ARM Enjoys 10% Summer Boost

Published in Company Comment on 26 July 2012

ARM (LSE: ARM) shares rallied up to 10% on results.

A version of this article appeared originally on Fool.com.

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Dominant mobile processor designer ARM Holdings (LSE: ARM) has not had a good year. Despite the overwhelming presence of its royalty-bearing chips in nearly every smartphone and tablet today, the company took a beating heading into the summer months.

ARMH Chart

Data by YCharts

I've also questioned ARM's monetisation of its designs, selling my own shares in the process, but the bulls are back in force today after the British company reported earnings on Wednesday. The shares gained as much as 10% -- how good were the figures?

Figures first

Total revenue climbed 12% to $213 million. That gave way to normalised earnings per share of $0.17 per American depository share. Those figures posted meaningful beats relative to the Street's expectations of $204 million in sales and $0.15 per share in profit.

Operating margin rose to 37.8% while gross margin came in at 95.1%. ARM's processor division royalty revenues grew 14% to $96.3 million, outpacing the broader semiconductor market. Processor licensing also gained by 15% to $67 million.

ARM inked 23 new licenses during the quarter, building its position in key target markets like microcontrollers and mobile devices. ARM is now up to a cumulative total of 893 licenses. ARM-based chip shipments totaled 2 billion, a slight sequential increase. The average royalty per chip stayed flat at $0.048 per unit.

The company also said that it's entering the second half of the year with a "record order backlog" with numerous opportunities ahead of it. Since ARM recognizes royalty revenue on chips the quarter after they're shipped, it typically has good visibility into the next quarter. The fourth quarter is a bit tougher to predict as macro uncertainties continue to weigh.

On the horizon

One of the biggest events for ARM on the horizon is the launch of Microsoft (NASDAQ.MSFT.US) Windows RT, the software giant's next-generation operating system that supports ARM-based chips. One of the flavours of Microsoft's own Surface tablet will feature an ARM-based Tegra 3 from NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA.US) . Microsoft has chosen three ARM chip makers that have tentatively paired up with different OEMs for launch devices this fall.

ARM and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (NYSE: TSM.US) also recently announced a partnership to collaborate on ARM chips using TSMC's FinFET process technology. That's a direct shot at Intel's (NASDAQ: INTC.US) leading 3-D tri-gate technology that it uses in its most recent 22-nanometer Ivy Bridge chip, and ARM and TSMC will be targeting 20-nanometer.

Still, TSMC is already struggling with 28-nanometer and causing supply constraints throughout the ARM ecosystem, and TSMC isn't expected to get its FinFET process into production until 2014. By that time, Intel will be on its second generation. According to ZDNet, the CEO of semiconductor analyst Future Horizons, Malcolm Penn, says that Intel is still at least three years ahead of TSMC.

Who is the weakest link?

It was a strong quarter, giving bulls some fuel to fend off the bears that have been in charge recently. That said, I still have some qualms with the current valuation that ARM fetches, despite its enviable gross margin and dominance in mobile devices.

Additionally, the reliance on third-party chip manufacturers is a risk factor in itself and is proving to be a liability right now as TSMC is definitely the weakest link in the supply chain at this point. Its 28-nanometer shortages are holding back semiconductor heavyweights like NVIDIA and Qualcomm, which in turn limits ARM's royalty revenue. If TSMC continues to struggle with even smaller processes, the rest of the ecosystem will suffer for it.

ARM continues to ride the mobile wave of smartphones and tablets, but I can't help but think it could be riding it more.

Anyway, smartphones and tablets is only one area that looks ripe for superior returns in the years to come. To discover other industries that may offer similar potential, the Fool has prepared a special free report.

"Top Sectors For 2012" sees three Motley Fool Share Advisor analysts each studying a favourable industry -- and pinpointing a particular share to consider for this year and beyond.

Various opportunities are covered in the report. One might provide "solid returns and... nice dividends", another could offer "global diversification and long-term growth potential", while a third looks to be a "high-quality business" from a battered sector.

You can read "Top Sectors For 2012" today by requesting the report for free. But hurry, the report is available for a limited time only.

Are you looking to profit as a long-term investor? "10 Steps To Making A Million In The Market" is the latest Motley Fool guide to help Britain invest. Better. We urge you to read the report today -- while it's still free and available. 

Further Motley Fool investment opportunities:

Share & subscribe

Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

 

There are no comments yet - why not be the first?

Join the conversation

Please take note - some tags have changed.

Line breaks are converted automatically.

You may use the following tags in your post: [b]bolded text[/b], [i]italicised text[/i]. All other tags will be removed from your post.

If you want to add a link, please ensure you type it as http://www.fool.co.uk as opposed to www.fool.co.uk.

Hello stranger

To add your own comment, please login.

Not yet registered? Register now.