Skip Navigation
 

Tesco: So Good It Worries Me

<%=_author %>

By

Padraig O'Hannelly

From the Fool blog

Where To Invest In 2009

Published in Company Comment on 3 October 2006

It's hard to find any bad news in this mornings interim results from Tesco, but is it a buy?

It's hard to find any bad news in this morning's interim results from Tesco (LSE: TSCO) , and I looked pretty hard. "Political uncertainty" in Thailand is the only slight downer, and I don't regard that as a significant cause for concern. Consider the following:

  • Group sales up 12.7%

  • Profit before tax up 10.3%, exceeding £1bn

  • Underlying earnings per share up 10.8%

  • Results beating analysts' forecasts

To maintain growth in a business of this size -- sales were nearly £23bn in the first half-year -- it's necessary to fight on a number of fronts, and that's what Tesco is doing:

  • International expansion: Opening stores in US next year; continued expansion in China, Japan, Korea and elsewhere.

  • New formats: trials have begun of Homeplus non-food only stores.

  • New routes to market: Tesco Direct have started offering non-food products by catalogue, in addition to on line, challenging the likes of Argos.

  • New products: In a separate announcement yesterday, Tesco will introduce own-brand software, including an office suite for under £20.

These developments are arguably more significant for Tesco's competitors in these new areas; existing players need to examine their competitive advantages if they are to resist a challenge from Tesco, and one has to ask if any business is exempt from the threat of competition. How much longer before Tesco launches an undertaking service?

While I get nervous when I see a company deviating from its core expertise, it has to be said that Tesco has a enviable track record of expanding both its product offering and its geographical scope. It would be a brave move to bet against it.

And that, in turn, worries me a little; very few analysts have a negative position on Tesco, and that's reflected in the price. I can see why, but in general the best time to buy a share is when the investment world incorrectly regards it as trash. On a forward PE of 16.7 at 368p, Tesco may not be a bargain, but you're getting a quality business.

For a selection of quality share ideas why not check out Maynard Paton's Champion Shares service -- you can even take a30-day trialfree of charge!

More: Where Next For Tesco?

Share & subscribe

Comments

The opinions expressed here are those of the individual writers and are not representative of The Motley Fool. If you spot any comments that are unsuitable hit the flag to alert our moderators.

 

There are no comments yet - why not be the first?

Join the conversation

Please take note - some tags have changed.

Line breaks are converted automatically.

You may use the following tags in your post: [b]bolded text[/b], [i]italicised text[/i]. All other tags will be removed from your post.

If you want to add a link, please ensure you type it as http://www.fool.co.uk as opposed to www.fool.co.uk.

Hello stranger

To add your own comment, please login.

Not yet registered? Register now.