Blue Chip Penny Shares

Published in Company Comment on 10 March 2009

Blue chip shares have traditionally been considered amongst the safest of bets, while many caution against the risks of buying penny shares. Times are certainly strange when you can find both together.

Penny shares can often appear superficially attractive to novice investors, for the simple reason that a low price can make something look like a bargain. After all, if a supermarket sells things off cheap, you're getting the same item at a lower price, aren't you? The flaw with applying that analogy to shares is that an individual share is not always the same thing -- what might be a bargain one day can become an overpriced the next. At the Motley Fool we try to discourage beginners from investing in penny shares, and in fact will not open a new discussion board for small companies with share prices lower than 50p.

Low price

Is a company with shares priced at, say, 20p, better value than a similar company with shares priced at £1? Many beginners seem to think so, but the share price on its own really says nothing either way. If the former company has five times the number of shares in existence than the latter, the two companies will be valued identically (they will have the same market capitalisation). Whether the total valuation of a company is a bargain or not depends entirely on the health of its business.

Some people also seem to think that a share with a lower price can't fall as far as a higher priced one, and so you have less to lose buying the cheaper ones. But that is simply not true. The most any share can fall is exactly the same -- 100%. So if you invest £1,000 in a company, the most you can lose is £1,000, regardless of whether the shares are priced at £100 or 1p each.

How did it get there?

The other question we need to ask when thinking about penny shares is "How did it get there?". It's very rare that a company joins the stock market at a price of a few pennies, so whenever you see a very low share price you can be pretty sure that it used to be a lot higher in the past and that something bad has happened to get the price down where it is today. 

Investing in something with a poor track record is not many people's idea of a surefire route to riches. That doesn't mean that looking for unfairly low priced shares is necessarily a bad strategy, or that seeking out companies ripe for recovery can't bring home the bacon (both can be good strategies if you know what you're doing), but it does mean that a low share price on its own is more often a sign of a dog than a star.

Dog stars?

So what about blue chips? Those are companies that are considered the stalwarts of the stock market, the safest of bets, the companies that are as unlikely to go bust as one could hope. Companies like the constituents of the FTSE 100, for example.

But if we take a look at the lowest priced shares in the FTSE 100 today, here's what we see:

CompanyShare price
BT (LSE: BT-A)75p
Barclays (LSE: BARC)70p
Friends Provident (LSE: FP)59p
Lloyds Banking Group (LSE: LLOY)47p
Old Mutual (LSE: OML)34p
Legal & General (LSE: LGEN)28p
Royal Bank of Scotland (LSE: RBS)20p

Blue chip companies in the FTSE 100 at penny share prices are not something we see very often. What does that tell us? Well, there may be one or two worth having amongst the detritus there (I think Barclays is probably the best amongst the banks and the one most likely to recover, and some insurers may well be over-sold these days, but that's a story for another day), but it does tell us one thing.

It answers the question I posed above, the one we should always ask when thinking about buying low-priced shares -- "How did it get there?". We know precisely how the finance sector got where it is today, and we know that the shares we are looking at today are very different from their former selves from before the banks went on their reckless lending spree. I doubt many people today will be rushing out to buy RBS shares simple because 20p isn't a lot of money.

So whenever you think about buying a low-priced share, be sure you know the answer to that vital question.

Whatever the price of a share, you'll find it's cheap to buy and sell using The Motley Fool's Share Dealing service. Real-time trades cost just £10 and you can set up a regular purchase plan for £1.50. Find out how to open an account here.

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Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

lotontech 11 Mar 2009 , 5:40pm

This the best article I've seen on fool.co.uk recently :-) In particular:

"The most any share can fall is exactly the same -- 100%. So if you invest £1,000 in a company, the most you can lose is £1,000, regardless of whether the shares are priced at £100 or 1p each."

Looking at it another way:

The investor who piles in with £1000 at 10p per share is not much smarter than the investor who piled in at £1 per share, if the price subsequently falls to 1p! But of course, she is much smarter -- being a woman ;-) -- if the price subsequently recovers to £1.

-----
Tony Loton, Financial Author and Publisher

Zootalaws 12 Mar 2009 , 7:32am

In principle I agree and with your investing head on you've got to look askance at RBS, Barclays, etc.

But with your gambling head on it is a different matter. If you are looking to have a flutter, rather than looking to build a solid investment portfolio, some of these collapsed blue chips look pretty good.

My son had £250 burning a hole in his pocket - he could have has a few nights out and a new (dreadful!) shirt, but I convinced him to put it into his fresh, new equities account.

He bought RBS at around 10p a share, which isn't going to make him rich short-term, or perhaps even long-term, but when his current stint with the RAF is up in 10 years, it may form the basis for a nice little nest-egg to go along with his free university education (assuming they keep that promise)

I have since frittered away about 7500 shares on various of these burnt-out blue chips at an average price of 16p. If it works out, I'll be very happy, if it tanks it was a losing bet - but that's what it is, a bet, not an investment.

Oscroft 12 Mar 2009 , 5:52pm

Hi Tony,

Thanks for your very kind words :-)

Foolish regards
Alan
TMFBoing

Oscroft 13 Mar 2009 , 3:09pm

Hi Zootalaws,

I certainly agree there's nothing wrong with taking a higher-risk punt on fallen shares, as long as you understand where the shares are and how they got there.

You clearly know how the FTSE-100 pennies shares got where they are today, so you're making an informed decision - I wish you well with them.

Foolish regards
Alan
TMFBoing

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