

this makes Aviva sound like a real 'dog show'.
hopefully the new CEO is able to turn things around - i must say on a fwd yield of 4.8% - i would be loathe to invest in it when you can get similar yields from growing insurers (LGEN & SL/ come to mind) a much better yield from solid growing ADM and even though Prudential yields a 'lowly' 2.5% its 8% per annum growth rate in the div over the last 5yrs and stellar share price performance would have made it 100x better as an investment...
this company has A LOT of work to do to show investors its worth investing their hard earned savings into.

vinchainsaw 08 Mar 2013 , 1:35pm

Its priced for all these things.

As for silly names - Apple? Microsoft?

theRealGrinch 08 Mar 2013 , 2:55pm

aviva, aveva, arriva...olé

goodlifer 08 Mar 2013 , 4:57pm

Like Mr Bland, I've built up a bit of a holding in Aviva over time, and I'm naturally disappointed in the dividend cut.

On the other hand they'd fetch more then they cost, and the dividend is not to be sneezed at, even now.

Worse things happen at sea.

davelewis1 12 Mar 2013 , 3:28pm

I love the name (opps), like Abba.

If they change CEOs enough times they might get a good one.

G A Chester does not own shares in Aviva - great reason to buy more!

The price has dropped, buy more!

Dividend is still good, and hopefully sustainable.

Having said this, I'm investing in Dragon Oil next.

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