3 FTSE Shares Crashing To New Lows

Published in Investing on 18 October 2012

Morrison (LSE: MRW) and FirstGroup (LSE: FGP) are in the doldrums.

With the FTSE 100 (UKX) trading at 5,903 this afternoon, just 8 points down on the day, there's little chance the index is going to be seen anywhere near its 52-week low of 5,075 any time soon. In fact, the FTSE is only a little short of its year high of 5,989.

But the same cannot be said about some companies from the various FTSE indices. But among depressed shares, bargains are often found. Here are three names currently plumbing the depths and hitting fresh lows, which you might consider to be too cheap:

Morrison

You might be surprised to hear it, but Wm Morrison Supermarkets (LSE: MRW) is trading close to its 52-week low. The shares hit their lowest point of 261p in June before recovering, but they have slid back again and went as low as 267p on Tuesday before pulling up a little. We know that Tesco (LSE: TSCO) is still depressed from its poor Christmas season, but why is Morrison struggling?

It's hard to say, as the City is forecasting a rise in earnings per share for the full year to January 2013, with a near 4.5% dividend on the cards rising to 4.8% for the following year. If that doesn't make a forward price to earnings (P/E) ratio of 10 look cheap, I don't know what does.

FirstGroup

We know what has hit FirstGroup (LSE: FGP) of late -- the cancellation of its new West Coast Main Line contract after the bidding process was scrapped. The shares have been trading very close to their 52-week low of 184p this week, though they're up a bit at 190p today. Is the depressed price fair, or are the shares oversold?

Well, the company must be worth at least what it was before the rail franchise fiasco, mustn't it? Current forecasts put the shares on a prospective P/E of only 6.3, with a massive 13% dividend yield forecast for the year to March 2013. However, that payment would barely be covered by earnings and there must be a good chance the forecasts are optimistic. Still, with a valuation so low, there is room for a significant dividend cut and the income yield remaining attractive.

Volex

Meanwhile, looking at the small-cap end of the market, Volex (LSE: VLX) is having a dreadful time. The maker of connectors, wiring assemblies and related products saw its shares fall off a cliff in September when the firm issued a profit warning due to an unexpected fall in demand from one of its biggest customers.

Since then the shares have fallen further, reaching a new 163p low today. So what is the future looking like? Well, with ongoing fears that we might not have heard the worst, the firm's forward P/E rating of 7.6 is perhaps understandable. But there's still a very well covered, if modest, dividend of 2.5% expected.

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> Alan Oscroft does not own any shares mentioned in this article.

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Comments

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jetman100 18 Oct 2012 , 9:28pm

The quality of the food in Morrisons is awful. Tesco a little better. Might that speak for their share price or clientele

jackdaww 19 Oct 2012 , 11:30am

cant agree on morrisons food.
their fish is fresh - tesco say theirs may have been previously frozen.
morrisons cafe's superior to tesco - the food is brought to you served hot - at tesco you serve yourself then queue up to pay - by the time youve sat down its not hot.
we think morrisons meat is better.
awful is a pretty strong description - evidence please.
maybe we are the wrong sort of clientele.

i hold a lot of both .

shinygoldcar 19 Oct 2012 , 1:27pm

Bear in mind Morrison's is ex-div right now. Add 3.49p to the share price to get its "real price".

kempiejon 19 Oct 2012 , 3:15pm

Supermarket snobbery is rife whenever we discuss investing in them. Where you shop and what you buy isn't really relevant to holding the shares. I have BAe shares and none of their products the same is true for BATs and Vodaphone. Greggs might be a good buy for investment I've not tried their pastries. Does the company do the business?
Sainsbury has made me money as an investment and I buy groceries there. I sometimes shop inWaitrose, I often shop in Co-op.

goodlifer 20 Oct 2012 , 9:17pm

FWIW, we find Sainsburys best for booze, Morrisons for pizzas and Marks for oranges.
When we don't need any of these we go to Waitrose where my better half, a retired John Lewis partner, gets a hefty discount (except on booze, sad to say.)
Rather surprisingly there's no Tesco conveniently close at hand.

kempiejon is quite right to point out that all this fascinating information has little or no bearing on whether the shares are worth buying, or at what price.

mariuscronje 22 Oct 2012 , 11:39am

FGP has committed to a dividend growth of RPI + 2% until 2015 (unless I am wrong). What are the chances of them backtracking on that commitment? The share price has fallen a lot in the past 5 years, but not once did they cut their dividend. However, I have not looked at the earnings in enough detail to guess what actions they will take in the near future.

I just hope that FGP's earnings will rise as I am squashed like a sardine on their trains everyday telling myself: "It is al worth it, it is all worth it, it is all ......."

Yet again, I am still looking towards this share as a 3-5 year investment, unless they go .... off the tracks!

mariuscronje 22 Oct 2012 , 5:09pm

Sorry, I quoted the incorrect dividend growth above!

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