US Congress voted down the economic recue plan, sending markets into a tailspin. Whilst trying to punish the fat cats, they’ve actually punished ordinary folks around the globe. They should wake up to themselves, and fast.
What an absolute mess.
US Congress has voted down the proposed US$700 billion economic rescue plan by a margin of 228 to 205.
US stock markets responded with their biggest ever point-fall, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plunging an astounding 777 points, or 7%. The Nasdaq Index fell 9%.
Investors were clearly rushing for the exits, no matter what the price. Panic selling was the name of the game, no matter what the company, and what the sector. The oil price was also caught up in the carnage, falling US$10 or 10% to US$96 a barrel. The only place to hide was gold, long considered a safe haven, which traded above US$900 an ounce.
So now Congress knows a little more about the consequences of them not passing the bill. But I fear…
- They are still intent on playing their stupid, petty political games, putting votes ahead of common-sense.
- They still don’t get it. They are intent on punishing the Wall Street executives who got us into this mess in the first place. Sure, they deserve punishment, but it shouldn’t happen at the expense of ordinary citizens both in the US, and across the globe.
- They don’t understand the effect not passing this bill has on ordinary people. Some are seeing their life savings evaporate in front of their very eyes. Some are facing the prospects of losing their jobs as companies prepare for a long and painful recession. Some are seeing the value of their pensions slashed, forcing them into lifestyle sacrifices, be that spending longer in the workforce (if they can find and/or keep a job) or having their retirement income levels severely reduced.
I Despair About Politics
I wish politicians could see beyond the votes that keep them in a job. It’s at times like these when you despair about the whole political system. When you think about it rationally, we vote in a group of largely inexperienced people every 3, 4 or 5 years, and task them with setting the policies to smoothly and fairly run the world’s giant economies.
It’s not surprising that many politicians govern for votes rather than necessarily for what’s right and proper for the huge economies we’ve tasked them with running. The ideal scenario of course is when one leads to the other – great policies and economic strategies are rewarded with large numbers of votes, and the opportunity to continue in government beyond subsequent elections.
I guess it does happen largely that way around, but it’s a times like these, when US Congress fails to pass a bill, the consequences of which threatens our very financial futures, that forces you to sadly think otherwise.
What Are Those US Politicians Thinking?
- So why did Congress vote down the bill? What will happen if they don’t pass the bill?
- The free markets will eventually sort this mess out. Financial institutions who made bad loans will fail. Depositors may lose their savings if they happen to bank with an institution that made bad loans, but heck, that’s their problem.
- People who work for financial institutions who made bad loans will lose their jobs, whether they be the people at the top or the ones at the bottom. Their bad luck.
- House prices will continue to tumble. More and more people will lose their houses. They shouldn’t have bought it in the first place. They should have known the economy was heading down the spout. They should have known house prices were over-valued. Silly fools.
- The recession is coming anyway, bill or no bill.
But at least the Wall Street executives will pay the price for their excesses, except many of them are already multi-millionaires, and that money can’t be taken away from them. Still, at least they won’t be able to earn more millions, and their multi-million dollar stock option packages will be worth only a few million now.
Phew. Thanks Congress.
What Now?
I am still of the opinion this economic rescue package will be passed by the US Congress, maybe as soon as later this week.
Congress today have been given a stark reminder today of the consequences of not passing the bill. Sure Mr and Mrs Average American, those without significant share portfolios, are not immediately affected by the huge stock market sell off of today. But in time they will be affected by Congresses lack of ability to see past the popular vote. They will pay.
Without the bill, this recession will be long and painful. House prices will continue to slump. Interest rates may be cut, but that is not going to kick-start house prices or the economy.
With the bill, the recession may still be long and painful. But with the bill, at least our financial markets will have some chance of being stabilised. Individuals like you and I won’t have to worry about which financial institution will be the next to fail – they are going down about two a day at the moment.
At the rate we are going, large parts of the banking system could end up being nationalised anyway. We’ve already seen Northern Rock and now Bradford and Bingley (LSE: BB.) head that way.
What if Lloyds TSB (LSE: LLOY) suddenly turned round and said it no longer was prepared to buy HBOS (LSE: HBOS)? What if massive Royal Bank Of Scotland (LSE: RBS) got into trouble?
It’s Your Elected Duty
Extraordinary times demand extraordinary measures. In a normal world, we’d just let bad companies fail and move on – it’s what happened during the last bubble, the dot com bubble.
But this time it’s different. This time we’re talking about the heart and soul of world economies – the financial system. It needs to be stabilised, and fast. As I said above, stabilisation won’t avoid the pain of falling house prices, rising unemployment, a falling stockmarket and recession, but it will help us avoid a complete and utter financial meltdown, which is what we appear to be close to facing today.
So, US Congress, stop governing for votes and start governing for the people – it’s what you were elected to do, after all.
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> Of the companies mentioned in this article, Bruce Jackson has a beneficial interest in HBOS.