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Photo-Me Looks Tempting

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By David Holding | 24 July 2008

The last couple of years have been depressing ones for Photo-Me International (LSE: PHTM) and its shareholders. So is there any way back from here?  

Photo-Me makes photographic equipment and mini-labs and makes, sells, services and operates its own coin-operated photobooths, copiers, printers and children's rides.

And it hasn’t been a happy ride to be on. Last summer, one of the main institutional shareholders called for an EGM as it was unhappy at the (then…) proposed sale of the vending division -- which has always been highly cash generative. The fund also called for the heads of the Chairman and CEO -- and got its three wishes granted in the weeks that followed, though the former boss retains 19% of the company he built up over 17 years.   

The chart for the last couple of years certainly isn’t a pretty snapshot either. The shares were over nine times their current level just over two and a half years ago. Clearly, overall market sentiment has exacerbated an already deteriorating situation.

So what?

So what you might say? It’s today’s price and value that matter in the investing stakes so does PHTM offer value at a bargain basement price or is it a falling knife with further to plunge?

At 14p, Photo-Me is currently valued at £50.4m. The company’s final results for the year to 30 April 2008 showed revenue on continuing businesses down 1.5% at £209.7m on which PHTM made a pre-tax loss £1.9m ignoring exceptional items etc. The new Chairman saw these results as “deeply unsatisfactory.” I’m sure the long-suffering shareholders did too.

But it’s all about the future under the new Chairman, CEO and board. And it seems they have a lot to work with to create value for shareholders from the current level.

Is there any value left?

First of all, the price-to-sales ratio at 0.24 looks tempting for bargain hunters. A return to anything approaching the kind of profitability PHTM achieved two or three years ago, before the rot set in, would make a joke of today’s valuation. The company made a profit of £34.5m in 04-05 and £28.5m in 05-06, and these figures were achieved on a turnover not wildly dissimilar to last year's.

Also, the balance sheet doesn’t make quite as depressing reading as one might expect given the share price weakness; net tangible assets total around £50m, though this could deteriorate if trading doesn’t improve.

Then there’s the inevitable ongoing “strategic review” being conducted by the new man at the top. He’s looking for “stability” in the current year and is also looking for a reduction in net debt via decreases in capital expenditure, taxation, dividends and cancelling share buy-backs. The broker clearly thinks he can turn things around, forecasting pre-tax profits of £1.3m for the current year rising to £4.8m next.

One of the Directors seems to agree having bought shares recently at 13p. The company has also rid itself of a small USA vending business this week.

Whilst not completely safe, at today’s price, the shares look firmly in bargain basement territory to me.

> You could buy shares in Photo Me via Motley Fool Sharebuilder for just £1.50 commission.

Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool.

At 16:47 on July 24 2008, sagittus said:

Its on a price/cash flow multiple of only 1.5 - and free cash flow this year could be 2/3rds the market cap. The fact is that a sum of parts valuation last year was being touted (by a major broker - and backed by my own calcs based on unravelling the real assets of each main trading business (cash and borrowings) at over 120p per share. Yes that's water under the bridge now, and 'fings is different in every respect. But, even so ! One reason the shares were hammered is the suggestion biometrics will supplant id and passport photos. And the co WAS reported a few months ago as seeking to move into that sector, but it has kept quiet about it, and maybe it will prove too expensive. Nevertheless, 39% of its 40,000 vending locations are now non-photo (although we don't know whether they are as profitable as photos used to be) and the whole 'vending estate' was the occasion of the first aproach to PHTM in the early noughtties by a N York bank interested in their use for other types of vending. So there COULD be a resurrection from the ashes. The BIG cloud is the possibility the old directors (I think they have not far short of 50% now ??) could bid very very cheaply and lock out the few remaining PI's. What intrigues me is WHO on the board is looking after PI's interests >

At 23:00 on July 24 2008, barrieharrop said:

the above mentioned profit was as result a major insurance payout.
the company in in the basket case status,its lost its way and appeal to the next generation customers it has no relavant branding to relate to this new market,its in time warp.

At 10:33 on July 27 2008, sagittus said:

maybe its in a time-warp. But it still has that cash coming in. Your comment is timewarped because the insurance payout was two years ago

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