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MARKET COMMENT
Lose Out With A No-Lose Fund!

By Cliff D'Arcy
November 7, 2003

Last week, Octopus Asset Management launched its 100/100 Fund. Over a six-year period from 15 January 2004, it will provide investors with 100% of the growth of the FTSE 100, plus complete capital protection. (Note that the capital protection isn't an absolute guarantee, but it is provided by Barclays Capital, which is a financially strong outfit.)

100/100 is aimed at investors who have lost out in the recent bear market, plus those who are dissatisfied with low savings rates. If I invest £5,000 in the 100/100 Fund and the Footsie doubles, I get back £10,000 (after averaging). If the Footsie has fallen over six years, I get back my original investment; £5,000, in this case. It's as simple as that - or is it?

One pundit describes this product as "like investing in the stock market without the risk." I disagree: my quote would be, "It's like investing in the stock market without all of the return." Here's the crunch:

"...the FTSE 100 index is a capital-only index, which takes no account of dividend returns... if you had invested in [these] shares directly, you would have been entitled to participate in their dividend income as well."

Aha! The catch is that 100/100 doesn't earn any income. In fact, this is a common trick played by almost all stock-market bonds, which relies on the fact that most investors don't appreciate how stock-market returns are made up.

Currently, the dividend yield on the FTSE 100 is around 3.2%. Over six years, assuming the yield stays at its current level and I reinvest my dividends, this income is worth over 20% of my initial capital. So, in return for 'no-lose protection', I give up a return worth over a fifth of my original investment. That's one expensive warranty!

Put another way, the FTSE 100 could be around 20% lower than its current level six years from now before 100/100's no-lose guarantee saves us money, compared with an index tracker. The chances of this are pretty low. If you're that skittish about investing, you're probably better off in a high-interest savings account anyway.

The 100/100 Fund also has higher charges and none of the flexibility that an index tracker enjoys, in return for its one selling point - the no-lose promise. So, to quote the company's brochure, "Too good to be true?" I'm afraid so!

Find out more about Index Trackers and the Hidden Costs Of Guarantees.