Words Of Wisdom From Big Tesco Backer Warren Buffett

Published in Investing on 7 March 2013

What we can learn from the Oracle of Omaha's latest annual letter.

Last week, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK-A.US) (NYSE: BRK-B.US) boss Warren Buffett released his annual letter to shareholders.

If you're a UK investor just starting out, US investing legend Buffett may be new to you -- perhaps your interest in the man has been piqued by reading about how he's taken a big stake in Tesco (LSE: TSCO) (NASDAQOTH: TSCDY.US).

I can tell you that Buffett's annual letters never fail to educate, amuse and enrich. You'll find abundant pearls of wisdom in his witty, colourful and incisive commentaries -- as, indeed, will old hands.

586,817% and counting

Let's start with why Buffett has captured the attention of millions of investors around the world. The bottom line is, his Berkshire Hathaway group has an outstanding record of increasing shareholder value over the best part of five decades.

Between 1965 and 2012, Berkshire's book value per share has increased by a mind-boggling 586,817%, representing a compound annual growth rate of close to 20%. Such gains over such a long period are unparalleled.

Successful businesses

Buffett's strategy of wealth creation for Berkshire is something ordinary investors like us can learn from in weighing up companies we may want to invest in.

Successful businesses generate cash. Buffett is clear about what a company should do with that cash, in the following order of priority:

  • First, examine reinvestment possibilities offered by its current business for increasing the competitive advantage over rivals.
  • Second, look at acquisitions that are likely to make shareholders wealthier on a per-share basis than they were prior to the acquisition.
  • Third, consider repurchasing the company's own shares to enhance each investor's share of future earnings.
  • Fourth, by default, pay dividends to shareholders.

Reinvestment and acquisitions

By reinvestment in the business, Buffett is referring to spending on projects "to become more efficient, expand territorially, extend and improve product lines or to otherwise widen the economic moat separating the company from its competitors".

When we ourselves are considering companies to invest in, we can check how intelligently management is reinvesting in the business by looking at such things as whether market share is being maintained/increased and whether margins are being maintained/grown relative to rivals.

Buffett considers small bolt-on acquisitions that can easily be integrated into existing operations as part of the reinvestment in the business. The acquisitions referred to in stage two of his four steps are those that add something new to the company -- some form of diversification.

When we are considering companies to invest in, we can check whether management has a good track record of adding shareholder value through making such acquisitions.

Repurchasing shares

Buffett is strict about when it's right for a company to repurchase its own shares. Again and again over the years, he has stressed that the only time to do share buybacks is when the shares are available 'far below', 'well below' or 'at a meaningful discount from' intrinsic value -- and 'conservatively calculated' intrinsic value at that.

Last year, Berkshire spent $1.3bn repurchasing its own shares. At the moment, Buffett is prepared to pay up to 120% of Berkshire's book value for the shares.

So, if you're interested in buying shares in Berkshire yourself, you have it from the horse's mouth that 120% of book value represents a meaningful discount to conservatively calculated intrinsic value at the present time.

Dividends

Berkshire doesn't pay dividends, but not because Buffett is against them per se. It's simply that he has always seen opportunities in steps one to three for employing Berkshire's cash flows more fruitfully for shareholders.

At the moment, the discount to intrinsic value is such that share buybacks are an efficient way for Berkshire to employ excess cash, but Buffett says that if things change materially "we will re-examine our actions".

Buffett is perfectly happy for the quoted companies in Berkshire's portfolio -- American Express, Coca-Cola, IBM and Wells Fargo are his "Big Four" -- to use excess cash to make share repurchases "at appropriate prices" or to otherwise pay him dividends. He says: "We applaud their actions and hope they continue on their present paths."

Buffett no doubt feels the same about his big UK investment in Tesco, whose shares -- at 380p -- are currently trading on a historically low earnings multiple and offer investors a healthy 4% dividend yield.

Berkshire's 415,510,889 shareholding in Tesco (5.2% of the company) should net Buffett a dividend payout of something over £60m this year alone.

Buffett didn't discuss Tesco in his latest letter to Berkshire shareholders, but you can get the full low-down on the great man's investment in Britain's biggest supermarket in this exclusive in-depth report.

This special report is free, but available for a limited time only. So do hurry if you'd like it dispatched immediately to your inbox. Simply click here.

> G A Chester does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned in this article. The Motley Fool owns shares in Tesco.

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Comments

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TMFMarkRogers88 07 Mar 2013 , 1:51pm

This is a great introductory article into Buffett's thinking for UK investors, and how it applies to his stake in Tesco. Around this time of year the coverage of his annual letter, and TV interviews, pique the interest of intelligent investors who want to learn a little bit more. So the article is well timed!

I think it's worth adding a quick point about good businesses, and what they choose to do with the extra cash they generate.

One of Buffett's key concepts of a good business, is one that requires very small incremental increases in capital in order to increase the earning power of the business. For example, perhaps one of his favourite "wonderful businesses" is See's Candy, which he often uses as an example:

"For an increase in profits to be evaluated properly, it must be compared with the incremental capital investment required to produce it. On this score, See's has been astounding: The company now operates comfortably with only $25 million of net worth, which means that our beginning base of $7 million has had to be supplemented by only $18 million of reinvested earnings. Meanwhile, See's remaining pre-tax profits of $410 million were distributed to Blue Chip/Berkshire during the 20 years for these companies to deploy (after payment of taxes) in whatever way made most sense." - 1991 annual letter to shareholders

Basically, to arrive at the "cash available" or "unrestricted earnings", we have to deduct the amount of total earnings required to simply keep the business standing still. In a good business (like See's), practically none of the earnings are restricted, and can be directly deployed to enhance the earning power of the business.

On the flip side of this, a difficult business is one like the textile business that Buffett began with at Berkshire. Heavy capital expenditure on new machinery, or on maintaining last year's productivity relative to peers, greatly reduces the percentage of "unrestricted" earnings that can be put to effective use in expanding earning power.

To cut a long story short, arriving at the conclusions of a "good business" is crucial to analysis of Buffett's requirements, and is one of the reasons for his remarkable success. Luckily, he shares a lot his knowledge (like the capital expenditure thoughts above) in his letters to shareholders.

To any new investors who are perhaps curious (or even sceptical!) about how Buffett has identified such wonderful investments over the years, I would greatly recommend checking out his annual letters to shareholders. They're all available for free online at the Berkshire Hathaway website, dating back to 1977. Good luck and enjoy!

AleisterCrowley 08 Mar 2013 , 10:58am

Might be me , but I find large percentages such as 586,817% totally meaningless (or at least difficult to visualise)
Happier with compound annual growth - and I'd be very happy with 20%

YeeWo 10 Mar 2013 , 8:00am

Aleister, The really interesting thing is how 20% x circa 50 years can bring about a figure of 568,817. Compounding really is miraculous over time........

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