Investment banking services are vastly overpriced, as are their employees. Here are 2 solutions.
Over the Christmas break, I spend some time with an investment banker. Given my vehement criticism of banker's bonuses, the phrase "sleeping with the enemy" might spring to mind.
In cordial discussions, I picked up three interesting pieces of information…
1) He was made redundant 15 months ago, and is still looking for work. Admittedly his field of investment banking is quite specialised, but it shows things are still not back to how they were.
He also revealed, even though he's been out of work for so long, with his redundancy package, he's probably 'earned' about the same amount of money as fellow investment bankers who've actually been working through this whole period.
Strange but true. The reason? The workers have received less bonuses.
2) On why he hasn't explored a career change, the investment banking money, in the good times, is just too much to walk away from. I can understand the thinking, but I can't understand why the money has to be so good. More later…
3) On bonuses, the ex-investment banker said if they weren't paid bumper bonuses, staff would leave.
Good, I said. Let them leave. What would be the worst thing that could happen? In the short term, whilst investment banks rebuilt their teams, profits may fall.
So what? Investment banks made massive losses in 2008-9, but they've survived and prospered. The same would happen again. And anyway, not all investment bankers would leave. There simply aren't enough jobs around, as witnessed by my still out-of-work investment banking acquaintance.
Stone Them
Banking bonuses are back in the news again. The issue just won't go away until rich bankers are publicly stoned, have their 350-acre country estates turned into wind farms, and are forcibly removed from their Kensington mansions and relocated into digs in the East End.
The public wants blood, and with some justification. But the bankers just don't get it.
They've generated big profits for their companies over the past 9 months. As interest rates have plummeted and central banks have been printing money like it's going out of fashion, just about every asset class has been rising.
From the stock market, to gold, to commodities… they've all been on an unstoppable, inexorable surge. It has been virtually impossible not to make money in such an environment, something investment bankers seem to conveniently ignore.
But worse than that, they are also perfectly happy to conveniently ignore the fact they wouldn't even have a job were it not for the government riding to the rescue and bailing them all out.
Forget that some banks, like Barclays (LSE: BARC) here in the UK and Goldman Sachs in the US, do not currently have any direct government financial investment. The truth of the matter is that without government bailouts, they wouldn't exist in their current form, or at all, today.
The Solution
But what is the solution to this "socialise the losses but privatise the profits" problem?
In the good times, investment banks make excessive profits. Rather than pay them out to staff in the form of vast bonuses, they should…
a) Continue to build up their capital base, so that when the inevitable downturns come, they can cover their own losses, rather than have the taxpayer cover them.
b) Pay higher dividends. Shareholders should be the ultimate beneficiary of excess profits, not employees. After all, it is shareholders who take the risk. If there is any doubt about who takes the risk, just ask shareholders in Lloyds Banking Group (LSE: LLOY). They are down 90% over the past 18 months. No vast bonuses for them.
The Final Word
The ultimate solution is increased competition. Investment banking services are vastly overpriced. The problem is, for a company seeking those services, they have very few alternative options. And in any case, the pricing across investment banking competitors is remarkably similar.
In just about any other industry, excessive profits attracts competition. We need more of it in the investment banking world. With competition, profits will decrease, and bonuses will also decrease. Bring it on. Please.
More on the economy and the markets:
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