Beginners' Portfolio: Time For A Round-up

Published in Investing on 8 August 2012

Twelve weeks in, how is our portfolio looking?

This article is the latest in a series that aims to help novice investors with the stock market. To read past articles in the series, please visit our full archive.

It's been twelve weeks since our Beginners' Portfolio made its first investment, and I've deliberately not looked at how that and all the other  purchases have performed. Over the short term, share-price movements aren't really very important.

But that said, now that we're six shares in (I anticipate the portfolio eventually holding around ten shares), I think this is probably a reasonable time to have a quick look back and see where our companies have been going.

So let's start with a look at our holdings:

CompanyBuy priceCurrent bid price% Change
Vodafone (LSE: VOD)168.5p189.4p+12.4%
Tesco (LSE: TSCO)305.5p323.6p+5.9%
GlaxoSmithKline (LSE: GSK)1,440.5p1502p+4.2%
Persimmon (LSE: PSN)617.9p639p+3.4%
Blinkx (LSE: BLNX)36.9p40.7p+10.4%
BP (LSE: BP)434.5p450p+3.6%

While those price rises are nice, they don't really mean much just yet, and all it might take for a quick reversal would be, say, another eurozone panic -- and I certainly wouldn't rule out one of those. But what's happened to our companies since we bought them?

Vodafone

We bought Vodafone shares on May 18th, and then we received an interim update on July 20th, which didn't really please many investors.

The update showed falling revenues from most of the firm's tough European markets. But to contrast that, we saw strong growth in emerging markets, notably Turkey and India. And that's one of the nice things about buying companies that operate internationally -- we enjoy a buffer from any local economic shocks.

We also saw the completion of Vodafone's takeover of Cable & Wireless Worldwide, as expected. Overall, things are still looking fine.

Tesco

Since we bought Tesco on May 23rd, we've had a first-quarter update in June that essentially said 'steady as she goes'. Group sales were up 2%, though like-for-like sales in the UK fell by 1.5%. Market share in eleven of the supermarket's twelve international markets improved, and cash flow and profits looked fine.

In the UK, Tesco is still in its turnaround drive, and it's too early to say how well that will go. But my reasons for buying the shares remain unchanged, and I'm happy with the way things are looking, as supermarket shares in general are enjoying a good spell.

GlaxoSmithKline

We added GlaxoSmithKline to the portfolio on June 12th, and since then there has been a bit of drama involving a settlement with the US government over a product mis-selling scandal. That cost the pharmaceuticals giant a cool $3 billion! But it was already expected, and didn't harm the share price.

A second-quarter update on July 25th showed a small, but expected, fall in both revenues and profits, as the industry is suffering from a European spending squeeze and competition from generic rivals.

Nonetheless, the takeover of Human Genome Sciences for $14.25 per share, the finalisation of which was announced on August 3rd, demonstrates Glaxo's response to the changing business environment -- its acquisition plan aimed at expanding further into new biotechnologies to offset the toughening 'blockbuster' market is progressing well.

Blinkx

We bought video technology expert Blinkx on July 18th, at a time when I thought the shares were unfairly depressed, and though that was only a few weeks ago, we have already heard news of progress.

On August 1st, the firm announced a partnership with Kiplinger and gain the opportunity to produce targeted advertising based on the US publisher's content.

Where next?

That's about it for our recap. There has been no notable news from Persimmon since we bought those shares on July 4th, and our BP purchase was only last week.

Back to ignoring share prices now, as we get back to the search for the portfolio's next addition. I have some ideas, and I'm sure you have a few, too -- please feel free to offer your suggestions in the Comments section below.

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Are you looking to profit from this uncertain economy? "10 Steps To Making A Million In The Market" is the very latest Motley Fool guide to help Britain invest. Better. We urge you to read the report today -- it's free.

More for beginners:

> Alan does not own any shares mentioned in this article.

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Comments

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ANuvver 08 Aug 2012 , 1:54pm

Seems like a reasonable clutch so far. You're noticeably missing an international consumer products operator, but then I'd say the likes of ULVR and RB aren't really bargains right now.

Since you've already moved outside the 100, how about adding another diversification factor.

I appreciate that most of the portfolio is international in scope already, but how about looking at options that will deliver income in dollars? A brief discussion of broker spreads on the buy and exchange rate fluctuations affecting price would be instructive, as would the benefits of flexibility once your trading cash starts to include other currencies.

onlyben 08 Aug 2012 , 2:37pm

This is almost like looking at my own portfolio! 100% reassuring and the level of detail and explanation is perfect. Thank you very much!

SmilingKiller 08 Aug 2012 , 7:13pm

"This is almost like looking at my own portfolio! 100% reassuring and the level of detail and explanation is perfect.."

100 percent onlyben? Wouldn't it be even more reassuring if the shares had actually been purchased?

It's almost like looking at (part of) my portfolio too. Well apart from the small detail that I bought real shares with real money.

Maybe my investing style isn't like this author's Perhaps it's more like those of Malcolm Wheatley, Tony Reading, G A Chester, Harvey Jones, Tony Luckett and others, whose articles, also published today, mention that they have actually bought some REAL shares in some of the companies which they have written about (but obviously not recommended).

onlyben 09 Aug 2012 , 11:58am

SmilingKiller,

It does not bother me in the slightest that these shares haven't been bought. I'm interested in what Mr Oscroft has to say about the shares, the companies, the attitude towards investment and how to perceive recent news. He's been investing for a lot longer than I have and I try to take some useful advice away from this example portfolio.

This 'paper' portfolio is being followed by someone who actually invests. It's not being done by a beginner. The person is aware of the risks and emotions in buying real shares with real money. With that in mind, I don't think the buying of these shares in reality would give the portfolio much added merit.

TheHowler 09 Aug 2012 , 2:03pm

A big problem with a paper portfolio is that it doesn't necessarily factor in costs such as trading commission and stamp duty.

Therefore those entry prices are artificially low and exaggerate the gains in all those shares. Perhaps such costs should be modelled into the portfolio, to get a realistic net entry price?

Comparison with a tracker is also useful to see if this active approach is superior (and worth the time and effort) to sitting back and putting it into HSBC's All Share.

onlyben 09 Aug 2012 , 2:36pm

I don't know if I'm missing something here, but if you look back at the articles in this series, haven't stamp duty and commissions been factored in? The link below is what I'm referring to.

http://www.fool.co.uk/news/investing/2012/08/02/beginners-portfolio-time-to-buy-oil.aspx

TMFBoing 09 Aug 2012 , 4:05pm

A big problem with a paper portfolio is that it doesn't necessarily factor in costs such as trading commission and stamp duty

I haven't included those in the simple percentage changes, no -- but I really don't think actual gains or falls are important just yet, so this was really just a quick look at the share prices.

Once the portfolio is full and in a more mature position, what I'll probably do is report on the actual cash value of each position, reflecting what it would raise if sold, and comparing it with the actual cash cost of each position.

Foolish best,
Alan
TMFBoing

TheHowler 09 Aug 2012 , 5:27pm

TMFBoing

Fair enough, thanks for the response. I just know from experience that net cash returns often look very different to gross or "investment" performance.

Relevant in this case as a beginner would likely (?) buy small chunks to begin with and therefore these costs do make a difference.

apprenticeDRL 09 Aug 2012 , 6:10pm

Actually for my twopenneth worth I think the series is a good ideal, and the shares selected so far are fairly good choices with probably one exception. If only Ben is replicating the choices with real money I dont think he will go far wrong.

My only concern would be that the initial purchase stakes are a bit low and skew the percentage of the deal that represent dealer charge and stamp duty. But thats just my thought, and most charges should be covered by the first dividend payment.

goodlifer 10 Aug 2012 , 3:23pm

I've just had a quick trawl through your archive.
Perhaps I've missed something, but there doesn't seem to be anything yet said about company accounts.

Accounts are one of my numerous blind spots, and I doubt if I'm the only one who'd appreciate a little help.

TMFBoing 13 Aug 2012 , 2:45pm

I just know from experience that net cash returns often look very different to gross or "investment" performance.

Relevant in this case as a beginner would likely (?) buy small chunks to begin with and therefore these costs do make a difference.


Very much so, yes - I'll certainly be accounting for that when the portfolio gets full and I start looking more closely at progress.

Foolish best,
Alan
TMFBoing

TMFBoing 13 Aug 2012 , 2:50pm

I've just had a quick trawl through your archive.
Perhaps I've missed something, but there doesn't seem to be anything yet said about company accounts.

Accounts are one of my numerous blind spots, and I doubt if I'm the only one who'd appreciate a little help.


Haven't really looked at company accounts, no. A proper look could easily fill a full training course (In fact, I've done one, and it made my head hurt!)

But what I can do, I think, is when we get results from the portfolio companies, I can pick out what seem to be the most important points in their accounts - and we can discuss any specifics here in the comments.

Foolish best,
Alan

goodlifer 13 Aug 2012 , 7:24pm

Foolish thanks.

Gengulphus 18 Aug 2012 , 9:03am

This round-up fails to mention a nice little milestone for the portfolio... It bought 289 Vodafone shares on May 18th. The company's final results came out a few days later, on May 22nd, and declared a dividend of 6.47p - and that dividend was paid on August 1st. So the portfolio has received its first dividend, of 289 * 6.47p = £18.70.

Not a large amount, of course - only 0.6% of the amount invested in the portfolio at the time. But it's a start - and it means that Vodafone at least has repaid the £12.44 dealing costs incurred on buying it and a bit more!

Gengulphus

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