After Today’s News, Should You Sell Centamin plc To Buy Xcite Energy Limited?

Is it time to sell Centamin PLC (LON: CEY) after today’s news and buy XCITE ENERGY LIMITED (LON: XEL) instead?

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Shares in Centamin (LSE: CEY) are falling this morning after the company released its results for the nine months ending 30 September 2015. 

At time of writing, Centamin’s shares have fallen by 7% on the day as the company revealed a 67% drop in earnings per share for the reported period. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation fell 16% compared to the second quarter. 

However, while Centamin’s top line figures were disappointing, the company’s underlying operating figures improved across the business. For example, gold production was up 13% year-on-year and management now expects production costs to come in below expectations for the full-year. Specifically, management expects Centamin’s full-year cash cost of production to be below the previously guided $700 per ounce. All in, sustaining costs are expected to be below the previously guided $950 per ounce. 

What’s more, Centamin remains debt-free with cash, bullion on hand, gold sales receivable and available-for-sale financial assets of $216.1m — around a third of the company’s market cap — at the end of September. 

Good news

While Centamin’s shares are falling, Xcite Energy’s (LSE: XEL) shares are heading higher after the company revealed that it had signed a farm-in agreement with Azinor Catalyst on licence P.1979. Under the terms of the farm-in agreement, Catalyst will fully fund and undertake a detailed technical evaluation of the Licence area to further de-risk the prospects already identified by Xcite on the licence. In return, Catalyst will become entitled to 40% of the equity in the licence area, subject to approval by the Secretary of State for Energy and Climate Change. 

Following the completion of Catalyst’s initial evaluation, Xcite and Catalyst will determine whether the analysis would derive additional benefit from the acquisition of an Induced Polarization survey to de-risk further the prospect. Once again, this study will be funded by Catalyst. 

In many ways, this farm-in agreement is good news for Xcite. Not only will the company gain a partner for the development of the P.1979 licence, with Azinor funding the exploration surveys, Xcite will be able to maintain its focus on developing the company’s core Bently field.

Azinor Catalyst is a shell company that currently owns three licences and 21 blocks located across the Central and Northern North Sea and Rockall Trough. 

Sell Centamin to buy Xcite?

Centamin and Xcite are two very different companies. Centamin is one of the world’s lowest-cost gold producers, which is increasing production and has a hefty cash balance. Xcite, on the other hand, isn’t producing anything and the company’s key asset, the Bently oil field, will take a lot of time and money to develop. 

So overall, it doesn’t make sense to sell Centamin and buy Xcite following today’s news. 

City analysts expect Centamin to report a pre-tax profit of £55m and earnings per share of 4.8p this year. Based on these figures the company’s shares are trading at a forward P/E of 13 and support a dividend yield of 2.5%. 

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK has no position in any of the shares mentioned. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Happy young female stock-picker in a cafe
Investing Articles

Q1 results boost the Bunzl share price: investors should consider the stock for stability

As the Bunzl share price edges higher, our writer considers whether this so-called boring FTSE 100 stock looks like a…

Read more »

Bus waiting in front of the London Stock Exchange on a sunny day.
Investing Articles

The top 5 investment trusts to buy in a resurgent UK stock market?

These were the five most popular investment trusts at Hargreaves Lansdown in April. And they're not the ones I'd have…

Read more »

woman sitting in wheelchair at the table and looking at computer monitor while talking on mobile phone and drinking coffee at home
Investing Articles

The smartest dividend stocks to consider buying with £500 right now

In the past few years, the UK stock market’s been a great place to find dividend stocks paying top yields.…

Read more »

2024 year number handwritten on a sandy beach at sunrise
Investing Articles

Why this FTSE 100 company is the first I’m buying for my 24/25 Stocks and Shares ISA

As a new Stocks and Shares ISA year gets underway, it’s time to start searching for my next additions. Barclays…

Read more »

Investing Articles

How much passive income would I make from 945 National Grid shares?

National Grid shares pay a healthy dividend that, over time, can produce a sizeable passive income if the dividends are…

Read more »

British flag, Big Ben, Houses of Parliament and British flag composition
Investing Articles

These 7 UK shares turned £50k into £550k

Investing in individual UK shares can be a very lucrative strategy. Over the last two decades, these seven stocks have…

Read more »

Tanker coming in to dock in calm waters and a clear sunset
Investing Articles

Up 14% in a day! Is this embattled FTSE 250 company on the road to recovery?

The sudden price surge in a lesser-known FTSE 250 stock caught my attention today. I decided to find out what’s…

Read more »

A pastel colored growing graph with rising rocket.
Investing Articles

Is this FTSE growth superstar set to soar even higher on new drug results?

New drugs should significantly boost this FTSE stock’s earnings in my view. But even without them it looked very undervalued…

Read more »