Is It Time To Dump Aviva plc For Lancashire Holdings Limited?

Why Lancashire Holdings Limited (LON:LRE) could be a better pick than Aviva plc (LON:AV).

| More on:

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

When investing, your capital is at risk. The value of your investments can go down as well as up and you may get back less than you put in.

Read More

The content of this article is provided for information purposes only and is not intended to be, nor does it constitute, any form of personal advice. Investments in a currency other than sterling are exposed to currency exchange risk. Currency exchange rates are constantly changing, which may affect the value of the investment in sterling terms. You could lose money in sterling even if the stock price rises in the currency of origin. Stocks listed on overseas exchanges may be subject to additional dealing and exchange rate charges, and may have other tax implications, and may not provide the same, or any, regulatory protection as in the UK.

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Aviva (LSE: AV) (NYSE: AV.US) has put in a strong performance this year, as the company’s turnaround plan continues to gain traction.

Indeed, since the beginning of 2013 Aviva’s shares have risen approximately 40%, outperforming the wider FTSE 100 by around 30%. However, after these gains it could be time to give up on the life insurer, in favour of the company’s smaller peer, Lancashire Holdings (LSE: LRE).

Solid start Aviva

Aviva has made a strong start to 2014 and the company is well on the way to putting past mistakes behind it. 

During the first quarter, across the group, the value of new business increased by 13%, the sixth consecutive quarter of year on year growth. Businesses within Poland and Asia racked up the best performance, with new business in these two regions expanding 108%, to £21m and 96%, to £32m respectively.

Unfortunately, UK business did slow. The value of new life insurance business within the UK declined by 22% from £114m, to £89m, with annuity sales 43% lower at £40m.

Nevertheless, Aviva continues to make progress on its structural reform. During October of last year the group completed the sale of Aviva USA, for a total of £1.6bn.

Other disposals include the company’s Turkish general insurance business, US asset management boutique, River Road and Aviva’s South Korean joint venture. Further, Aviva has restructured its Italian operations.

Still, despite this progress, Aviva has now lost many of its attractive qualities as an investment. For example, the company only offers a dividend yield of 3% at present, lower than the FTSE 100 average of 3.4%. What’s more, at present levels Aviva is trading at a forward P/E of 10.1, significantly above its ten-year average P/E of 8.

So, maybe it’s time to take profits on Aviva, the company’s smaller peer, Lancashire Holdings looks to be a better pick.

A better option

Unlike Aviva, Lancashire is not a life insurer. Lancashire is a specialty insurer, providing insurance for the Aviation, Energy, Marine, Property and Terrorism/Political Risk markets, which can be a highly profitable business. Actually, famed City fund manager Neil Woodford was a fan of Lancashire, praising the company’s management and attractive dividend payouts. 

It’s easy to see why Woodford was attracted to the company. Within Lancashire’s half year report, released today, the company revealed a 54% jump in quarterly net premiums written. 

For the most part, this gain was driven by the acquisition in late 2013 of Lloyd’s of London insurer Cathedral Capital Ltd. City analysts expect this strong performance to filter through to investors over the next two years. 

In particular, the City is currently predicting that Lancashire will support a dividend yield of 9.8% during 2015, a lofty payout, which you would be hard pressed to find anywhere else. Lancashire is also cheaper than Aviva, as the company currently trades at a forward P/E of 8.6.

Should you invest, the value of your investment may rise or fall and your capital is at risk. Before investing, your individual circumstances should be assessed. Consider taking independent financial advice.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the shares mentioned.

More on Investing Articles

Close-up of British bank notes
Investing Articles

Here’s how I’d target £130 per week in dividends from a Stocks and Shares ISA

Using a Stocks and Shares ISA as a dividend machine does not have to be hard work. Our writer explains…

Read more »

Warren Buffett at a Berkshire Hathaway AGM
Investing Articles

This 1 simple investing move accelerated Warren Buffett’s wealth creation

Warren Buffett has used this easy to understand investing technique for decades -- and it has made him billions. Our…

Read more »

Young woman working at modern office. Technical price graph and indicator, red and green candlestick chart and stock trading computer screen background.
Investing Articles

Down 6% in 2 weeks, the Lloyds share price is in reverse

After hitting a one-year high on 8 April, the Lloyds share price has suddenly reversed course. But as a long-term…

Read more »

Investing Articles

£3,000 in savings? Here’s how I’d use that to start earning a monthly passive income

Our writer digs into the details of how spending a few thousand pounds on dividend shares now could help him…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s what dividend forecasts could do for the BP share price in the next three years

I can understand why the BP share price is low, as oil's increasingly seen as evil. But BP's a cash…

Read more »

Man writing 'now' having crossed out 'later', 'tomorrow' and 'next week'
Investing Articles

This FTSE 100 Dividend Aristocrat is on sale now

Stephen Wright thinks Croda International’s impressive dividend record means it could be the best FTSE 100 stock to add to…

Read more »

Investing Articles

3 shares I’d buy for passive income if I was retiring early

Roland Head profiles three FTSE 350 dividend shares he’d like to buy for their passive income to support an early…

Read more »

Investing Articles

Here’s how many Aviva shares I’d need for £1,000 a year in passive income

Our writer has been buying shares of this FTSE 100 insurer, but how many would he need to aim for…

Read more »