Is Nokia The New Apple?

Published in Company Comment on 25 January 2013

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Nokia Corporation (NYSE:NOK) are worlds apart... or are they?

Two companies in very different situations. Earlier this week, both Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL.US) and Nokia (NYSE: NOK.US) released their latest figures, and the market reacted in very different ways. This time it was Apple's shares that took the battering.

Four months ago, the California-based Goliath of the tech world saw its shares peak at $700, while the Finnish firm's stock traded a world away at just $2.40. The future looked rosy for Apple, and increasingly bleak for Nokia.

Today, though, Nokia's shares are more than 75% higher at $4.25, while Apple's have collapsed more than 35% to $450 today.

Apple

Apple is a multi-platform company, which has credited its success to being innovators in portable music players (iPods), smartphones (iPhones), desktop (iMacs), laptops (Macbooks) and tablet computers (iPads). But is it a victim of its own success? Many commentators are declaring the 'death of the personal computer', citing the rise of tablets and pointing to the similar trend of consumers storing their music on their smartphones to avoid using two devices.

However, chief executive Tim Cook has said"We know iPhone has cannibalised the iPod business. We know that iPad has cannibalised the Mac. Our strategy is to never fear cannibalisation. If we do, somebody else [will cannibalise.] I see cannibalisation as a huge opportunity."

So Apple's managers believes they know what they are doing. Indeed, despite serious smartphone competition from Samsung's Galaxy SIII, the latest results showed that 48 million iPhones sold in the last quarter still outpaced sales of the S3, which sold 40 million units. The question investors are asking is whether Apple can continue to innovate to stave off competition?

Nokia

Nokia once knew the feeling of market domination, as it used to be the handset market leader when the mobile-phone boom began. In recent years, though -- and Apple played no small part in this -- Nokia has suffered at the hands of its competitors. As rivals released phones with more capabilities and selling points, Nokia's market share fell sharply. Many commentators predicted that Nokia would no longer be with us by the end of 2013.

However, although Nokia's smartphone sales dived 55% during 2012, they did rally 26% in the last quarter. In fact, credit ought to go to Nokia's Windows-powered Lumia smartphone range, with 4.4 million units sold. The impact of the flagship Lumia range was seen by many as Nokia's last-chance saloon -- fail, and the doors may have swung behind the company for the final time.

Is Nokia the new Apple?

So is this the start of a revolution for Nokia? Are Apple's shares a buying opportunity at their current price? Or has Apple had its time in the sun? It's too early to answer all these questions, but let me finish with a telling statistic.

Back in 2003, Nokia's shares changed hands for around $15. At the same time, Apple's were selling for a low of $3.28! Compare that to today's prices, and you see just how much can change during ten years in the technology sector.

With Nokia coming back from the brink, many investors are eyeing up its shares as more and more people start to ask questions of Apple. Who's to say that Nokia's shares can't replicate Apple's success of the last decade? This, after all, is the technology sector we're talking about, and tech history dictates that anything can happen.

Let me finish by adding Apple's shares have surged an incredible 213-fold in the last decade -- and many private investors can only dream of percentages like that. But if you read this special free report compiled by analysts here at The Motley Fool, you can find out how investing in unloved shares -- such as Apple in 2003, and possibly Nokia now -- can produce fantastic gains if they recover strongly. 

"10 Steps To Making A Million In The Market" is available now, completely free of charge, for a limited period only -- just click here to have the report sent to your inbox immediately.

> Sam does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned.

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Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

Inagi 28 Jan 2013 , 5:53am

I've been following Nokia for a while now. I feel they've turned the corner now, and have a great deal in their favour. 'Nokia' the brand is in the Top Ten of the world's most recognisable brands. They've already made good inroads into China and India (amongst others).

Frankly, I don't see the challenge to Nokia's profit coming from Apple. I see it coming from Samsung. Apple targets the relatively smaller proportion who can afford high-tech, high-quality gadgets. Nokia is way more focussed on delivering to the middle-spectrum of the market, who can't afford, or simply don't want, the latest expensive smart phone. Samsung is very well established in this market already.

BUT, Nokia's past relationships with developing world carriers is a plus. So too, their home-market (the EU, not Finland) is dwarf's Samsung's (Korea). I've bought in the expectation of high gains over the next 2-5 years.

lucia888 12 Mar 2013 , 1:57pm

In the past Nokia was a really good company. Right now they seems to have some poor quality phones or related gadgets. Carpet cleaning Northampton

lucia888 15 Mar 2013 , 3:09pm

I am curious to see the next generation of phones from Nokia. Now they should compete with Samsung or Apple iPAD Digitizer

lucia888 17 Mar 2013 , 9:18pm

Apple targets the relatively smaller proportion who can afford high-tech, high-quality gadgets. So Nokia will not have a chance in this dispute. sleigh beds

manuel787 23 Apr 2013 , 7:32pm

I saw that they will release a new phone today.
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manuel787 26 Apr 2013 , 3:31pm

Frankly, I don't see the challenge to Nokia's profit coming from Apple. I see it coming from Samsung. Ryan Daniel

manuel787 30 Apr 2013 , 1:18pm

They were in the past number one. Now Samsung is my favorite. Distribution centre

krisfeldman 03 May 2013 , 5:51pm

Nokia will compete with some major brands in future.
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manuel787 07 May 2013 , 4:10pm

I saw that today Nokia ranks higher on Nasdaq. This is a good step.
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manuel787 08 May 2013 , 3:31pm

Apple managers should do it like you said in this article! At least I will try www.bestman-speech.co.uk

manuel787 13 May 2013 , 1:38pm

Apple will remain forever number one. That is my opinion!
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stuartme 13 May 2013 , 6:53pm

It is not a fair competition. Apple is much better than Nokia and the situation will be the same for a long period. Printplaten


krisfeldman 16 May 2013 , 3:04pm

Apple iphone is best because of software.
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