A Share With A Great Future

Published in Company Comment on 17 July 2012

Hefty dividends at British American Tobacco -- and share price growth, too.

In these uncertain times for share prices, those who invest in solid companies that pay regular dividends will have done better than most -- there haven't been anywhere near the number of successful growth investors as there were a decade ago!

Not that growth shares can't be had -- I actually think there are a few potential ones around -- but at the moment I'm more interested in the kind of thing that investing guru Neil Woodford has had his money in for the past few years.

The Motley Fool report "8 Shares Held By Britain's Super Investor" examines Mr Woodford's approach, and if you have a read of it, you'll see that he invests according to long-term principles that we consider to be very Foolish indeed -- you can click here to get yourself a copy while it's still available and free.

I had a look at one of his picks, Vodafone (LSE: VOD), last week, as that's a share that I have long been a supporter of.

A great dividend record

Today I'm going to look at the FTSE 100 (UKX) firm British American Tobacco (LSE: BATS), which in many ways is very similar.

The most obvious way is in its dividend record, and forecasts for the next two years...

YearDividendIncreaseYield
200766.2p-3.4%
200883.7p26%4.6%
200999.5p19%4.9%
2010114.2p15%4.6%
2011126.5p11%4.1%
2012 (e)135.8p7.4%4.0%
2013 (e)150.1p10.5%4.4%

While those yields aren't as high as Vodafone's, just look at the rate of increase year on year! That record of rising dividends, which have all been well covered, is one of the reasons the share price has risen strongly, too.

At the end of 2007, the shares stood at 1,795p and, like the rest of the market, the price fell when the credit crunch hit. But British American didn't fall anywhere near as far as many, hitting a modest 2009 low of 1,495p. And since then, the price has powered up to 3,363p. That's an 83% gain from 2007, or a 125% gain for those who got in at the 2009 bottom, on top of all those juicy dividends.

Increasing demand

Another way in which British American is similar to Vodafone is that its products are in increasing demand in the developing world, and they seem to be something that consumers can't do without.

In many ways that's sad, but I make no comments on the ethics of the business here -- that's for you to decide for yourself. My only conclusion is that this sector, which also includes Imperial Tobacco Group (LSE: IMT), another that Mr Woodford holds, is looking very strong from an investment point of view.

I reckon there are other bargain sectors out there right now, too, and I've already cast an eye over the FTSE's housebuilders and at our hard-pressed big miners. And we've taken a look at some other sectors too, in the Motley Fool report "Top Sectors Of 2012" -- you can help yourself to a free copy, here.

Are you looking to profit as a long-term investor? "10 Steps To Making A Million In The Market" is the latest Motley Fool guide to help Britain invest. Better. We urge you to read the report today -- while it's still free and available.

Further Motley Fool investment opportunities:

> Alan does not own any shares mentioned in this article.

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Comments

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QuantumDealer 17 Jul 2012 , 6:17pm

The rate of actual (not forecast) divi increase y-o-y has declined quite dramatically though...just saying! Must be all those fake white sticks circulating around Asia.

Excel35 17 Jul 2012 , 8:25pm

I think one of your other articles by Maynard when looking at Woodford holdings, pointed out the he had reduced his stake in BATS, and the price has risen since then.

theRealGrinch 17 Jul 2012 , 8:30pm
jackdaww 18 Jul 2012 , 11:28am

my investment in 2009 has doubled.

present dividend yield is nearly 8%.

should i hold on ?

F958B 18 Jul 2012 , 4:48pm

jackdaww
I'm sitting on my IMT shares, although I "took profits" by selling a part of my holding a few months ago (from overweight to median weight).
I would be reluctant to sell all of my holding in such a cash-cow at current prices.
BATS are a little expensive to buy now, but probably still worth having at least a partial holding for the diversification and for the likely continuation of strong dividend growth through difficult times.

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