Argos Owner Ditches Dividends

Published in Company Comment on 2 May 2012

Home Retail cancels its payout, despite having net cash.

The past year has been a terrible time for high-street retailer Home Retail Group (LSE: HOME). However, the group's shareholders would have had a far better year, had it not been for multiple mistakes by management.

No place like Home Retail

Many struggling retailers have unveiled poor profits for 2011-12, but Home Retail's must be among the worst. Indeed, things are going so badly that the owner of Argos and Homebase has decided to cancel its juicy dividend payout.

This morning, Home Retail -- which describes itself as "the UK's leading home and general merchandise retailer" -- released pro-forma results for the 52 weeks to 25 February 2012.

The market reaction was swift and brutal: as I write, Home Retail's shares have dived 9.7p to 91.3p, crashing nearly 10% and reducing the retailer's market value by almost £80 million to below £745 million. What caused this vote of no-confidence from Mr Market?

Frankly, there was little positive to pick out from these latest results. Sales slipped 6% to below £5.5 billion, while Home Retail's cash gross margin dropped 7% to just over £2 billion.

When both sales and margins slump, this is a terrible 'double whammy' for retailers' profits. As a result, the group's benchmark profit before tax crashed a horrible 60% to £102 million from £254 million. Benchmark earnings per share followed suit, collapsing 59% to 8.7p from 21.3p.

Thanks to this plunge in profitability, Home Retail decided not to pay a final dividend, so its interim dividend of 4.7p becomes the full-year dividend. What's more, given Home Retail's ongoing troubles, I would warn shareholders not to hold their breath for the dividend to be reinstated any time soon.

Splashing shareholders' cash

Home Retail's only attraction today is that it is sitting on net cash of £194 million (as at 3 March). However, the group's cash pile would be so much greater had its board of directors not blown a big chunk of it.

Habitual Fool readers will know that I am not a big fan of share buybacks. All too often, companies that purchase their own shares destroy shareholder value, rather than enhancing it. If a business has spare cash floating around, then reinvest this into growth or return it to shareholders in the form of higher cash dividends or special dividends.

The board of Home Retail clearly disagree with me, as they decided to use £150 million of shareholders' cash to buy back the group's own shares. Alas, Home Retail's share price has been crushed over the past 12 months. On 4 May 2011, it closed at 217.2p, so it has plummeted by nearly three-fifths (58%) in one year.

In effect, Home Retail's board has turned £150 million of cash into shares worth as little as £63 million. D'oh!

Heads must roll

Terry Duddy, Home Retail's chief executive, offered this familiar excuse for poor performance: "Whilst the Group adopted a cautious trading approach during the year, spending in our markets declined further than our initial expectations, with many customers facing pressures on the amount of disposable income they had available for the purchase of discretionary items."

Looking ahead, Duddy added: "In a particularly difficult trading environment, we have managed our costs and cash effectively. While we remain cautious about the consumer outlook over the short term, we are well-positioned operationally and we will continue to prioritise investment in our leading multi-channel capabilities to shape the future of shopping for our customers."

Unfortunately, with Homebase plodding along and Argos losing more sales by the day, there's little hope of any short-term turnaround for Home Retail.

At today's price of 91.3p, the FTSE 250 firm trades on a forward price-earnings ratio above 15 and now offers no dividend. With sales, margins and earnings all expected to decline in 2012/13, this rating is clearly far too high.

Hence, until there is a sea change in Home Retail's operating performance, plus more changes to its management team, my view is simple: Cannot Recommend A Purchase!

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> Cliff does not own any of the shares mentioned in this article.

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Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

CunningCliff 02 May 2012 , 1:49pm

Re: "Cannot Recommend A Purchase"

The origins of this phrase can be found in this amusing FT article:

A catalogue of great analyst notes of our time
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f1553338-1e9d-11db-9877-0000779e2340.html

:0)

Cliff

SevenPillars 03 May 2012 , 11:43am

Will Home Retail follow HMV and Dixon's to penny share status?

ANuvver 03 May 2012 , 2:44pm

I think the likes of Argos and Homebase had their prosperous times through a sales strategy of "choose what you want and take it home right now". This may not seem remarkable on the face of it, but older Fools will remember the days when you'd buy furniture and expect to wait up to two months for delivery. The item you were buying hadn't even been made yet, let alone held on inventory in a distant warehouse.

This market advantage has eroded to the point where these former giants are now jostling with hundreds of retailers offering online ordering and delivery charges that are competitive against the costs of private motoring, car hire or taxis. In this new retail environment, the brand profile of Argos et al counts for very little.

There is an Argos branch in Victoria on the site of a former flagship two-floor Woolworths. I wonder if the same fate awaits.

CodeGimp 03 May 2012 , 3:06pm

"...older Fools will remember the days when you'd buy furniture and expect to wait up to two months for delivery"

Like DFS etc. still do in this day and age. A potential candidate for shorting I should think!

Dozey1 03 May 2012 , 4:06pm

Dead right about share buybacks. Halfords has been busy for some time now and the share-price has responded with a resounding crash. What plonkers.

jaizan 03 May 2012 , 7:24pm

Increased competition and SLOW service make decline inevitable. However, I figure this business should survive, even if some downsizing is necessary.
On that basis the only question is at what price would the risk:reward ratio make it an attractive investment?
I don't see that anywhere near the current price.

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