Unilever Profits From Asian Growth

Published in Company Comment on 4 November 2010

And despite inflationary pressure in the third-quarter, it is reporting strong margins, too.

Unilever (LSE: ULVR) is an interesting company to watch. While it manufactures a lot of household staples, which hold up well through recessions, it also offers products aimed towards the luxury branded end of the market, which people might well shun for cheaper ones during hard times.

But as Thursday's third quarter results show, things are going steadily with barely a recessionary ripple to be seen.

Asia up but Europe flagging

Underlying sales growth rose by 3.6% on the same quarter a year ago, though that was a shade behind expectations. But operating profit was up 21% and diluted earnings per share up 19%, which were ahead of forecasts.

We should be cautious before we take that as a sign of economic recovery, as the quarter's sales growth has come from Asia and other emerging markets, where, although sales growth slowed from 7.9% previously, it still came in at 6.7%.

Western European sales actually fell by 0.3%, dragged down by poor performances in the struggling economies of Greece, Spain and Ireland.

Strong margins

Elsewhere, the results revealed signs of inflation, with Unilever warning us that higher commodity costs are putting pressure on its gross margins. We are going to see that feeding through to higher retail prices in the fourth quarter.

But even after that is taken into account, operating margins are holding up very well -- up 20 basis points, in fact.

The future picture for margins is looking good too, as chief executive Paul Polman said:

"Our priorities remain to drive profitable volume growth and strong cash flow along with steady and sustainable improvement in underlying operating margin for the year as a whole."

Dividends

In its first year of paying dividends quarterly, Unilever looks to be on track to deliver around 70p per share for the full year, for a yield of about 3.7%. A yield around the 4% mark is forecast for next year.

That's not the highest dividend on the market, but with Unilever having come through the recession pretty much unscathed and with its future looking strong, this really could be a share for all seasons.

More from Alan Oscroft:

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Comments

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jackdaww 04 Nov 2010 , 1:01pm

great - bought these at 14.50.

buying uk listed blue chips with global markets seems to be ok at present.

IDPickering 04 Nov 2010 , 3:35pm

An excellant article Alan, thank you.

Mind you, I'm biased as I hold Unilever in both my SIPP & ISSA! ;-)

guykguard 04 Nov 2010 , 5:39pm

A while ago, I spent 18 years in a business that Unilever bought in 2000, which is now one of its leading trademarks.
For a company that has, in the past, been categorised as a dinosaur, the development of this brand and the business that goes with it has been outstanding. Product performance/price ratio is excellent; product development is imaginitive and astute; marketing support competitive; distribution first class -- all aspirations that years ago we young marketeers only dreamed of!
My family used to own the shares: I don't own any now except via an EFT. Unilever is a well managed company with a long record of marketing and manufacturing recession-resistant mass market products that deliver excellent value for money. It's a no-brainer, almost at any price if you're a little patient.
The shares may not make anyone rich but they're unlikely to ruin you, either.

ping123 05 Nov 2010 , 12:14pm

This share is biggest part in my portfolio. Bought them several years ago and lets me sleep happily at night. Some think that it is a food manufacturing company which is far from Truth.. I live in Asia and almost every person ling in this part of world grows with using one of this great company's brands

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