Is It Time To Dump Aviva plc For Lancashire Holdings Limited?

Why Lancashire Holdings Limited (LON:LRE) could be a better pick than Aviva plc (LON:AV).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Aviva (LSE: AV) (NYSE: AV.US) has put in a strong performance this year, as the company’s turnaround plan continues to gain traction.

Indeed, since the beginning of 2013 Aviva’s shares have risen approximately 40%, outperforming the wider FTSE 100 by around 30%. However, after these gains it could be time to give up on the life insurer, in favour of the company’s smaller peer, Lancashire Holdings (LSE: LRE).

Solid start Aviva

Aviva has made a strong start to 2014 and the company is well on the way to putting past mistakes behind it. 

During the first quarter, across the group, the value of new business increased by 13%, the sixth consecutive quarter of year on year growth. Businesses within Poland and Asia racked up the best performance, with new business in these two regions expanding 108%, to £21m and 96%, to £32m respectively.

Unfortunately, UK business did slow. The value of new life insurance business within the UK declined by 22% from £114m, to £89m, with annuity sales 43% lower at £40m.

Nevertheless, Aviva continues to make progress on its structural reform. During October of last year the group completed the sale of Aviva USA, for a total of £1.6bn.

Other disposals include the company’s Turkish general insurance business, US asset management boutique, River Road and Aviva’s South Korean joint venture. Further, Aviva has restructured its Italian operations.

Still, despite this progress, Aviva has now lost many of its attractive qualities as an investment. For example, the company only offers a dividend yield of 3% at present, lower than the FTSE 100 average of 3.4%. What’s more, at present levels Aviva is trading at a forward P/E of 10.1, significantly above its ten-year average P/E of 8.

So, maybe it’s time to take profits on Aviva, the company’s smaller peer, Lancashire Holdings looks to be a better pick.

A better option

Unlike Aviva, Lancashire is not a life insurer. Lancashire is a specialty insurer, providing insurance for the Aviation, Energy, Marine, Property and Terrorism/Political Risk markets, which can be a highly profitable business. Actually, famed City fund manager Neil Woodford was a fan of Lancashire, praising the company’s management and attractive dividend payouts. 

It’s easy to see why Woodford was attracted to the company. Within Lancashire’s half year report, released today, the company revealed a 54% jump in quarterly net premiums written. 

For the most part, this gain was driven by the acquisition in late 2013 of Lloyd’s of London insurer Cathedral Capital Ltd. City analysts expect this strong performance to filter through to investors over the next two years. 

In particular, the City is currently predicting that Lancashire will support a dividend yield of 9.8% during 2015, a lofty payout, which you would be hard pressed to find anywhere else. Lancashire is also cheaper than Aviva, as the company currently trades at a forward P/E of 8.6.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the shares mentioned.

More on Investing Articles

Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d aim for a ton of passive income from £20k in an ISA

To get the best passive income from an ISA, I think we need to balance risk with the potential rewards.…

Read more »

Abstract bull climbing indicators on stock chart
Investing Articles

2 FTSE 100 stocks I’d buy as the blue-chip index hits record highs

This Fool takes a look at a pair of quality FTSE 100 stocks that appear well-positioned for future gains, despite…

Read more »

Satellite on planet background
Small-Cap Shares

Here’s why AIM stock Filtronic is up 44% today

The share price of AIM stock Filtronic has surged on the back of some big news in relation to its…

Read more »

Bus waiting in front of the London Stock Exchange on a sunny day.
Investing Articles

At a record high, there can still be bargain FTSE 100 shares to buy!

The FTSE 100 closed at a new all-time high this week. Our writer explains why there might still be bargain…

Read more »

Asian man looking concerned while studying paperwork at his desk in an office
Investing Articles

After profits plunge 28%, should investors consider buying Lloyds shares?

Lloyds has seen its shares wobble following the release of its latest results. But is this a chance for investors…

Read more »

Abstract bull climbing indicators on stock chart
Investing Articles

Something’s changed in a good way for Reckitt in Q1, and the share price may be about to take off

With the Reckitt share price near 4,475p, is this a no-brainer stock? This long-time Fool takes a closer look at…

Read more »

Investor looking at stock graph on a tablet with their finger hovering over the Buy button
Investing Articles

This new boost in assets might just get the abrdn share price moving again

The abrdn share price has lost half its value in the past five years. But with investor confidence returning, are…

Read more »

Young Black man sat in front of laptop while wearing headphones
Investing Articles

As revenues rise 8%, is the Croda International share price set to bounce back?

The latest update from Croda International indicates that sales are starting to recover from the end of 2023, so is…

Read more »