Are These The Worst 5 Shares On The FTSE 100?

Published in Investing on 18 January 2013

Harvey Jones heaps derision on Royal Bank of Scotland (LON:RBS), GlaxoSmithKline (LON:GSK), ICAP (LON:IAP), BG Group (LON:BG) and Admiral Group (LON:ADM).

Singling out good stocks is quite an art, but what about bad stocks? For the last few months, I have been working through the FTSE 100 (UKX), looking for great opportunities. Along the way, I have found plenty to avoid. Are these the worst five stocks on the FTSE 100? And if so, how come I own three of them?

Royal Bank of Scotland

Like most people in the UK, I loathe Royal Bank of Scotland (LSE: RBS). Its arrogance cost taxpayers hundreds of millions. It's a bad bank, propped up by the state, which owns 85% of it. One day that stake will have to be offloaded, which could wreak further damage on its share price. Like all banks, it still attracts scandals like jam attracts wasps. RBS has also been accused of abandoning UK PLC by failing to lend during the downturn. Worst of all, like most big banks, its vast, sprawling balance sheet is impossible for ordinary mortals to understand. RBS is so bad it is almost good, which is why I bought its shares a couple of years ago at 21p. They now trade at 35p, a rise of 67%. Do I hate RBS, or do I hate myself even more for speculating on it?

GlaxoSmithKline

Here's another stock I hate myself for holding, pharmaceutical giant GlaxoSmithKline (LSE: GSK). Unlike RBS, this one has hardly made me any money since I bought it for five years ago. What I find astonishing is that it still has such a healthy reputation with investors. It is more likely to figure in the best five FTSE 100 stocks, rather than the worst. That annoys me as well. So does the fact that it recently extended the amount of time it takes to pay suppliers from 60 days to 90 days, a sneaky move that has drawn anger from small businesses. Most annoying of all, its share price is down nearly 10% since last summer. So much for defensive pharmaceutical stocks. Crikey, even AstraZeneca has done better lately. Glaxo has also seen drugs sales fall in austerity-stricken Europe, and I worry that more bad news could follow. On the plus side, there is that 5.1% yield. There may be far worse stocks on the FTSE 100, but few are quite as frustrating.

ICAP

Wholesale broking business ICAP (LSE: IAP) has found it tough since the financial crisis, thanks to a slump in derivatives trading. After a series of profit downgrades, it is trading at roughly half its peak value five years ago, and the slide continues. It has fallen more than 40% in the last 12 months alone. Chief executive Michael Spencer has called this one of the toughest periods of his career, and you can see why. It is always darkest before the dawn, however, and some of you might consider this a contrarian buy. Broker Prime Markets recently called ICAP "a recovery to buy into". If you agree, this stock's 6.8% yield will reward you for your patience, but you may have to be very patient indeed.

BG Group

What can you say about a stock that has just admitted it won't grow this year, and probably won't do much better next year as well? The stock market knew exactly how to respond, which is why BG Group's (LSE: BG) share price plunged 20% last year. I treated this as a buying opportunity, but I'm beginning to suffer buyer's regret, as the share price has little reason to go anywhere right now. There has been a spark of good news this year, with production starting on time and on budget at the group's Sapinhoa offshore field in Brazil. There has even been some takeover speculation, with rumours of a bid from Royal Dutch Shell and Petrobras. Again, buyers will have to be patient, only this time they will receive scant reward from the dividend, which yields just 1.4%. BG Group owes its investors better than that.

Admiral Group

When I last looked at Admiral Group (LSE: ADM), the thing I like most was its subsidiary brand Confused.com, one of the best-established price comparison sites in the UK. But the group is sailing through choppy waters right now. Its most recent trading update saw a 2% drop in quarterly turnover to £570 million, year-on-year, as premium rates fell in the cyclical car insurance market. This is a highly competitive market, and Admiral may struggle to replicate its stellar growth of the last 20 years. It is a financially solid business, so there is little reason for investors to worry, but little reason to get excited either. 

Great eight

So that's five stocks I won't be buying. If you want to know what you should be buying, then read our special in-depth report "Eight Top Blue Chips Held By Britain's Super Investor".

The report by Motley Fool analysts is completely free and shows where Invesco-Perpetual's dividend maestro Neil Woodford believes the best high-yield stocks are to be found today. Availability of this report is strictly limited, so please download it now.

> Harvey owns RBS, Glaxo and BG Group. He doesn't own any other share mentioned in this article.

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Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

Modelofrestraint 18 Jan 2013 , 9:10am

You say one shouldn't be buying GSK, then you tell us to look at the 8 shares that "Britain's Super-Investor" to find out what we should be buying, and last time I looked he was buying GSK?? If it is Neil Woodford you refer to, as usual.....

goodlifer 18 Jan 2013 , 11:58am

"But few are quite as frustrating (as GSK.)".

"No time for sentiment," is one of the watchwords of an intelligent investoor..

Thruxie 18 Jan 2013 , 1:48pm

With GSK it's all about the yield. Even if the share price stands still you're looking at in excess of 25% return from dividends over 5 years especially if you reinvest for compound interest and top up on the dips.

I happen to think GSK is cheap at the moment and represents a good buying opportunity.

goodlifer 18 Jan 2013 , 2:01pm

And isn't GSK supposed to be one of the favourite shares of He Who Walks on Water?

It would be nice to know what you really think of (a) GSK and (b) Woody?

elispace 18 Jan 2013 , 2:23pm

This is at best a most confusing article because it simply does not hold with it's intended premise!

You hate, you own them, you've made profits, you've made losses, your not buying them, you regret buying them, are you selling them?

Honestly, I really can see no point in this article from a readers point of view...is it a personal rant? Pointless Rubbish!

I also agree with above comments. There is no consistency between it's constant promotion of Woodford picks (and you seem often to be out of date) and the comments from MF.

Why? If you have nothing informative to say, then don't say anything!

rober00 18 Jan 2013 , 3:54pm

Be charitable, if he did not say "anything" he would not earn a crust.

All hail he who is mentioned to d-----d much!!!

goodlifer 18 Jan 2013 , 7:15pm

rober00
"Be charitable, if he did not say "anything" he would not earn a crust."

Only too true, sad to say
Like the penny-a-liners in our national press, our Foolish experts have to say something from time to time, even if they can't think of anything worth saying.
On the other hand we Foolish foot soldiers can afford to keep our big flappers shut unless we think we're onto something important.
It's often rubbish of course, but generally interesting to read and sometimes quite helpful.

So pity the poor Expert!

Mnqa0dg2 18 Jan 2013 , 8:22pm

Could you tell us some more about this Woodford fellow, I've not heard of him before.

goodlifer 18 Jan 2013 , 9:25pm

Hi again rober00,
If I remember correctly, you once commented that investment was always a zerosum game, and that anyone who didn't realise this was heading for big trouble.
I'd be interested to know the thinking these propositions - particularly the second - are grounded on.

If I've got the wrong guy. please accept my apologies.

snoekie 19 Jan 2013 , 4:16pm

Harvey, I agree with you on 2 of the shares, RBS and Admiral. Indifferent on ICAP. For me GSK has a future, and a decent dividend with a goodish drug pipeline.

And then BG, whilst the divi is abysmal, it is the prospects in the coming years and its expertise on gas liquefaction for transportation, from places that have a surplus to places that require gas, quite apart from the finds where it is currently exploring. Even knowing about the divi I bought, particularly after the drop. Pity I didn't wait another 10 days. No doubt you had the same Idea, but then look at the chart for the last 10 years and the rise over that time frame. I remain unconvinced that fracking is a solution for the UK with its fairly dense population and the resulting tremors and likely contamination of groundwater. Maybe alright for the US with big empty spaces. Anyway, I have made a decision, and must now live with it, just as I did a number of other shares, most of which have turned out good.

Jonesey12 21 Jan 2013 , 11:38am

Harvey Jones here.

I thought Glaxo may be a little controversial. This is a personal view, and personally, I have found it a disappointing hold. The reason I included it on my list is the contrast between its high reputation among investors, and sluggish performance for the last five years.

ANuvver 21 Jan 2013 , 6:25pm

Not sure I agree with the frustration over Glaxo.

As with all shares, it's all about timing. I pounced in August '11 and have seen around 19% total return since. If that dividend remains secure, I'm far from frustrated.

Pipelines, schminelines - just keep on spitting out cash. And you never know, any day now GSK or AZN may discover a cure for stupidity.

(Which would actually cause more problems than it solves, if I think about it...)

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