Are You Saving? You'd Be Better Off Investing

Published in Investing on 19 August 2010

We're saving more. But are we getting a decent return?

According to the latest NS&I Savings Survey, Britons are saving more of their monthly income than at any other time over the past two years.

Despite the challenging economic environment, the proportion of income that people are setting aside has returned to levels not seen since before the start of the economic downturn.

And while such survey data can sometimes be suspect, I'm inclined to believe it for two very compelling reasons.

  • First, the proportion in question -- 6.9% -- precisely matches the Bank of England's own reported savings ratio figure.

  • Second, the survey has a decent sample size -- over 3,000 respondents -- and has been running every quarter since winter 2004, over which time it's proved a reliable tracker of savings trends.

In short, then, a 'silly season' statistic this isn't.

Income down, savings up

And the fact that people are saving more is genuine good news. A return to the debt-fuelled excesses of the run-up to the credit crunch is good for neither consumers, nor the economy as a whole.

Overall, the number of people who say they regularly save each month has increased to 50% of the population, marking the first time for more than two years (since the winter of 2007/08) that half of the population say they are committed to a savings habit.

On average, in short, Britons are now saving £85.21 each month, up from £81.94 last quarter -- despite their take‑home income continuing to decline, falling to £1,235.00 from £1,310.10 last quarter, suggesting that savings have become more of a priority.

Poor returns

But are they getting a good deal? The evidence very strongly suggests that they aren't.

As I wrote last December, the Office for National Statistics' ground-breaking report 'Wealth in Great Britain' has for the first time shone a spotlight in some detail on where -- and how -- savers actually save.

Ordinary savings accounts are the most popular savings medium, held by an estimated 62% of households. ISAs are also popular: 36% of households, it turns out, have a cash ISA.

Nor are the amounts involved trivial. Although 50% of households with savings accounts had £3,500 or less in their account (and 25% had £500 or less) the average amount held in households' savings accounts was £18,300 -- a fairly hefty sum. The average cash ISA balance, too, was a very creditable £6,000.

Yet interest rates are at an all-time low. What's more, as I wrote a month ago, NS&I itself has pulled the plug on one of its best products, its inflation‑linked savings certificates.

People might be saving more, but their savings are very likely to be earning them a derisory return.

Is there a better way?

Well, yes. And long-term readers of the Motley Fool won't be surprised to learn what it is. Put some cash aside in a savings account, to be sure -- because emergencies do happen -- but for long-term wealth accumulation, take advantage of the wealth-building power of the stock market.

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Which makes especial good sense when -- as now -- interest rates are low, even as stock market valuations are also depressed.

Look at the figures. Let's be charitable, and assume an average interest rate of 3% over the next ten years. Let's also be realistic, and not use the 9% long-term real return on the FTSE All-Share as a benchmark, but the lower rate of 7% suggested by the latest Barclays Equity/Gilt study.

The saver doggedly parking NS&I's average of £85.21 a month in a savings ISA will accumulate £11,937 over those ten years. But the saver making use of a FTSE All-Share index-tracking ISA will accumulate £14,834, some £2,897 more. That's more like it.

Of course, we are in exceptional times. Barclays have termed the period 1998-2008 "the lost decade" because cash -- almost uniquely -- outperformed the stock market. So it's happened before, and it might happen again.

Yet in a study going back as far as 1899, the same Barclays study has repeatedly confirmed that shares not only outperform cash, but also outperform corporate bonds and government gilts -- many, many times over. So, in short, I know where I'd sooner put £85.21 each month.

The select few

Yet I'm an exception -- and you probably are, too. For that same Office for National Statistics' 'Wealth in Great Britain' report shows that just 15% of households in Britain own UK shares directly, outside an ISA wrapper. And an even smaller proportion -- 10% -- have a stocks and shares ISA.

So will Mr and Mrs Average join us? We'll have to wait and see. One promising sign: traffic to the Fool's investing articles is very healthily up on a year ago.

Is the message getting across? What do you think? Comments in the box below, please!

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Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

alsuttie 20 Aug 2010 , 2:26pm

Hi
How do you invest a monthly sum in the stockmarket?
The figures quoted in the article are similar to my own. I want to invest £100 per month to raise approximately £20000 in 10-11 years time. This is to compensate for the shortfall in my endowment and pay off the remainder of my mortgage.
Any suggestions?
Al.

Luniversal 20 Aug 2010 , 2:39pm

National Counties Building Society is plugging the gap left by NS&I's withdrawal of index-linked savings certs. The max. £50K FSCS compo limit applies:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/personalfinance/savings/7948100/Index-linked-savings-make-a-comeback.html

You're locked in for five years, but given (pace Bruce Jackson's tubthumping) that a double-dip recession and a serious setback in stock markets is a high probability, that's no bad thing for part of your capital.

BobeyeD 20 Aug 2010 , 2:53pm

alsuttie - one easy & reasonably cost effective way to invest £100 pm in the stockmarket is to use an online share service. I use Halifax's sharebuilder to put £100 each month in a FTSE listed Shares index tracker. Settlement is by DD. There's lots of other services though - no doubt including the Fools own.

Hope this helps

Dozey1 20 Aug 2010 , 3:28pm

alsuttie - I am allergic to funds because they syphon of charges which are not always transparent, and I am a skinflint.
However, in your position I would look into monthly investments into a large investment trust (or two). In that way you are not wholly biased towards the UK as you might be with a domestic index tracker (though in truth the FTSE100 includes many companies whose earnings are largely overseas), and performance should be better.

When I last looked which was a long time ago, you could invest monthly in ITs for very low charges, and their record over the years is pretty good. Just do a little research and see what you come up with.
Good luck.

alsuttie 20 Aug 2010 , 3:53pm

Thanks guys, I'll have a look at your suggestions

rober00 20 Aug 2010 , 5:27pm

alsuttie - echoing the comment above some large general investment trusts will not charge you at all for investment in their regular saving schemes, you will only have to pay stamp duty.

In this day and age that is exceptional value. The itsonline.co.uk site has details of all IT regular saving schemes for your perusal.

Capnwtd 22 Aug 2010 , 6:57pm

Our sports club was left a legacy of £50000, how/where can we invest that for a reasonable return but don't mind tying up the capital for 3-5 years

moday1 03 Sep 2010 , 7:28pm

Since being widowed seven years ago, I decided to look after my own investments & opened a stocks & shares ISA with Halifax online. I have contributed each year & really enjoy doing the research with all the help that is available online.
I have concentrated on dividends & ploughed them back into my winners, it certainly beats savings accounts if you want to make an extra pension for yourself!

Drunsfleet 10 Sep 2010 , 12:46am

Belated contribution as back from vacation - surely we should be beyond average figures - we need median figures?

The rich continue to get richer come boom come bust, the poor ever poorer so average savings like salaries become ever more distorted, ever more meaningless.

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