High-Yield Picks For A Pension

Published in Investing on 31 August 2012

How will you fund your two extra years?

This week came news that we're all not only living longer, but also enjoying longer healthier lives, as well. According to the Office for National Statistics, our collective healthy life expectancy increased by over two years in the period 2008-2010 compared with 2005-2007.

Which is good news, of course. In our old age, we'd all like to be active and healthy, rather than a sickly bed-ridden occupant of a nursing home.

And that old age should last far longer than seemed possible even a decade ago. If the latest mortality rates continue, reckon pension experts, a man of 65 retiring today could expect to live to 91, three years longer than the typical current estimate of 88. Females should live even longer.

Income gulf

You don't need me to tell you the downside of all this. As a nation, our savings and pension investments are going to have to support us for longer.

Back in 2008, points out Tom McPhail, head of pensions research at Hargreaves Lansdown (LSE: HL), a 65-year old man seeking an annuity with a five-year guarantee could expect pension savings of £100,000 to generate an annual income of £7,800 or so. Today, that figure is £5,591 -- and continuing to head south.

Annuity rates were cut 14 times in July, he points out, with a further nine cuts in the first three weeks of August. What's more, he adds, with the European Union's Gender Directive taking effect on 21 December, further cuts are expected -- irrespective of what happens to gilt yields.

My own solution to all this is one shared by many astute investors. Yes, I've an occupational pension; and yes, I've a decent slug of money stashed in a SIPP.

But I'm also squirrelling money away in an ISA.

ISA versus SIPP

I'm not, at this point, going to debate the 'ISA versus SIPP' issue. Each has their merits; choose the solution appropriate for your own circumstances.

Briefly:

  • A low-cost stocks and shares ISA offers tax relief on income, and provides ready access to your money should you need it prior to retirement. There's no obligation, either, to buy an annuity.
  • A low-cost SIPP, on the other hand, offers tax relief on contributions, currently at your highest marginal rate -- which is especially attractive if you're a higher-rate taxpayer now, but likely to be a basic rate taxpayer in retirement.

What's more important -- much more important -- is what you put inside those pension wrappers, after first ensuring that the wrappers themselves are as cost-effective as you can make them.

And in my low-cost stocks and shares ISA, I'm building up a clutch of decent dividend-paying blue-chips.

High-yield picks

Among the posters on our popular High Yield Portfolio discussion board, there won't be too many raised eyebrows at the sort of shares I'm buying -- and have been buying, for close to a decade.

In short, I'm looking for shares that meet six tests. I want:

  • Members of the FTSE 100 (UKX) index, rather than small-cap minnows.
  • High-yielding shares -- at least the FTSE 100 average of 3.7%, and hopefully half as much again. But not too high, either, as that might portend a dividend cut.
  • Decent dividend cover, too -- ideally around 1.7 to 2.3, although some shares have good reasons for maintaining dividend cover outside this range.
  • A decent history of raising dividends over time.
  • No nasties lurking in the accounts -- high levels of net debt, pension deficits and so on.
  • A price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio that signals that you're getting all this at a reasonable price.

What sort of shares pass most or all of these tests? Take a look at three that do the business today.

Dividend flow

Royal Dutch Shell (LSE: RDSB) offers a forecast yield of 5.0%, and trades today on a P/E of 8.0 -- well below the FTSE's average of 11. Operating over 30 refineries and chemical plants, and 43,000 retail filling stations in 80 countries around the world, Shell to me looks a safe bet to keep on pumping out dividends during my retirement.

GlaxoSmithKline (LSE: GSK) trades today on a P/E of 11.5, and offers investors a forecast yield of 5.4%. Employing around 99,000 people and manufacturing almost four billion packs of medicines and healthcare products every year, it's also a consumer business with a robust collection of strong brands: Ribena, Horlicks, Lucozade, Aquafresh, Sensodyne, Panadol, Tums, Zovirax -- and, of course, the Macleans range of toothpaste, mouthwash and toothbrushes. Like Shell, Glaxo looks a safe long-term bet.

SSE (LSE: SSE) is one of just five FTSE 100 companies to have delivered a real dividend increase every year since 1999. A UK-based energy supplier, it delivers power to around 3.7 million homes, offices and businesses, and is also the UK's second largest electricity generation business. Throw in the UK's largest onshore gas storage facility, and a 50% share of Scotia Gas Networks, which has around 75,000km of pipelines delivering gas to around 5.7 million homes and businesses, and you've got a sizeable business. Trading on a P/E of 11.3, SSE is on a forecast dividend yield of 6.5%.

Perfect picks

As it happens, über income-investor Neil Woodford -- who looks after two of the country's largest investment funds, and runs more money for private investors than any other City manager -- counts one of these three shares among his very largest holdings.

Which one? Its name is revealed in a special free report from The Motley Fool --‑ “8 Income Shares Held By Britain's Super Investor” -- which profiles no fewer than eight of his largest holdings, and explains the investing logic behind each one. The report is free, so why not download a copy?

Want to learn more about shares, but not sure where to start? Download our latest guide -- "What Every New Investor Needs To Know" -- it's free. The Motley Fool is helping Britain invest. Better.

More investing ideas from Malcolm Wheatley:

> Malcolm owns shares in GlaxoSmithKline and SSE, but does not have an interest in any other shares listed. The Motley Fool owns shares in Hargreaves Lansdown.

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Comments

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giveusaquid 31 Aug 2012 , 12:50pm

£5591 guaranteed for five years. Wow. So you give them 100k and they'll struggle to give you 30k of it back over 5 years. Okay not so simple as that I know but you can get that kind of return in dividends from a portfolio of blue chips without really denting the capital. I'm going to start up an annuity company...

giveusaquid 31 Aug 2012 , 1:12pm

As you mention further on in the article if I bothered to read on instead of saddling up the high horse and galloping off to the comments section :)

goodlifer 31 Aug 2012 , 9:06pm


Can you explain in Janet and John language what's the difference - if any - between a good pick for a pension and a common-or-garden good pick.

It seems to me that a share that fails your six tests is no good to man or beast anyway.

MDW1954 31 Aug 2012 , 9:17pm

Hello goodlifer,

That's easy. An investor looking for growth could probably happily disregard five of the six.

Malcolm (author)

harryhoudini 01 Sep 2012 , 12:52pm

Hi Malcolm, I'm a bit puzzled by your claim that [i} "A low-cost stocks and shares ISA offers tax relief on income"[/i] I thought that there was no way to reclaim your tax credit on dividends any more. How does this relief work?

regards

harryhoudini

goodlifer 01 Sep 2012 , 1:46pm

An investor looking for growth'

An oxymoron?
Some people might be tempted to call such people speculators.

ANuvver 01 Sep 2012 , 4:52pm

harryhoudini:

The basic rate 10% is snatched away before you even see it, even in an ISA, and not even the most illustrious escapologist can get out of that.

Any liability above that falls under the general "what goes on in an ISA stays in an ISA" principle. You don't even need to tell HMRC what goes on in your little walled garden. For now, at least. The rules have changed before.

Tax relief (I prefer to regard it as tax invisibility or the MYOB factor) on distributions in SS ISAs is only really of benefit to higher-rate taxpayers. I think the shelter from CGT gains is far more valuable for most, at least medium-term.

There's a piece currently running on here about how someone turned 4k into 16k (or something like that) in a year. I hope he did it in an ISA.

Of course, even if you're lucky enough to have more than @11k a year to invest, you should always fill up your ISA first. Things do build up and compound.

The standard shabby-suit advice is to pump ISAs full of fixed-income stuff - since income and dividends are taxed differently, this means you don't have to add the returns from your ISA-wrapped bond investments to your salary for the purposes of calculating income tax.

I don't agree with the Kent massive on this one, but it all depends on your personal circumstances.

There are certain other investments that have tax benefits within an ISA (ie you get to keep the 10%). A couple that are eligible and pay gross are HSD and GLIF. [Disclosure: I hold both in my ISA] But we must always be careful not to let the tax tail wag the investment dog...


goodlifer:

I've always thought of capital appreciation and dividends as two sides of the same coin. If a company can't grow earnings, it can't continue or (as we both love to see) increase its payouts.

I suspect I'm on the same wavelength as you generally, but I reckon an income investor is really just a value investor who likes some of his jam in front of him on a regular basis. We like to see a bit of proof out of the promise, and we love the freedom to allocate capital as we go along.

The income mantra discourages timing the market, and I generally agree. But aren't we all basically looking for bargains as they crop up? Which is timing. Regulating your cash holdings, so you can take advantage when things go sproing, makes sense. You don't have to be a six-shirt-a-day flyboy.

goodlifer 01 Sep 2012 , 9:12pm

"But aren't we all basically looking for bargains as they crop up? Which is timing."

Is it?

Making the best of the situation you find yourself in seems to me to be fundamentally different from trying to forecast what the situation is going to be tomorrow.
Anyone who does that is likely to turn himself into a speculator, if he isn't one already

"Regulating your cash holdings, so you can take advantage when things go sproing, makes sense."

Maybe for you, but not for me.
It stands to reason that anybody who can forecast the market reasonably accurately, reasonably consistently is going to be very very rich very very quick.
My impression is you can count such people on the fingers of a pretty mutilated hand.
Maynard Keynes seems to have been such a one.

Obviously we all like growth, if we get it, but I'm coming round to think that anyone who doesn't buy for value is a speculator at heart.

What's wrong with being a speculator?
Nothing, provided you face the brutal truth that you are almost - though not quite absolutely - certain to lose money at it in the end.
Not my cup of tea.

And I think anyone who could happily disregard five of your six tests is more than likely to be what I would call a speculator.

ANuvver 02 Sep 2012 , 7:01pm

Fair thinking. I don't dispute most of it.

I don't have a crystal ball, but I do think we're heading for more uncertainty in September, so I've been trimming the topiary to stand ready. It's more about risk management than futurology for me. And right now I think equity markets are somewhat blase.

It seems to me to be very difficult to find value in the mainstream arena at the moment, which is exactly the sort of time when I like to hold cash.

When the press noise is all about seeking opportunity in questionable cyclicals, you have to ask yourself: are we all a bit overcooked here?

I'm out of good ideas, so I prefer to watch and wait rather than justifying a half-good idea into a good one for the purposes of "staying fully in". Even my preferred park of high-grade corporates is iffy aro a potentially troubling lack of liquidity.

In terms of balancing a portfolio, consideration of one's cash position doesn't amount to speculation in my book. Cash is, after all, an asset class in itself.

I split my holdings into: Income, Growth, Fixed Income, Commodities & Miners, Property, ISA Holdings (a separate universe for tax purposes) and Cash. Overlaps abide, of course.

goodlifer 02 Sep 2012 , 11:47pm

" Cash is, after all, an asset class in itself."

One needs to enough cash to meet one's day-to-day living costs and inevitable emergencies reasonably comfortably, but that's hardly an investment.

Buy what's the point of Fixed Income?
What with QE, zeroish growth, massive government debt and oil and commodities not exactly plummeting, they look to me like Risk without Reward.
Except perhaps in the very short term.

Not much fun.

goodlifer 02 Sep 2012 , 11:56pm

"It seems to me to be very difficult to find value in the mainstream arena at the moment."

To misquote poor old Mark Twain once again,
"If this isn't a buyers'market it'll do until a buyers' market comes along."

goodlifer 03 Sep 2012 , 12:02am

"I do think we're heading for more uncertainty in September.."

Yet another glimpse of the obvious?

When did we ever have certainty?
If you don't count hindsight.

ANuvver 03 Sep 2012 , 1:10am

Easy there. I'm mainly agreeing with you.

My Fixed Income tranche is fund-based, targetted at corporates, emerging markets and US junk, and performing just as well as my much larger Income Equity tranche.

I'm feeling cautious at the moment, so the Cash position is at a very rare high of 20%. I just feel there's more upside risk than downside at the moment, and I'm an awful cheapskate. That's all.

In general I'm LTBH and a reinvestor, as I suspect are you. But I see nothing wrong with a) a profitable sale from time to time and b) occasionally marking time and letting the ammo build up when I don't fancy what's on offer.

A large part of being a value investor is patience. I'm no fan of "dead money", but I hate overpaying for assets more.

ANuvver 03 Sep 2012 , 1:12am

Oh, and since you've criticised my Delphic tendencies before, let's forget uncertainty - I think equities will fall significantly during September/October.

johandesilva 03 Sep 2012 , 11:12am

Divi payouts are so low, why not just stick it on Vodafone and RSA! Seems to work for me.

goodlifer 03 Sep 2012 , 12:48pm

"I think equities will fall significantly during September/October."

That looks to me more like certainty.

goodlifer 03 Sep 2012 , 12:53pm

"Significantly."

Favourite word of politicians and me.
Can mean anything or nothing.
Completely unfalsifiable.

ANuvver 03 Sep 2012 , 7:24pm

Haha. I wasn't trying to be deliberately slippery, although I am an ex-financial journalist myself and I suppose such usages die hard!

By "significantly" I really meant "enough to make waiting now worthwhile". A few pence either way wouldn't matter too much to me.

Your use of the word "certainty" implies a very strong conviction. Surely then, the sidelines would look very attractive right now?

Oh, and cash may not be much of an investment, but it is still an asset class. It may only yield a negative real return, but it is the ultimate in liquidity and its chief quality is linked to opportunity. I often read Fools lamenting that they have spotted a great buy and wish they had more on hand.

And I too recommend everyone to have a rainy-day fund - mine's a bit extreme, a whole year's worth of careful living or an awful lot of roof repairs, cat surgery, etc. It's kept separately and I treat it as though it doesn't exist, but it still contributes a nominal 1.7% to the cause. Once I'm through the next stage of reorganisation, I'll get round to playing the one-year bonus rate grasshopper game for more inflation protection.

More broadly speaking, I think we can all fall foul of conveniently compartmentalising ourselves as one type of investor. I'm very much a nuts'n'bolts income/value type - even my growth holdings have to earn their keep. But while I proceed from the bottom-up approach, that doesn't mean I don't draw in some general considerations from top-down reasoning. After all, it's usually top-down preoccupations that produce value opportunities in the first place. I'm not content with finding something that's cheap - I like to go further and try to consider why.

It's a matter of almost psychoanalysing the gestalt personality of the market. You may not agree with what the market is doing, but I find it useful to consider why it might be doing it.

All you can hope to achieve is a set of scenarios, all of which are potentially valid/invallid, battling it out in a constant state of flux. I find that fascinating. In terms of investment decisions, I like to have at least some awareness of this miasma of beliefs.

But the world must be peopled, so I'll usually shave with my Occam 2012 and go ahead on the basis of my bottom-up thinking.

Sorry, got a bit carried away there.

goodlifer 03 Sep 2012 , 10:06pm

"Sorry, got a bit carried away there."

Don't worry about a thing - little grains of wheat among the chaff.

And it's what blogging's all about - we need a bit of DIY psychotherapy every now and then or we'd all go bonkers.

What does Uncle Ogden say?

"Home life is heaven and orgies are vile,
But you need an orgy once in a while"

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