Should I Buy Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc?

Published in Company Comment on 1 February 2013

Harvey Jones tries a taste of Reckitt Benckiser Group Plc (LON:RB).

It's time to go shopping for shares again, but where to start? There are loads of great stocks to choose from, and I've got my wallet out. So here's the question I'm asking right now. Should I buy Reckitt Benckiser (LSE: RB)?

Trolley Dolly

Multinational household goods giant Reckitt Benckiser has never been on my shopping list. For some reason, it has never caught my eye. You could say the same about its lengthy list of consumer brands, such as Air Wick, Clearasil, Calgon, Dettol, Harpic, Nurofen, Strepsils and Vanish. They're not glamour buys, yet we pop those into our trolleys without thinking, week after week. So should I take Reckitt Benckiser to the check-out?

Time to clean up?

It's the winter flu season and I've been doing my bit to boost sales of Nurofen and Strepsils. At last count, I had seven Reckitt Benckiser products in my home (which is seven more than I will ever buy from, say, Burberry). The wider market appreciates the value of its everyday brands, and the company's share price has risen 25% in the last six months to £42. That means it no longer looks cheap, by conventional standards, trading on a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17 times earnings. But is it good value?

No headaches here

Reckitt Benckiser's third-quarter results, published in October, showed growth in all its core areas. It did particularly well in emerging markets and also posted performance improvements in its combined European and North American division. Some of its brands boast admirable defensive qualities, like the aforementioned Nurofen, which is hardly surprising in this headache-inducing recession. Reckitt Benckiser also has a pharmaceutical business, and that also did well, with currency adjusted sales rising 6%, and strong volume growth in the US. Management hailed "encouraging results", and reckoned it was on target to hit its full-year 2012 sales target. The stock market was happy, and the share price instantly leapt 5%.

Battle of the brands

Reckitt Benckiser faces stiff competition in Europe, against established rivals such as fellow consumer goods giant Unilever, which also boasts a spread of everyday essentials such as Vaseline, PG Tips, Cif, Domestos, Surf and Sunlight. Both companies are making a pitch at emerging markets and it should be fascinating to watch them slug it out overseas before an audience of billions of consumers. Interestingly, both stocks trade on high valuations, with Unilever on a P/E of around 18.5 times earnings. That makes them look expensive, until you examine what you are buying. Solid brands, solid growth and a solid yield (although Reckitt Benckiser's yield isn't spectacular, at 3% covered two times). Its forecast earnings per share growth isn't spectacular either, on a forecast 3% and 6% over the next two years. But then, this isn't meant to be a spectacular stock. This solid, part family-owned business aims to deliver the (household) goods, year after year. And it has certainly done that. Reckitt Benckiser prides itself on delivering value for money to the consumer. It also looks good value for investors. Although right now, I wouldn't call it great value.

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> Harvey doesn't own any shares mentioned in this article. The Motley Fool has recommended shares in Unilever.

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Comments

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TMFMarkRogers88 01 Feb 2013 , 5:15pm

I love companies that add value through diversified successful brands. Once established, they're fairly easy to upkeep, and offer a phenomenal advantage in an inflationary environment, due to low capital upkeep and the ability to price aggressively.

Don't forget Durex in that list of brands - I think Durex is a fantastic example of branding power. Think about it - when it comes to contraception, people don't want to take chances, they want what works. The brand has positive connotations. Who wants to whip out a Tesco Value Condom exactly?

The same applies with brands like Calgon, Gaviscon, Nurofen etc. They all come up against competition, but there are enough slices of the pie to go around. RB has dominance in one or two areas, or has a top 2/3 brand in others.

A huge advantage is foresight in investment terms. I might not know what the price of oil will be in 5-10 years, or what iThingy is going to be on the market. But I know people will still have homes to clean, hangovers to cure, and in the case of Durex, I need say no more. Time doesn't depreciate brands, it solidifies them.

Let me give you a great example for investors to follow, when it comes to foresight. I watched Back to the Future 2 the other night, made in 1989, where they travel forward to the year 2015. Fantastic film. What did they get right about the future? Well, we don't have flying cars. We don't have self drying clothes. All US citizens don't work for Japanese bosses. Pizzas don't cook themselves in 3 seconds, and we don't have virtual reality goggles. But look what they got right - the brands. The self tying shoes were Nike, the pizza was Pizza Hut, they drank Pepsi, the toys were Mattel. Amongst others, Black and Decker, The Weather Channel, Texaco, 7-Eleven, AT&T. Investors could learn a thing or two from how well the script writers predicted the future.

breelander 01 Feb 2013 , 8:05pm

Investors could learn a thing or two from how well the script writers predicted the future.

Prediction? That's called 'Product Placement'.

Excel35 01 Feb 2013 , 9:40pm

Harvey, your always shopping, what have you bought?

TMFMarkRogers88 02 Feb 2013 , 12:04am

Breelander - I'm aware that those companies paid to have their brands placed in the film. The point is, each one of those brands are still valuable and have meaning today in 2013, while the predictions of technologies fell short of the mark.

The other aspects that people tried to guess about the future in 1989 failed to materialise, but brands like Nike, Pepsi, Pizza Hut etc could easily have been envisaged in a future world. They could probably be envisaged today, in a movie about life 20+ years from now.

Having a degree of foresight about household brands is somewhat easier than making bets on things which are ultimately unknowable to the investing public. I can have a lot more confidence that Durex products are going to still have brand value seven years from now, opposed to guessing the fortunes of the latest "hot technology" stock. That's important from an investment standpoint.

breelander 03 Feb 2013 , 1:42am

The point is, each one of those brands are still valuable and have meaning today in 2013, while the predictions of technologies fell short of the mark.

I'm not disagreeing with you, just pointing out that those brands are still valuable because their owners invest in things like product placement to keep them continually in the public eye.

RB themselves understand this, saying in their 2011 Annual Report: "The core of RB’s strategy will continue to be our focus on Powerbrands, disproportionately supported with high rates of innovation and brand equity investment."
http://www.rb.com/Investors-media/Investor-information/Online-Annual-Report-2011/Powerbrands

One of the reasons I'm happy to have RB in my portfolio.

TMFMarkRogers88 03 Feb 2013 , 1:29pm

Bree - Certainly agreed there. Maintaining and where necessary reinventing a strong brand is regarded as a hugely difficult task in the corporate world.

If given a choice as an investor though, of maintaining an already strong brand through capital expenditure, maintaining heavy fixed assets through expenditure, or maintaining heavy research expenditure into unpredictable new technologies, I think investors get the best value for money out of the brands.

In terms of valuation, I may be wrong in my view, but I reckon RB is probably around the upper limits of fair price for investment at the current price, anywhere between £24-31B. Getting to the lower end of that range would be particularly attractive for the patient buyer. But any long term investor should be happy to keep getting a nice reliable, growing cheque for their stake in the business if they hold.

Good luck!

kiffberet 04 Feb 2013 , 2:33pm

I sold my stake in RB last week having made 30% in less than a year.

Part of the reason for selling, was they seem quite expensive now, but the other part was my dividend reinvestment wasn't really working out.

The problem is that the shares cost £40+, so I was only reinvesting 2 extra shares a year. Sounds like a lame reason, but when almost half your dividend isn't reinvested because the share price is so high, the £1.50 reinvestment cost starts to bite.

Jonesey12 04 Feb 2013 , 3:53pm

Excel35.

You're right, I've done a lot of window shopping, but I have also bought BG Group, BHP Billiton, Tesco and Vodafone in recent months.

Outside the FTSE 100, I bought Volkswagen last year, and I'm jolly glad I did.

I hope that helps.

Harvey

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