5 Opportunities For The Week Ahead

Published in Investing on 5 October 2012

Next week brings a few choice updates from important sectors.

We have a small but interesting mixture of news coming our way next week, and here are five companies that you might like to investigate before we hear what they have to say...

WH Smith

WH Smith (LSE: SMWH) is due to provide us with preliminary full-year results on Thursday, and the signs are good. At the time of the company's pre-close update in August, we were told to expect results at the upper end of current forecasts. High-street business is focusing in margins and cost-cutting, and the Travel division is doing well despite the depressed economy.

The share price has stormed up to today's 656p from a low of 472p in June. But even after that near 40% rise, the shares are still not looking that expensive -- latest forecasts suggest a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of under 11, with a dividend yield if 4.1% expected. The dividend should be well covered, and the firm's pre-close update suggests we can have confidence in it.

Avanti

Fancy a growth share punt? Satellite communications operator Avanti Communications (LSE: AVN), which will release full-year figures on Wednesday, might be worth a look. Avanti provides satellite-based high speed broadband, and it's a business that's on the rise.

The much bigger Inmarsat (LSE: ISAT) has enjoyed very nice share price growth over the last few months, as its main marine communications market is back to growth, so what are the prospects for Avanti?

Well, revenues have been low and profits have been erratic -- in fact, the firm has recorded a pre-tax loss for the past two years, and a loss of over £9m is expected for the year to June. But there is a very small profit forecast for 2013. Avanti currently only operates one satellite, but there are two more planned, over Africa and the Middle East, which are two strongly emerging markets for telecommunications.

After falling from a high in July, Avanti shares are currently priced at 341p.

Burberry

Troubled fashion retailer Burberry (LSE: BRBY) is due to issue a first-half trading update on Thursday, and investors will be looking for signs that the recent share price crash might have been overdone.

The wheels came off the growth story recently, as fears of a fall in Chinese demand led the firm to issue a profit warning last month, and the share price slumped to today's 1,023p. It wasn't a bad one as warnings come, telling us that pre-tax profit for the 12 months to 31 March 2013 is likely to come in at the lower end of forecasts. But that's all it takes to chase away the enthusiastic followers of a currently fashionable investment.

Burberry has come back from falls before, so will it do it again?

Greggs

High-street baker Greggs (LSE: GRG) will release an interim update on Thursday, and its share price has been pretty erratic this year. After climbing to a high, it slumped a bit through April and May, but has put on a bit of a recovery since, with a nice gain in the last month alone.

Forecasts for Greggs, which has has been growing its dividend nicely in recent years, suggest a yield of 4% for the year to December, rising to 4.3% for 2013. And the current 520p share price puts it on a forward P/E of around 12.5, which does not seem overvalued.

Hays

My fifth choice for next week is Hays (LSE: HAS), the recruitment specialist that is due to give us an interim update on Monday, for the quarter ending 30 September. I always think recruitment firms are worth watching, because they give us some insight into the general state of the economy.

Hays shares have had an erratic, if overall flat, year, and forecasts for the full year to June 2013 are modest. At the current 79p price, the shares are on a forward P/E of over 15, which seems perhaps a bit high, and the expected dividend is a modest 3.4%.

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> Alan does not own any shares mentioned in this article. The Motley Fool has recommended shares in Burberry.

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Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

ChineseGybe 06 Oct 2012 , 7:19pm

Shabby journalism. You Avanti piece is totally out of date. That's why I don't trust any of your articles and have cancelled my premium subscription.

Jimbo171 08 Oct 2012 , 8:12am

I agree with Chinese Gybe. A quick check of recent Avanti RNS's would have shown you that HYLAS 2 (Avanti's second satellite) is both in orbit and has completed acceptance testing. Your ill-researched summary fell short of explaining the present situation.

Greenyards 08 Oct 2012 , 2:39pm

Avanti. Your article is inadequate for investors to make informed decisions.
Depreciation relative to income is huge. Strip out Depreciation / or amortise as a % of actual sales over the life of the satelites and the Avanti is probably already in profit.
What you dont say is AVN has 3 fully financed satelites......2 in the sky and a 3rd to be launched in 2015.
Nor do you say it takes 4 years to get to satelite capacity & so far AVN is ahead of target. ......Or that with only 2 satelites sales expected in 4 years = £160Million and PAT C£ 110M - even with low PE of 10 that gives Market cap of £1.1Billion. DCF valuation is £20 / share.
The critical point is that the biggest jumps in sales and profits will be in year to June 2014 & 2015. and that at some point in this entirely predictable growth path the SP
must almost inevitably treble in price.
A contract with NATO and £500M backlog sales not mentioned either. .....nor is the expectation of a full LSE listing in 2013.
Your article is so lacking in detail, it is almost misleading. Granted :
in the very short term ( 16 months) the SP may fluctuate...
but the rise in profits in 2014 will be spectacular. Anyone wishing to take part has the option of getting in before the crowd on a 2-3 year view - or longer. 300% is likely.

jasonjarvisgbr 10 Oct 2012 , 3:19pm

Excellent researchGreenyards - you had me heading for the BUY button until....I noticed the debt 175m......up by over 40% on the year.

Which you forgot to mention

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