Tesco PLC Jumps As Christmas Sales Rally 3.8%

Published in Company Comment on 10 January 2013

Tesco PLC (LON:TSCO) claims its strongest rate of growth for three years.

The shares of Tesco (LSE: TSCO) (NASDAQOTH: TSCDY.US) rallied 10p, or 3%, to 359p during early London trade this morning after the supermarket said its total sales had increased by 3.8% during the Christmas period.

Philip Clarke, Tesco's chief executive, claimed the group had "performed broadly in-line" with his expectations during the six weeks to 5 January, with the chain's progress being supported by a "much stronger food performance" and the its best-ever week for online sales.

In the UK, Tesco's like-for-like festive sales advanced by 1.8%, which the FTSE 100 member claimed was its "strongest rate of growth for three years".

However, the overall like-for-like performance for the third quarter was minus 0.6%, which contrasted with the positive 1.5% recorded yesterday by rival J Sainsbury.

Mr Clarke added:

"We are just nine months into the implementation of our six-part plan, which is about Building a Better Tesco in the UK for the long-term. Whilst our seasonal performance is encouraging, there is a lot more to do and the team is focused on delivering further improvements for customers in 2013."

Tesco's international division reported total third-quarter sales growth of 3.4%, although the like-for-like number was minus 2%. Total sales climbed 8% within Asia, but fell a fraction in Europe.

Prior to today, City experts were expecting current-year earnings to fall from 37p to about 31p per share and the dividend to remain at 14.8p per share. Those projections presently place the shares on a P/E of 11.5 and yield of 4.1%.

Of course, whether today's Christmas update, that share-price valuation and the general outlook for the supermarket sector combine to make Tesco a 'buy' remains your decision.

But if you already hold Tesco, this special free report may be just what you need to help you decide what action to take. You see, the report covers the reasons why the world's richest investor -- Warren Buffett -- is relying on the stock for 2013.

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> Maynard does not own any share mentioned in this article. The Motley Fool owns shares in Tesco.

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ProfessorMarcus 10 Jan 2013 , 9:31am

Hurrah - one of my biggest holdings.

MRW are getting battered by Mr Market at the moment so I might increase my holding in those next.

apprenticeDRL 10 Jan 2013 , 9:37am

Hmmm.... arent MRW being battered by their customers as well?

SevenPillars 10 Jan 2013 , 10:03am

Market sentiment in the sector seems to be moving from Sainsbury to Tesco right now. Sainsbury had a pretty good Christmas, but the market seems to have decided that going forward it will not be able to maintain these results. Sainsbury have proved the market wrong before, but once City sentiment changes it is hard and often takes time for it to come back. Tesco is city flavour of the month again.

Morrison is totally in the doghouse right now. Sales falling and losing ground to its competitors, the Tesco growth in online sales showing Morrison up for its lack of web presence. I expect Morrison to make some announcement about what it intends to do online the next time it reports. It has to because the company needs to be seen to be doing something to halt its decline. Tesco gave the city what it wanted to hear with massive UK investment and an expected exit decision on Fresh and Easy in the US, Morrison needs to do the same by going online and beefing up its convenience stores. Can't see Morrison's share price doing much until it starts to put in place a convincing recovery plan.

ProfessorMarcus 10 Jan 2013 , 10:52am

Hello SevenPillars.

Morrison are planning to launch an on-line service (although no specific dates that I can find) and they are opening more local convenience stores.

http://www.express.co.uk/posts/view/369439/Morrisons-gets-taste-for-online-food-sales

In January 2012 MRW shares hit a height of about 328p, is the company 25% worse now?

SevenPillars 10 Jan 2013 , 1:35pm

ProfessorMarcus - MRW were riding the wave of good results when they hit the 328p high. I think at that time their dividend was around 3%, so they were expensive relative to others and the market seemed prepared to pay a higher price for the growth. Now they have had a series of poor results their weak areas have been exposed. What the City didn't see as a problem before it now does.

You could ask did Tesco deserve to fall 20%+ on the back of a UK profit warning that wasn't really a disaster, but markets are very prone to overreact. I think Morrison will probably do a Tesco over the next 18 months or so by launching online and opening those convenience stores and City sentiment will change towards it. There's little the City likes more than some grand plan to put things right.

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