A PFI Income Play

Published in Company Comment on 1 September 2010

You can invest in PFI projects through this specialist fund.

In the last two decades the British government has funded a large number of public infrastructure projects via the private finance initiative (PFI), a system of public-private partnerships whereby infrastructure projects such as schools and hospitals are built using private sector capital. The state then leases the asset and after many years takes full ownership.

PFI investments are particularly suitable for income-seeking investors because their client, the government, the most creditworthy borrower in Britain.

One way for private investors to get a piece of the PFI action is via the shares of the specialist investment fund, HSBC Infrastructure Company (LSE: HICL), which were floated on the stock market in March 2006 at 100p and have been a steady performer ever since, rising to the current share price of 115.5p where they yield 5.7%.

PFI -- efficient or wasteful?

The PFI was invented in Australia in the 1980s in order to fund new roads and railways. It was quickly adopted in Britain and has been used by governments every since. The PFI has been a bit of a political football with the major political parties' attitude towards the PFI depending on whether they were in office ("PFI is good") or in opposition ("PFI is bad").

This story from 2009 sums up the attitudes towards the PFT and investors in private finance projects need to be aware that the PFI is quite controversial. The two opposed views of the PFI can be summed up as:

"PFI is a good way to increase the amount available for investment into public sector projects whilst imposing some private-sector efficiency on the public sector." 

"PFI lets the state borrow more money whilst hiding the debt off the balance sheet in a manner worthy of Enron because it claims that PFI payments aren't liabilities in the conventional sense."

It's a big presumption that the private sector is more efficient at operating certain types of project! Meanwhile, the political controversy, combined with the fact that the state is able to unilaterally rewrite its contracts by changing the law, means that PFI assets will always yield more than gilts.

What the company owns

HSBC Infrastructure only buys into PFI projects after they have been built; development is simply not its style. Its portfolio contains 33 different investments, 32 of which are shares of completed PFI projects, most of which are interests in hospitals, schools, colleges and what the company describes as "law & order" (courts, police stations and detention centres).

HSBC Infrastructure also owns 42% of Colchester Garrison, the home base of the British Army' 16th Air Assault Brigade. Bit its most valuable investment is a stake in the public-private partnership Dutch High Speed Rail Link which runs from Schiphol airport to the Belgian border. 

Its non-PFI investment is a loan, of roughly 4.8% of its assets, to Kemble Water (the company that owns Thames Water).

The accounts

Investors should note that HSBC Infrastructure quotes two different earnings per share figures (eps) in its accounts. The statutory figure follows the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) as the company is deemed to control four of its projects so their accounts must be consolidated with the parent company's accounts.

HSBC Infrastructure argues that its projects should be viewed as investments because it doesn't have any employees or direct involvement with project management. It thus prefers to present its accounts on an "investment basis."

Results to end of March2010200920082007
"Investment Basis" eps6.5p(6.8p)7.8p26.0p
IFRS eps1.6p(4.3p)2.7p28.8p
Dividend6.55p6.40p6.25p6.1p
Net Asset Value110.7p110.5p123.1p121.5p

The 2007 results are not particularly representative as they covered the period months from 11 Jan 2006 to 31 March 2007, during which time earnings per share were significantly boosted by one-off gains on investments.

The shares

Due to the nature of its business, HSBC Infrastructure's share price has been relatively stable since the shares floated, having traded between a range of 128p and 97p. Investors should note that the company only updates its asset value in its interim and annual results; whilst it may look like an investment trust where the managers (HSBC) take an annual fee of 1.1% of the assets and 1% of the value of new acquisitions, the company is closer to being a property fund.

One thing which will please many investors is that the company doesn't use much debt. The most recent accounts show net assets (investment basis) of £503 million, with a mere £11 million of liabilities. So there's no risk that the debt on the balance sheet will end up hammering the share price, as has happened with many property companies.

The future

The poor state of the public sector finances combined with the new government's crackdown on public spending and the high cost of the existing PFI commitments means that investors must assume from now on the number of new PFI projects is going to decline. Of course there's always the chance that the government may end up selling off more public assets to fix the state's balance sheet (anyone fancy buying the M1?).

That said the company has already established a substantial portfolio of projects which produce a secure income stream, so it should be able to continue to increase its dividend. The most recent management statement confirms this, stating that the company expects to be paying a dividend of 7p in 2012-13.

Whilst the shares may be too boring for many investors, if you've had too much "excitement" with your investments in the last couple of years then a low volatility share which pays a steady income may be just what the doctor ordered!

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Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

rober00 01 Sep 2010 , 5:05pm

Additional these sought of funds generally have RPI inflationary contract increase built into their makeup. A nice feature should inflation continue to take off!!!

touchstone3 02 Sep 2010 , 1:35pm

I work in a hospital that has recently been rebuilt using a PFI model.
It is a lovely hospital, but the interest bill is enormous. I figure the company is making obscene profits out of this: so I intend to buy the shares and get a piece of the action!

shimself 02 Sep 2010 , 3:02pm

I too originally thought, can't lose because of the rip-offs that these contracts are.

BUT the official Investment note on the website says High Risk, because of the possibility of default (not so sure about that but hey, if they shut a few hospitals down who knows) and also of course the Government might just pass a law to say Sorry Guys we are going to drop the price (which in a way they should)
Definitely keep a tight stoploss on it

Dozey1 02 Sep 2010 , 4:43pm

So, 1.1% of the assets are skimmed off each year, and 1% of new acquisitions? Bargepole territory for me! Why pay such huge amounts to managers who do so little?

richasdotcom 02 Sep 2010 , 11:53pm

The RPI indexation for these projects is typically an RPI minus rate. There is an assumption that highly labour intensive activities like cleaning and catering will see year on year efficiency savings for up to 30 years. Efficiency savings that are sub RPI never mind earnings.

This fund taking their cut every year, the gov demanding sub rpi every year, hmmm.

They have 33 investments. Now why dod those who first signed these deals bail out? Why did they bank their profit once the build risk had disappeared but before the contract risks have played out? Why do they boast that they have no project management to make sure the 33 investments actually deliver these ongoing efficiency savings? Indeed who is supposed to deliver them?

Also it is nice of them to explain how their dividend may rise, what do they say about the way that EPS on their preferred "investment" measure has fallen over the years including a nasty loss. Where are the earnings to justify their gradual divi increases over the years?

Also how do they depreciate their assets? They claim this is a property type investment but what happens at the end of the PFI contract? Normally there will be a bid process for maintenance services etc but their asset is no longer there's, it reverts to a public sector asset and the HSBC managers have no expertise to bid for the maintenance crumbs left to rebid for.

In short those that started these contracts have now exited, the HSBC team just take their fees off the top and th poor investor gets a risky illiquid underlying "asset" consisting of contacted requirements that need to be delivered cheaper every year and as each year passes you get closed to the asset disappearing. HSBC don't want the contracts as assets, the original builders and bidders don't want the contracts so why would I want them? They had full information on all 33 and they sold up.

HSBC can gently massage the divi all they like but complex underlying assets that those that understand them do not want lack appeal, they become worse when HSBC take their fees first and where they are incentivised to invest as much of others cash as possible regardless of underlying quality.......does this financial construct remind you of any other complex, opaque financial investments?

TonyTwoTimes 03 Sep 2010 , 7:53pm

Some good points raised in the comments.

Sure, it's a fairly high charging vehicle but there are investment trusts with similarly high charges with far worse performance.

One reason why the original party to the PFI would have sold the asset is because they didn't want to have their capital tied up in it.

It's a similar situation to a hotel builder selling a completed hotel to a property companies who then leases it to a hotel operator. Many firms will stick to what they're good at and sell things on, even if they appear to be rather good.

As to the government rewriting their contracts, as I said it's always a possibility which is why the yield is much bigger than you get on gilts.

Then again, Gordon Brown was stuffing the private sector with as much PFI as possible so that he could make the current account look as good as possible, and trying to commit future governments to higher spending, so it's virtually certain that a lot of PFI projects are on really very terms for the provider with massive break clauses.

It wouldn't surprise me in the least to find that there are some really onerous clauses which are activated if the government tried to renege (and which don't fall foul of the rule which governs penalty clauses in contract law so they won't get struck out by a judge's blue penrule).

Not one for me, which is why there's no "Tony owns shares in..." at the end of the article. But it could fill a nice niche for some portfolios.

Cheers

richasdotcom 06 Sep 2010 , 12:11am

Tony, surely the big problem is that an investor in this vehicle knows squat about the contracts they are buying. Those that set them up have exited, those that manage them boast of not managing them and just take a percentage off the top. Who is managing them? Who has the risk? Yep the one investing with zero visability of the contracts has the risk and it is not clear that anyone is trying to hit the year on year efficiency savings that those that exited signed up to.

richasdotcom 07 Sep 2010 , 1:45pm

I note that the contract highlighted in the article is the 43% ownership of the Colchester Garrison.

In this case Connaught whose shares have been suspended today is the lead cntractor.

Hmm, 43% "ownership" and the contractor delivering the service to get the cash flow is now likely to be in administration. How was this risk reflected in this fund?

richasdotcom 08 Sep 2010 , 2:04pm

Yesterday the Times had a piece on the Henderson PFI Secondary Fund II which has fallen significantly in value and now has fund holders threatening to sue.

This untransparent fund invested in John Laing after a bidding contest. This exposed the fund holders to the ongoing costs of future PFI bids and gave them exposure to the John Laing pension fund deficit. They claim to have lost £350m.

Henderson view the investors as sophisticated ones aware of the risks and now downplay that the fund was meant to be an income stream that would keep up with CPI....hmmm.

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