Why I’m A Long-Term Investor In Tesco Plc

Published in Company Comment on 26 February 2013

At the right price, there's a lot to like about Tesco plc (LON:TSCO).

Back in 2009, as stock markets recovered from a slump that had seen the FTSE 100 dip below 3,500, cheap shares abounded. And believe me, I was buying.

But one share attracted me more than most: Tesco (LSE: TSCO) (NASDAQOTH: TSCDY.US), where the market's collapse had seen the share price fall from 470p or so at the market's peak to below 300 pence at its nadir. And at that price, the stock's yield was bringing it to the attention of income investors -- a remarkable feat, given that for 20 years, Tesco had been that rarest of things: a go-go growth stock with defensive properties.

So as soon as fresh funds became available, I bought. And I've been buying ever since -- especially so after the abrupt fall in the share price following the profit warning of a year ago.

I stuffed the shares in my pension at 314p, and the biggest purchase inside my ISA was this summer, when the price -- once again -- dipped below 300p to reach 298p.

Why?

Of course, I wasn't alone. Tesco has proved a popular pick with other investors -- notably Warren Buffett, who took the opportunity of the 2012 price fall to top up an existing holding. He now holds around 5% of Tesco, worth around £1.5 billion at today's share price.

Other investors have sold out, though, seeing the Tesco story as past its sell-by date. Neil Woodford was one such, pulling the plug on his holding at around the same time that Buffett topped up his.

And private investors have been selling out of Tesco extensively in recent days, seeing a share price of 375p as an opportunity to take profits. Certainly, if they bought in during last June's brief dip below 300p, they'll have cleared a 25% return in a little over six months.

I'm holding, though. And I intend to remain an investor, with a comfortable five-figure holding split between my ISA and SIPP.

Why?

I reckon that Tesco has several charms for the long-term investor.

  • Tesco is the world's third largest international retailer, with operations in 13 countries -- including China, South Korea, India, Turkey, Hungary and Poland. Reassuringly, fully one third of earnings come from overseas.
  • Tesco's UK operations are extensive, embracing almost 3,000 stores. It is the country's largest retailer, and has a bigger share of the British grocery market than Sainsbury and Asda put together.
  • It's not just a physical retailer: the company has extensive interests in catalogue shopping, banking and insurance, telephone services, travel, and home furnishings.
  • Tesco is investor-friendly, with a progressive dividend policy that has seen the dividend raised for 25 years.
  • There's considerable hope that Tesco's much-hyped problems are behind it: £1 billion is being spent on improving the offering of its UK stores, while the loss-making United States venture is the subject of a strategic review that could see it closed or sold.

Bottom line

For me, these qualities are attractive, and I plan on being a long-term investor in the company, and see it as a core part of my retirement strategy.

Betters still, even after the recent rise in the share price, Tesco is still an attractive buy, offering a forecast yield of 4.2% on a prospective P/E of just over 11 -- barely indistinguishable from the average P/E of the market as a whole.

Put another way -- particularly for income investors -- Tesco can be regarded as a premium stock trading on a distinctly non-premium price.

Opportunity knocks

Of course, Tesco isn't the only attractive income-generating company in the FTSE 100. And another blue-chip, in a very different line of business, has just been declared "The Motley Fool's Top Income Stock For 2013."

Intriguingly, the share in question offers a 5.7% income, and might be worth 850p versus around 700p now. Just click here to download our analysis -- as I say, it's free.

> Malcolm owns shares in Tesco and Sainsbury. The Motley Fool owns shares in Tesco.

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Comments

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brightncheerful 27 Feb 2013 , 1:45pm

go back to 2003/2004 when morrisons wanted to buy safeway and the competition authorities got going, tesco's sp dropped to £1.64. that was the time to buy.

brightncheerful 27 Feb 2013 , 1:47pm

and another thing, on the principle that all publicity is good publicity, tesco has recently attracted a great deal of free publicity for its flavour-enhanced meat.

Grizzlyoldbear 28 Feb 2013 , 6:58pm

I had tesco shares in my ISA, but must confess I saw the profit, and sold too early. Certainly worth owning. Just waiting to see if the price dips enough to justify another punt

xard777 03 Apr 2013 , 1:01pm

Sorry but I am now boycotting all Tesco stores.

Reason being is that the prices in the Tesco Express store next to me is way over hyped.

I like to shop there and you don't think to look at prices as you think your automatically getting a good deal with the Tesco name.

Unfortunately, that is not so, the express store is daylight robbery and I am not talking about 10% dearer, I mean by 200% & 250% dearer than the local Asda store.

4 cans of tuna steaks £4 in Asda yet £6.43 in Tesco Express.
1 can of Oust £1 in Asda yet £2.76 in Tesco Express.
4 pints of milk £1 in Asda yet £1.29 in Tesco Express.

There is being frugal and there is downright bloody stupid.

Where they think they are making extra money they are in fact losing a whole lot more in the long run.

If they've lost me as a customer then it's safe to say that they have lost a lot of other loyal customers too

I am not here to recommend that you should use Asda I am simply pointing out a major error that will blow back on Tesco's faces at a later date.
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