3 Gold Shares Rising Strongly

Published in Investing on 7 February 2013

Centamin PLC (LON:CEY), Shanta Gold Limited (LON:SHG) and Harmony Gold Mining Co. (ADR) (NYSE:HMY) are all in focus this week.

Gold has gradually moved higher since last Friday, and the April futures contract is now up by 0.8% at $1,678.

Of course, the only practical way for most private investors to invest in gold is through exchange-traded funds. The largest gold ETF, the $72bn SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE: GLD.US), has gained 0.7% to $162.39 since last Friday's open, while London-listed Gold Bullion Securities (LSE: GBS) has risen 1.0% to $162.00 over the same period. So far this year, shareholders of Gold Bullion Securities have seen their holdings rise by 1%, while SPDR Gold Trust holders have gained just 0.23%.

Gold's big movers

Many investors prefer to invest in gold mining stocks, rather than gold itself, as gold miners are able to use their operational gearing to outperform the price of gold. Let's take a look at some gold stocks that have gained strongly recently.

Centamin (LSE: CEY) has gained 15% to 61p so far this month, as the embattled Egyptian gold miner climbed on rumours that a favourable court ruling on the mining concession for its Sukari gold mine is imminent. However, the ruling has not yet materialised and brokers Westhouse Securities downgraded the company from buy to neutral following a recent site visit, saying that Centamin "remains vulnerable to matters outside of its control".

Shanta Gold (LSE: SHG) is up a further 8% to 22.5p so far this month, after it announced that a new major shareholder, Red Kite, had taken a 5.2% stake in the company, which is hoping to increase gold production at its New Luika mine in Tanzania to more than 70,000 ounces in 2013. Shanta's share price has climbed 23% in the last month, thanks to a string of good news.

Harmony Gold (NYSE: HMY.US) has climbed 9% to $7.15 so far this week. The company, which has a market value of $3.1 billion and is Africa's third-largest gold producer, announced a 28% increase in profits for the final quarter of last year, despite production losses due to the mining strikes in South Africa. Harmony's adjusted earnings per share rose to 1.58 rand per share, 50% higher than consensus forecasts for 1.05 rand per share.

Shares vs commodities

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> Roland does not own any shares mentioned in this article.

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Comments

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QuantumDealer 07 Feb 2013 , 7:10pm

Should the Egyptian Court ruling go in favour of Centamin (and my belief is that the company views this as a 90% probability or thereabouts) then the share price has the potential to re-value back towards the 85-95p mark, as a minimum. Even at this level, I think the price would be cheap though. If the Court rules against the company, then I expect an appeal to be lodged quickly followed by a protracted appeals process which could keep a lid on the share price for a further 3 months of thereabouts. The balance of probabilities suggest that this stock is worth buying at these levels, in my view.

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