Can G4S's Rising Dividend Beat The FTSE?

Published in Company Comment on 6 July 2012

G4S's five-year payout has already outpaced that of the wider market.

The last few years have been tough for investors relying on the FTSE 100 (UKX) to deliver a rising dividend payout.

Looking at the iShares FTSE 100 ETF (LSE: ISF), an exchange-traded fund that tracks the benchmark index, we can see the aggregate payment from Britain's top 100 companies has yet to regain its pre-recession peak:

Year20072008200920102011
Dividend per share19.1p20.2p17.1p16.2p18.1p

Still, there are companies out there that, despite the banking crash and gloomy economy, have managed to deliver a rising dividend throughout the last five years. One such name is G4S (LSE: GFS), whose market cap ranks it 70th in London's premier FTSE 100 index.

If you don't know, G4S describes itself as "the word's leading international security solutions group" and its business involves putting people where they are needed to take care of security, whether that of people, buildings, cash or anything else. With the shares at 286p, the market cap is £4,026 million. This table summarises G4S's track record:

Year20072008200920102011
Sales (£m)44835928700972587522
Operational cash flow (£m)291373509448372
Adjusted earnings per share13.3p16.6p20.2p21.9p22.8p
Dividend per share4.96p6.43p7.18p7.9p8.53p

As you can see, the dividend has increased by 72% during the last five years -- equivalent to a 14.5% compound annual growth rate.

Since emerging in its current form in 2004, G4S has reported progress every year with many of its key financial indicators, including the dividend. Growth still seems on the agenda as, according to the company, there is an increasing trend from government and commercial customers to outsource integrated security solutions.

What I really like about this expanding people business is its global reach. The company has operations in more than 125 countries and 657,000 employees. It currently derives 47% of its revenue from Europe, 23% from North America and 30% from what it calls developing markets, which includes places like The Middle East, Latin America, Africa and the Asia Specific.

In today's world, it's hard to imagine demand for security services waning. Apart from the trouble spots of the world, there's always the need, somewhere, for more benign security management like the contracts involving the London Olympics that are currently boosting the G4S coffers.

G4S keeps expanding both organically and by acquisition. If the firm can tightly manage its operations, that can be a good thing. Indeed, G4S's sheer size will lift it up the security food chain and make it one of few bidders capable of servicing some big contracts.

G4S's dividend growth score

I analyse four different features of a company to judge whether its dividend can continue to rise:

1. Dividend cover: earnings cover the dividend more than twice. Score 4/5

2. Net cash/debt: net gearing is about 120% and interest cover around 4. Score 3/5

3. Cash flow: cash flow supports operating profits. Score 4/5

4. Outlook/recent trading: a reasonably secure outlook say the directors. score 4/5

Overall, I score G4S 15 out of 20, which encourages me to believe the firm's dividend may continue to out-pace dividends from the FTSE 100.

Foolish lock in

Although interest cover is reasonably good, G4S has quite a bit of debt. As long as cash flow holds up going forward that debt should be manageable. The reasonably bullish outlook is encouraging.

Right now, the forecast full-year dividend for G4S is 9.37p per share, which supports a possible income of about 3.3%. That's not tempting enough for me so G4S will stay on my watch list for now.

Finally, if you're in the market for other shares that boast reliable dividends, look no further than "8 Income Plays Held By Britain's Super Investor". This free report analyses the £20 billion portfolio of legendary high-yield expert Neil Woodford. Click here now to discover his favourite dividend opportunities with good growth potential. But hurry -- the report is free for a limited time only.

Are you an ambitious investor hoping to profit from this uncertain economy? We urge you to read "10 Steps To Making A Million In The Market" today -- your wealth could be transformed. Click here now to request your free, no-obligation copy. The Motley Fool is helping Britain invest. Better.

Further investment opportunities:

> Kevin does not own any shares mentioned in this article.

Share & subscribe

Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

 

There are no comments yet - why not be the first?

Join the conversation

Please take note - some tags have changed.

Line breaks are converted automatically.

You may use the following tags in your post: [b]bolded text[/b], [i]italicised text[/i]. All other tags will be removed from your post.

If you want to add a link, please ensure you type it as http://www.fool.co.uk as opposed to www.fool.co.uk.

Hello stranger

To add your own comment, please login.

Not yet registered? Register now.