5 Shares For Your ISA: Tesco

Published in Company Comment on 20 March 2012

Following heavy falls, the supermarket's shares are priced in bargain territory.

Each day this week we're highlighting a share you may wish to consider for your ISA. Today we turn our attention to Tesco, which saw its shares fall heavily in January following a disappointing trading update.

As Britain's largest retailer, Tesco (LSE: TSCO) needs little introduction. And with its valuation priced firmly into 'bargain' territory, ISA investors have every incentive to pop a few shares into their shopping trolley.

So how come Tesco -- which has a bigger share of the British grocery market than that of J Sainsbury (LSE: SBRY) and Asda put together -- is so cheap?

Look closely, and there are various factors at work.

Not your average grocer

First, the City finds it difficult to weigh up the firm, thinking of it as a British supermarket, when fully half of its sales are overseas, and spread over 13 countries -- not to mention extensive interests in catalogue shopping, banking and insurance, telephone services, travel, and home furnishings.

New chief executive Philip Clarke, too, has yet to prove himself in the market's eyes, after taking over from long-time chief executive Sir Terry Leahy last year.

Then there's the firm's high-profile 'Fresh & Easy' American operation, which has lost £700m and absorbed £1bn of capital since 2007, and is only just expected to break even this year.

FTSE up, Tesco down

Roll it all together, and it only takes the core British supermarket business to slip a gear for the shares to take a hammering -- which is exactly what happened in mid-January, when Tesco's share price collapsed 20%, falling from 390p to 315p in a matter of days.

Put another way, this means that Tesco has under-performed Britain's flagship FTSE 100 index of leading shares by a whopping 60% over the past three years.

Which for the world's third-largest international retailer, and a business with an unbroken 25-year history of solid growth and rising dividends, is remarkable.

Window of opportunity

But it's also a buying opportunity, and a chance to tuck away a few shares that have every chance of returning to Tesco's former sparkling form.

Company management certainly think so: chairman Sir Richard Broadbent has loaded his trolley with nearly £100,000 worth, with several other directors making chunky purchases during January and February.

And at a recent price of 312p, you're picking up Tesco shares on a P/E of just 9, meaning that you're buying each £1 of Tesco's future profits -- profits that are effectively yours for as long as you hold the shares -- for just £9.

What's more, while you wait for the share price to recover from its recent battering, there's a decent dividend yield of 4.9% to bank. That's much higher than the market average right now, and quite possibly Tesco's highest-ever yield for at least 15 years.

> The Motley Fool has just published its ISA Guide 2012, which explains how the tax-efficient shelters work in full. Download your copy of the report today -- it's free!

> Malcolm and The Motley Fool own shares in Tesco.

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Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

tg12 20 Mar 2012 , 9:04am

I see Tesco's reported problems (poor store layout/experience, inadequate staffing, confusing promotions) as short term and thus a buying opportunity.

These things come and go in cycles (I remember Sainsburys being much the same a few years ago).

Tesco's advantages however are long term - enormous buying power, great supply chain, great store locations and international expansion.

MrBearBull888 20 Mar 2012 , 10:10am

I agree with much of this article. I like it that there have been some management changes undoubtedly every body will be more highly focused.including Clarke as CEO and UK head as if it goes wrong he will take the can.

However what concerns me is some of their largest stores - have possibly far to much space as consumers buy more and more smaller electronics online. This may prove a failing for TESCO having too much space in some stores that you need to drive to burning expensive fuel.

Time will tell.

AlysonThomson 20 Mar 2012 , 12:31pm

So how much are they then? I might have had a punt if you had said.

MDW1954 20 Mar 2012 , 1:26pm

Hello Alyson,

See the penultimate paragraph, which contains the information you seek.

Malcolm (author)

Stilton12 20 Mar 2012 , 1:48pm

"These things come and go in cycles". I agree, though in my view the wavelength is much longer. I see Tesco in decline for some time to come. As rivals have become much leaner to compete, Tesco has become soft and unwieldy. On the shop floor I have lost confidence with Tesco which has sought to fleece the unwary shopper with trickery on their deal labelling, which in recent months is not even subtle. I've moved to the Morrisons down the road, and will move again, to Sainsbury when they (soon) build one close by.

HilaryHames 20 Mar 2012 , 6:30pm

I bought in at 315 a few days ago after the latest news of UK director resigning came out. To my amazement the shares have climbed to 333p since then - are they likely to be volative at least till the results come out (in April I think?)

HilaryHames 20 Mar 2012 , 6:30pm
eccyman 20 Mar 2012 , 8:14pm

I'm 100% with Stilton12 on this one.

Can't quite put my finger on it, but Tesco just feels out of favour...

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