5 Shares You Should Have Bought In January

Published in Investing on 1 February 2010

The FTSE fell 4% last month, but these 5 shares bucked the trend.

What a shocker! During the month of January, the FTSE 100 fell 4.1%. During this wonderful bull market, stretching back to March last year, the leading index has been virtually on a one-way trajectory -- up!

January's reverse has unnerved investors. It has reminded them of the risks involved in investing in the stock market, and in investing in economically sensitive companies.

Still, the FTSE 100 stands a fair way above 5,000, up 50% from its March 2009 lows, a truly stunning performance.

As to what's next for this market, who knows? Will it put its January woes behind it and resume its upward momentum, or will it slump back below 5,000 and hurt the feelings of the shortest month of the year?

Of course, not every share fell. Here we look at some of the January's stock market stars. As usual with these monthly reviews, we're not necessarily interested in the biggest percentage gainers -- we're trying to find companies that still look decent value and could build on January's gains in the months and years to come. 

The shares you should have bought

CompanyShare PriceOne Month Gain
Games Workshop (LSE: GAW)380p43%
ProStrakan Group (LSE: PSK)111p28%
Desire Petroleum (LSE: DES)115p24%
Oxford Instruments (LSE: OXIG)250p26%
Enterprise Inns (LSE: ETI)119p27%

Why such juicy gains?

So why did the companies listed above move so much in just a one-month period?

Games Workshop's 43% jump in January is quite simply due to it saying pre-tax profits in respect of the year to May 2010 were likely to be materially ahead of market expectations.

For investors in this designer, manufacturer and retailer of miniature figurines and games, this was gunshot-music to their ears. The company is on the road to recovery after going through some lean years, culminating in a share price low of 119p in 2008.

Forward estimates have Games Workshop trading on a P/E of 11 and a (resumed) dividend yield of 2.6%. Cheap enough if they can maintain this strong momentum.

Punt To Profit

ProStrakan Group is one of those small biotech companies that feels like it has been around for years, taking investors on a roller-coaster ride as they attempt to move from a speculative punt-type company to a profitable and growing concern.

The company is expecting 2010 to be its breakthrough year, predicting it will be its first year of operating profitability. It also expects two US product approvals by the middle of 2010, something always guaranteed to get hearts racing amongst hardcore biotech investors.

ProStrakan is growing strongly and has some decent momentum behind it. As ever, the key to a really successful investment is determining how profitable its products will be. You pays your money and takes your chances, if you're brave.

Desiring A Gusher

The Desire Petroleum share price chart over the past 5 years looks more like something from the science lab than from the investing world. The shares traded at 20p in 2007, 105p in 2008, 25p in 2009 and now are back up at 115p. That alone tells you something about the speculative nature of this Falkland Islands oil prospector

In January, Desire announced its open offer to raise £20m had been substantially over-subscribed. It seems there are no shortage of punters willing to climb about this baby. 

The excitement is about to reach fever-pitch, as the Ocean Guardian drilling rig is expected to arrive in the Falklands ready to commence drilling in early February 2010. The same rig will be also be used to drill a well on the licence held by Falkland Oil & Gas (LSE: FOGL) and BHP Billiton (LSE: BLT). Good luck to them, and to all who've hitched their fortunes to the Falklands drill bit.

Sex Sells

Oxford Instruments researches, develops, manufactures and sells high technology instruments, its three segments being Nanotechnology Tools, Industrial Products and Service. It's making a reappearance on this list, having last been featured in November 2009.

Since then, the share price has fallen, then risen again in January 2010 as the company announced results in line with expectations and above the same period in the prior year.

Nanotechnology, plasma and the like sound sexy and exciting, and Oxford Instruments is forecast to make good profits in the two years ahead. That said, this company has been treading water for quite a while. Its share price has done little in the last ten years, oscillating between 150p and 250p most of the time, and it's paid the same 8.4p dividend per share for each of the last eleven years! 

Still, it's one to keep an eye on, especially if they can really get some momentum going post-recession.

Back From The Dead

Enterprise Inns was one of those shares on serious life-support at the height of the credit-crisis panic. Its share price had slumped from 775p in 2007 all the way down to just 32p in 2009.

In these "risk is back" days, the shares in the pub group now trade at a somewhat frothy 119p, up 27% in the month of January, proving conclusively that if you can get the timing right, every dog can have its day.

In January, Enterprise announced trading during the sixteen weeks to 16 January 2010 was 'variable', with the decline in average net income per pub easing to 4%, having fallen by 8% during the last financial year. Bad news seemingly sells, although 'less bad news' is clearly better than 'worse bad news'.

Debt remains the over-riding concern, as does the continued slow-decline of the great British pub. Enterprise Inns is surely one for the speculators and traditionalists.

That's it for this month's roundup. If there's a share you think will do particularly well in February, let us know why in the comment box below...

More on the economy and the markets:

> If you're in the market for buying shares, consider opening an online broker account with The Motley Fool's Share Dealing Service. You can buy and sell shares in real time for a flat rate of just £10. Click here to find out how you can open an account for free today. There is no obligation to trade.

> Bruce Jackson doesn't have an interest in any of the companies mentioned in this article.

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Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

ianmck02 01 Feb 2010 , 3:12pm

Isn't hindsight a wonderful gift?

Shortly after the .com bubble burst I came across an article on investment trusts that had managed to survive the least scathed. Personal Assets Trust, an unobtrusive never-hits-the-headlines outfit in Edinburgh was mentioned.

A couple of years later I invested and continued re-investing and from time to time topped up from sales of other portfolio stocks.

Before the latest crash, 16% of my portfolio was invested in PAT. Today, with only re-investment of dividends (currently 1.8%) having otherwise affected the value, it now constitutes 28%. None of my stocks actually went bust.

I'm not suddenly rich, but but I think I have been very well protected.







allreasons 01 Feb 2010 , 3:57pm

This is not the first time that 'Motley Fool' has written a hindsight article I really wonder how much you get paid for doing that ANY JOBS GOING ?????

Do us all a favour and predict sensible stocks that will rise IN THE FUTURE


I await your next hindsight with anticipation Thats a JOKE

bouleversee 01 Feb 2010 , 5:30pm

I bought Oxford Instruments in April 95 @338p. so not exactly a wonderful investment. The dividend doesn't go up but the directors' and executives' pay certainly does.

dbirbeck 01 Feb 2010 , 6:06pm

Its amazing how they churn out these "should have bought" articles month after month.......Having subscribed to the PRO alert service,which Ive been disappointed with so far, why can we have an PRO alert article telling us what we should buy BEFORE the month starts...or is that too much to ask

Clitheroekid 01 Feb 2010 , 7:49pm

Oh for God's sake, stop bitching! I find these reviews interesting, and it's useful to know the reasons the shares have risen strongly.

If you don't find the articles interesting then why the hell do you read them - simply for an opportunity to vent your spleen?

jaizan 01 Feb 2010 , 7:59pm

Who cares what will do well in February?

I try to work out what might do well over the next 5 years. That's more like investment & less like a mugs game.

IDPickering 01 Feb 2010 , 10:53pm

Well said jonesj909.

PrimaryRadar 01 Feb 2010 , 10:54pm

Those who are bitching have a point - the quality of financial journalism on TMF is in a very real decline, with a surfeit of complacent and unincisive articles which seem to exist only to either gloat over recent historical events or plug some subscription service or other.

Like jonesj909 above, I don't CARE what moved 40 or 50% in the last month, or could do the same next month - a share can move that much on speculation alone, and this is not the style of investment that TMF should be highlighting, in hindsight or otherwise.

Poor show.

Grumpytony 01 Feb 2010 , 11:25pm

PrimaryRadar - If you don't like the info you get, why do you still subscribe. Butt off and stop moaning.

Fingered 01 Feb 2010 , 11:46pm

My my Clitheroekid and Grumpytony .......looks like the bitchers touched a nerve.......wassup folks? Portfolio just got damaged a tad in the drop and don't like being given REAR VIEW MIRROR hindsight advice from Brucey boy? Hey - Well done Bruce: You strike again with more inflammatory ( and dare-i-say dangerous articles for your financial health) nonsesense from you keyboard - Bravo. I must say though......this game is highly highly amusing. I did very well in the recent drop, ta very much. Have you sold your Glaxo stock or other parts of your portfolio Bruce? Or are doing an "H" in good old LTBH fashion ? Have you backed up your truck and loaded up with more stock based on cheap valuations? Oh please tell us! So you were dealt a King of Diamonds, now a 10 of Spades........what's it to be ? Higher or Lower ?

Fingered 01 Feb 2010 , 11:58pm

dberbeck .........there ya go.....disappointed I can imagine! The Motley Fool crew are LTBH'ers with "perma-bulls" at the helm..... take heed of your own disappointment - They can't hit a cow in the udder with a bag of rice from ten rice from a market timing perspective.

Fingered 01 Feb 2010 , 11:59pm

ten feet ......sorry typing shot and doing some trading in parallel :-)

PrimaryRadar 02 Feb 2010 , 12:53am

Grumpytony (how appropriate) - I don't "subscribe" to anything, thank God. I've learnt a long time ago that you don't get rich lining somebody else's pockets for their tips and/or advice. I merely come on to this website now and again to read what's on offer, and all I'm saying is that the standard of journalism is deteriorating.

Feel free to disagree, but if you can't come out with anything more intelligent than "butt off", then maybe you're in the wrong place?

TMF used to stand out from the crowd of other dire financial websites, and some of the advice that still exists on here is sound indeed. But my opinion is that much of the recent "analysis" has not been up to scratch. There is too much short-termism around, too much of contributors plugging their own hobby-horse shares, too much "look what you could have won" facile historical analysis.

JRAY100 02 Feb 2010 , 9:08am

Personal Asset Trust PAT... thank you ianmck02...
the code is: PNL
http://www.patplc.co.uk/index.php
...on my radar!

Soicowboy 02 Feb 2010 , 11:20am

I would point out that there have been 2 decent articles on Games Workshop in the last couple of months and a good quality thread about Enterprise Inns in Paulypilots Pub recently. Interesting investment articles have become a feature of TMF since they got more experienced PI's contributing. Agreed, this one is fluff.

RobinnBanks 03 Feb 2010 , 9:18pm

Bruce only writes them to stir things up!

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