What You Were Selling Last Week: Tesco Plc

Published in Company Comment on 25 February 2013

Leading supermarket operator Tesco plc (LON:TSCO) was in number two spot.

One of Warren Buffett's famous investing sayings is "be fearful when others are greedy and greedy only when others are fearful" -- or, in other words, sell when others are buying and buy when they're selling.

But we might expect Foolish investors to know that, and looking at what Fools have been selling recently might well provide us with some ideas for investments that are past their prime

So, in this series of articles, we're going to look at what customers of The Motley Fool ShareDealing Service have been selling in the past week or so, and what might have made them decide to do so.

A lot to like

At number 2 in the latest 'Top Ten Sells'* is supermarket giant Tesco (LSE: TSCO) (NASDAQOTH: TSCDY.US). At first glance, that seems puzzling. Anyone who bought Tesco this time last year is currently sitting on a gain of 17% -- that means Buffet, who bought around £480m worth in mid-January 2012, is now up over £80m on that deal. And on a current price-to-earnings ratio of under 12, and a forward yield of almost 4%, Tesco might well still seem an attractive proposition.

But all has not been well at the supermarket chain. Although it's hardly the only food brand to have been affected by the recent horsemeat scandal, it was the first of the big name supermarkets to be involved, which may well have tarnished its reputation more than its competitors, however unfair that may seem. It also can't help that Tesco was recently voted the worst supermarket in a Which? consumer satisfaction survey. There's a feeling that some of the magic that catapulted Tesco to the top of the supermarket charts seems to have disappeared. But has it gone for good?

The horsemeat scandal, which has since been shown to be Europe-wide, should eventually blow over, as politicians, food regulators and retailers address labelling issues. The decline in customer satisfaction is clearly a significant issue, but CEO Philip Clarke seems intent that Tesco will correct that. Indeed, he blamed some of Tesco's poor financial performance in 2012 on the company's decision "to forego some short-term profit to re-invest in the long-term health of the business, with a clear focus on improving the shopping trip for customers". Only time will tell if that will happen, and restore Tesco's fortunes.

A high-quality income share

If you're a seller of Tesco, or just unconvinced of its current prospects, and are looking for an attractive high yield share, then this particularly high-quality income opportunity might be for you.

Indeed, the company in question boasts a 5.7% dividend yield and impressed Fool analysts so much they've named this share "The Motley Fool's Top Income Stock For 2013"!

This exclusive new report is completely free, but will available for a limited time only -- so click here to download your copy now.

> Jon owns shares in Tesco. The Motley Fool also owns shares in Tesco.

* based on aggregate data from The Motley Fool ShareDealing Service.

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Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

F958B 25 Feb 2013 , 4:10pm

How about the Fool authors look at what happened to the shares one month, three months, six months and a year after the various shares topped the list of "what private investors were selling" or "what private investors were buying"?

My guess, is that it could be a great indicator - quite possibly a great contrarian indicator.

Potential for a very interesting article.

Cheers,
F

goodlifer 25 Feb 2013 , 9:15pm

In my far from humble opinion anyone who sells his Tesco at today's price must be out of his tiny mind.

UncleEbenezer 26 Feb 2013 , 1:58am

F958B (erm, how should I pronounce your name?), Great idea, could provide some genuinely interesting material. The thought had crossed my mind of doing similar retrospective reviews of broker tips.

In my humble opinion, someone who sells Tesco at today's price probably has a more immediate use for the money than keeping it tied up in Tesco shares. I hold.

lameuse 26 Feb 2013 , 12:11pm

There is little evidence that Tesco has been harmed by the horsemeat scandal and the Which survey is (as discussed on TMF boards) heavily weighted by what I would call 'chattering class' who apparently think Sainsbury's, Aldi and Lidl are wonderful. I can see that Sainsbury's is rather attractive but I don't see how people can find Tesco 'shabby' in comparison to Aldi and Lidl.

I continue to hold Tesco by the way.

goodlifer 26 Feb 2013 , 12:24pm

UncleEbenezer
"I hold."

Very sensible.

vinchainsaw 26 Feb 2013 , 12:48pm

The price doesnt seem stretched against the fundamentals so I see no reaosn to sell.

Might just be some tax selling.

Unfortunately, in this age we live in, price follows news, so there could be some bad news coming out over the next few days.

vinchainsaw 26 Feb 2013 , 12:48pm

Oops, meant to "news follows price"!

vinchainsaw 26 Feb 2013 , 12:49pm

Mean to say "news follows price". What is wrong with me!

GoldenSoldier 26 Feb 2013 , 4:36pm

I am not entirely sure, but I expect Tesco is still worth holding. I do not understand why Philip Clarke seems to be doing his best to anger customers. Here in SW London, we are still suffering the same problems that existed more than a year ago with about half of the checkouts often unmanned. His promise to increase staff numbers has not been fulfilled, at least in this area. I still use the store sometimes, because of the convenience of the parking, but I shop elsewhere much more frequently now.

Any cost savings by minimisation of staff numbers are clearly worth much less than the value of the loss of custom. The incompetence of management has become an increasing topic of conversation by dissatisfied customers waiting in the long queues.

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