Man Group Profits Rebound

Published in Company Comment on 4 November 2010

The hedge fund manager beats first half expectations.

Hedge funds have waxed and waned in popularity over the past decade, with some pretty decent profits interspersed with the occasional calamitous collapse.

Those interested in such things will surely have been buoyed by first half results from Man Group (LSE: EMG), released Thursday.

Man, the world's largest publicly-quoted hedge fund manager, reported pre-tax profits (before exceptionals) of $227m (£140m) for the six months to September 30, sending its shares soaring more than 8% in early trading.

That £140m, though it was down on the $292m (£180m) the firm made in the first half of 2009, was significantly ahead of forecasts.

A dividend of 9.5 cents per share was announced, which is a little more than half of last year's interim dividend of 19.2 cents. A total dividend for the full year of at least 22 cents per share is expected.

Strategy rebound

Man put these better-than-expected figures down to a strong performance from its flagship computer-driven AHL fund, which accounts for around half of its managed funds.

AHL gained 6.6% over the period, helping to push total funds under management to $40.5bn. That's $1bn more than forecast and $2bn up on June's figure.

Hedge funds like this only attract investors when they're winning, and Man's previously lacklustre performance has seen investors withdrawing their cash for eight quarters in a row, resulting in a net $1.6bn outflow for the six months.

The company will presumably be hoping that these first half figures will signal the start of a turnaround, and that it will start to see a net inflow of cash. There was no mention of whether this has started to happen in the second half yet, although there was some indication that institutional investors have started to return.

Diversification

Man acquired GLG Partners, a fellow hedge fund manager, for $1.6bn earlier in the year, though contributions from GLG were not included in these interim figures.

The acquisition, as well as boosting Man's total managed funds to around the $67bn level, will help the company diversify its strategy and ensure it is not entirely dependent on the fortunes of its main AHL offering.

More from Alan Oscroft:

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Comments

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thairet 05 Nov 2010 , 7:15pm

Hello, here is a call for advice / comments on my current strategy. I consider myself a novice with only 10 months trading to date.

MAN Group (EMG.L) is a typical example of how I conduct my trading on the market.
When I realize a profit of > 12%, (MAN was at 16% profit in my portfolio), I sell a company on a limit sell if I think the market is falling, or just do a market deal, to reduce my exposure to a potential general market drop and hold the cash for buying opportunities later.

I have just sold 12% of my EMG holdings, but intend to buy back in before the ex-divi date of 25 Nov.

My brokerage TER is still just less than 1%, (buying and selling fees) but this does not take into account stamp duty which elevates me to ~2.3%.

I think this is par for the course and I am reasonably content as my overall gain to date is a fluctuating >6-7% . Of course it does not take into account a 7000 squids loss from BP which would have increased it to ??% (have not done the math), but that is the name of the game!

I have recently been pulling out based on my profit strategy, as I believe there will be a major market collapse (I am not a profit of doom, but we all know it happens).

Of course I am cognicant of the fact that I began directly investing in shares at the beginniing of a major bull market, but do you think my bearish tendancies are justified in the short term from now, today?

Thanks to all who may respond and you, Alan.

Tara1492 05 Nov 2010 , 7:39pm

Wouldn't it be great to know what the market is going to do - but there were all sorts of warnings about a crash a couple of months ago and if you had sold out that you would have missed the latest rise. My current feeling is that as long as the companies you are invested in are doing good business and haven't got debts then they will probably come out of any crash OK and getting a nice dividend is a great comfort when the share price is looking horrible. I'm still waiting for United Utilities and Legal and General to get back to the price I paid for them but in the meantime the dividend keeps on coming.

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