Robert Wiseman Takeover Agreed

Published in Investing on 16 January 2012

The UK’s biggest fresh milk producer is to be sold to Müller.

When you invest in a company that looks undervalued, clearly what you want is for the value to be outed in some way -- usually by a share price re-rating.

But there's another way in which it can happen, and it can be a bit of a double-edged sword. Companies whose valuations are unfairly marked down are often targets for takeover bids and, while that can bring a profitable short-term reward, a buyer is only going to pay what they think is still a bargain price. So if you were in for the long term, looking not only for a short-term re-rating but also a lengthy future stream of rewards, it's hard luck -- the new buyer has bought all of that and you have no real choice.

Something like that has just happened to Robert Wiseman Dairies (LSE: RWD). Shares in Robert Wiseman, which produces about 30% of all the fresh milk consumed in the UK and supplies Tesco (LSE: TSCO), J Sainsbury (LSE: SBRY) and the Co-op, have been looking cheap for some time now, with a dividend yield of more than 7% being forecast for the year ending March 2012.

Agreed price

Well, that was last week, before the share price took off and the company revealed it was in talks with the German dairy giant Müller, concerning a possible acquisition. And on Monday, the details of an agreed takeover were revealed, with Müller offering 390p per share -- a 55% premium over the 250p level the price was hovering around last week.

Robert Wiseman has long been a family firm, and the family (including chairman Robert Wiseman himself and his brother Alan), who together own 35% of the company, appear pleased with a deal that will net them a combined £98m.

Should the rest of the company's shareholders be happy? Well, it does seem like a decent price, and a nice little earner if you bought in over the last few months when the shares were falling. But those who were hoping for years, or even decades, of dividends might be a little disappointed -- the takeover price still represents a 4.6% yield based on current forecasts.

Do you own Robert Wiseman shares? What do you think of the deal? Do let us know, below.

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> The Motley Fool owns shares in Tesco and Robert Wiseman.

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Comments

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Tuoyo 16 Jan 2012 , 4:19pm

I bought into the shares in May 2011 at 310p watched the price move all the way down to mid 250s and was thinking of cutting my losses when the takeover news came out on Friday... I quickly sold out at 330p feeling pleased with myself only to check the price this morning...Totally sick as a parrot...would have made an additional 18% had I waited..cest la vie as they say..

farmerboyo 16 Jan 2012 , 4:54pm

I bought in at 326 and sold this morning for 389. However, I feel the offer could have been a tad more, like Alan said they still yield 4.7% at the offer price. This in my opinion is a pretty respectable yield considering their past dividend history and the fact the FTSE 250 is yielding at 3.6%

However, I am in no postion to complain as I have made 'some' money. I would be less pleased if I had bought some shares before their drop from around 500p back in 2010.

Fittster 16 Jan 2012 , 5:07pm

I bought in at 314 in Feb and have seen the shares decline in value ever since. Pretty happy today. I'm taking the bird in the hand is worth 2 in the bush view.

Plenty of shares have promised long term strong div only to hit the rocks.

Olitom 16 Jan 2012 , 6:01pm

I bought in after this recommendation a little over six weeks ago - and sold this morning for a better than 50% total gain!

http://www.fool.co.uk/news/investing/2011/11/25/6-baked-bean-and-shotgun-shares.aspx

Now I expect 10% a week or so please... :-)

Any bidders for Sainsbury's out there in Qatar?

SteveKzz 16 Jan 2012 , 6:22pm

Having bought last November at just under 250, being offered 390 (+ the imminent dividend) is a bit unexpected, but quite nice.

This is the first time I've faced a takeover offer. How does this work? Is the Muller offer for any/all existing shares (even my small amount)? How does a small shareholder accept the 390p offer?

I'm presuming that selling on the market at the market price (currently 387.5) is different to selling to Muller, but maybe I'm over-complicating things?

theRealGrinch 16 Jan 2012 , 6:24pm

on watch list for 6-months, but I didnt purchase as I had other companies ahead of it (it was #42 out of 350) I just felt with such a narrow customer base it was vulnerable that and the share slide. well done to those that sold at a profit.

bouleversee 16 Jan 2012 , 9:12pm

Can we hope for a similar deal for Dairy Crest now?

jaizan 16 Jan 2012 , 10:55pm

Who is left to buy Dairy Crest?

Robert Wiseman never got off my watchlist, so that one got away.

JustWannaBuy 17 Jan 2012 , 8:29am

I'm in the same position as SteveKzz. What happens now? Do we sit on our shares until the div is paid and then sell? Or sell now and still get the div? How would Muller offer to buy our shares or would they offer Muller shares?

Any advice would be appreciated.

MrTaurus 17 Jan 2012 , 3:40pm

Wiseman are currently ex-div so if you sell now you will still get the dividend. Sell in the market now and you will get cash, but don't forget to bear in mind broker fees. Don't know the details on this one, but be sure to read the documentation you are sent (and if your shares are held through an intermediary make sure you get the info from them) to see whether the offer is all cash or in Müller shares. If you can get the cash you will get the whole 390p without any deduction of fees.

andrew97d 17 Jan 2012 , 5:58pm

I wish I had sold out in 2010 when they were £5, but £3.90 is more than the £3.15 that I paid but I would have rather have kept them for 10 years and enjoyed the dividends.
Meanwhile, the previous day, my tesco shares bought for £3.80 dropped by 65p per share. Will someone be bidding for Tesco ?.

jaizan 17 Jan 2012 , 8:09pm

If Muller offer a few percent premium to the market, hang on unless:
1 You think the takeover could collapse (unlikely here?)
or
2 You need the capital for another very juicy investment.

Possak 17 Jan 2012 , 11:02pm

I bought in November at 281 (and yes, I followed it for a while after first reading about it here). In fact, I'm a little annoyed with myself because I was planning to average down if nothing happened in the next couple of months... but obviously not too annoyed. I usually sell too soon when good news arrives (although in the case of BSkyB that was a good thing (and I claim that I was suspicious that they were taking so long)), so I decided on Friday to wait this one out, but I was amazed at how quickly the offer was made final. I suppose that's what happens when a smal family firm gets a decent offer... and (in the current market, at least) a yield between 4% and 5% is probably decent.

Oh, and for those asking, the press release seems to indicate that it's an all cash offer.

JustWannaBuy 18 Jan 2012 , 10:48am

Just had an email through from my broker telling me that the boards have announced agreement and the payment is £3.90 per share.

Done deal then...

Stilton12 18 Jan 2012 , 2:41pm

Very Green trading novice here. Bought at bottom of the cliff at 334p in Sep'10, watched as my 'knife' continued to slip. Still felt RW is quality share; margin pressure caused by the retailer's price wars prompted RW to continued to tighten belts and trim costs. Lean as you like now. As for the offer; reading the announcements it seems to me that it's not quite a done deal:
Muller says it either owns, has received irrevocable undertakings or has a letter of intent over some 62.6% of Wiseman, however two of the 'irrecoverable undertakings' shareholders (Aviva Global and Majedie AM together holding 4.5%) have a let out clause if a third party offers 10% more than the 390p. Also the letter of intent shareholder (First Milk Ltd holds 10.1% and reserves the right to continue trading and accept any higher offer. So together they make 14.6% of the 62.6% to which Muller refers as committed. Assuming a 3rd party offers 1st Milk a little over 390, I presume they would be happy to sell. Then making an offer of 390p+39.1p ie 429.1p (10% above the offer price) would see Global and Maj absolved of their irrecoverable undertaking. Muller would then only hold or control something just short of the 50%. Share price rises to around the third party offer of 429.1p, and the rest of us sell at that price. Remember I'm only a tyro so be gentle.

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