AIMski

Published in Company Comment on 1 March 2007

AIM has become the exchange of choice for Russian companies, but how successful have they been?

In recent years more than thirty Russian companies have listed on the London Stock Exchange's (LSE: LSE) Alternative Investments Market (AIM). The resource sectors -- oil and gas, and mining -- accounted for three quarters of these listings.

Indeed, London is the preferred location for Russian companies listing abroad, and this has been attributed to Britain's less onerous regulatory regime; total costs of an IPO listing here have been estimated at about half the cost of a New York listing. The extent to which the increased bureaucracy in US serves to protect investors is hotly debated.

And protection is an important issue, as doubts have been expressed about the quality of Russian companies. While some of these doubts are company-specific, there are also concerns about the general environment in which Russian companies must operate. In 2006, Russia ranked:

  • 28th out of 30 countries on Transparency International's Bribe Payers Index;
  • joint 121st, along with Honduras and Rwanda, out of 163 countries on Transparency International's Corruption Index;
  • 147th out of 168 countries on Reporters Without Borders Press Freedom Index.

While corruption is not exactly unheard of in Western countries, it's a question of degree -- I think it's reasonable to fear that these ratings may have some implications for the way Russian companies have to operate, and for whose benefit they are run. I was particularly intrigued by Tatneft's (NYSE: TNT) reference some years ago to the "significant informal pressures" exerted by local government -- the company then wrote off some zero-interest loans it had given to a government-owned company for "social expenditures". Hmm.

But whatever about these corporate governance issues, it has to be acknowledged that some shareholders have done very well from AIM-listed Russian companies. Investors in Imperial Energy (LSE: IEC) , for example, have seen their shares rise thirty-six-fold since flotation in 2004. Data compiled by Digitallook, however, shows nine out of thirty-four companies trading below their IPO levels.

Flotation date

Price at float

Price 26/2/07

Percentage change

IMPERIAL ENERGY CORP

(LSE: IEC)

05/04/04

25

936

3644

PETER HAMBRO MINING

(LSE: POG)

29/04/02

130

1179

807

STEPPE CEMENT

(LSE: STCM)

15/09/05

46.5

300

545

SIBIR ENERGY

(LSE: SBE)

19/05/00

80

434

443

AVOCET MINING

(LSE: AVM)

01/06/99

28.5

122

328

RAMBLER MEDIA

(LSE: RMG)

10/06/05

11

44.74

307

ARICOM

(LSE: TIO)

31/12/03

15

60

300

VICTORIA OIL & GAS

(LSE: VOG)

27/07/04

20

67.5

238

HAMBLEDON MINING

(LSE: HMB)

10/06/04

5

16.25

225

MAX PETROLEUM

(LSE: MXP)

27/10/05

35

97.25

178

URASIA ENERGY LTD

(LSE: UUU)

25/08/06

130.5

336.5

158

REGAL PETROLEUM

(LSE: RPT)

27/09/02

60

149.5

149

AURUM MINING

(LSE: AUR)

07/05/04

47

116.5

148

OXUS GOLD

(LSE: OXS)

04/07/01

30

49.5

65

URALS ENERGY PUBLIC CO

(LSE: UEN)

04/08/05

240

385

60

BALTIC OIL TERMINALS

(LSE: BTC)

27/04/06

140

202

44

KRYSO RESOURCES

(LSE: KYS)

02/12/04

10

12.12

21

TELESET NETWORKS PLC

(LSE: TNW)

12/10/06

20.25

24.5

21

MIRLAND DEVELOPMENT CORP PLC

(LSE: MLD)

13/12/06

478

565

18

RAVEN RUSSIA

(LSE: RUS)

29/07/05

100

118

18

METRO BALTIC HORIZONS PLC

(LSE: MET)

11/12/06

100

109.5

10

METAL-TECH

(LSE: MTT)

13/05/05

130

135

4

HIGHLAND GOLD MINING

(LSE: HGM)

17/12/02

190

182

-4

AURORA RUSSIA

(LSE: AURR)

24/03/06

100

90.5

-10

ARIANA RESOURCES

(LSE: AAU)

28/07/05

12

10.25

-15

UKRPRODUCT GROUP

(LSE: UKR)

11/02/05

53.5

44

-18

TIMAN OIL & GAS PLC

(LSE: TMAN)

28/12/06

76

61.5

-19

ORIEL RESOURCES

(LSE: ORI)

11/03/04

65

51

-22

CAMBRIAN OIL & GAS

(LSE: COIL)

15/07/04

5

3.5

-30

AMUR MINERALS CORP

(LSE: AMC)

15/03/06

33

17

-48

FRONTERA RESOURCES CORP

(LSE: FRR)

10/03/05

150

54

-64

TRANS-SIBERIAN GOLD

(LSE: TSG)

25/11/03

137.5

49.5

-64

ANGLO ASIAN MINING

(LSE: AAZ)

29/07/05

77

19

-75

MARAKAND MINERALS

(LSE: MKD)

04/12/03

37

6.75

-82



Clearly, Russian shares offer some opportunities. But as a whole there's no certainty that Russian shares will perform so well in future, and investors need to be very selective. Proceed with caution!

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